SV Darmstadt 98 vs 1. FC Magdeburg prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
1. Magdeburg to win: 42%, about 2 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 64% · bookies 64%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
All three readings lean Magdeburg, with the coach and dressing room pushing slightly past the published 42% on the strength of their attack and form, while the sceptic pulls it back towards the market. On goals, the coach's scoring rates and both sides' 67% over 2.5 records support the published 64% for over 2.5, with the sceptic a touch cooler.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
2 of 3 think 1. FC Magdeburg's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Coach
styles in the numbersMagdeburg's attack against Darmstadt's leaky defence points to goals.
Both sides run at 67% over 2.5, and Darmstadt fail to score 56% of the time, so a lively but lopsided game fits.
1. Magdeburg: clearly underrated
Med The Dressing Room
the table and pressureBottom-side Darmstadt are under real pressure against a flying Magdeburg.
Darmstadt sit 18th with 8 points from 9 games, having lost 5, while Magdeburg are 5th on 16 points and just beat Karlsruher SC 6-1. Darmstadt's last six include heavy defeats at Karlsruher SC and Wolfsburg, and equal rest days give them no recovery edge.
1. Magdeburg: slightly underrated
Low The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe away lean looks fair, but Darmstadt's home record argues against a blowout.
Magdeburg's away form is mixed at L D L W W, and their 3.00 scored per game away is far above their 1.25 season away rate, so 42% away may be slightly generous.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
1. FC Magdeburg are slight favourites at 42%, with SV Darmstadt 98 on 33% and the draw on 25%. SV Darmstadt 98 are 18th and 1. FC Magdeburg 5th in 2. Bundesliga. In their last five league games, SV Darmstadt 98 won two and 1. FC Magdeburg three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- SV Darmstadt 98 win or draw
- 58%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 75%
- 1. FC Magdeburg win or draw
- 67%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 84%
- 3+ goals
- 64%
- 4+ goals
- 42%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 65%
- No
- 35%
We expect about 1.5 goals from SV Darmstadt 98 and 1.8 from 1. FC Magdeburg. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%), 2–2 (7%), 0–1 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 33% | 25% | 42% | Stats preview | #1847 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
SV Darmstadt 98: last 6
DLWLWL · 6 scored, 14 conceded
| 23 Oct | vs FC St. Pauli | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Oct | at Karlsruher SC | 0–4 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Energie Cottbus | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Sep | at VfL Wolfsburg | 1–5 | L |
| 11 Sep | vs Arminia Bielefeld | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | at 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 0–3 | L |
Last 5 at home: DWWLD
1. FC Magdeburg: last 6
WLWDWL · 14 scored, 6 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Karlsruher SC | 6–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | at Dynamo Dresden | 0–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Hannover 96 | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Sep | at SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 3–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | at Hertha BSC | 1–2 | L |
Last 5 away: LDLWW
Season stats
| SV Darmstadt 98 | 1. FC Magdeburg | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.89 | Goals scored per game | 2.22 |
| 2.00 | Goals conceded per game | 1.33 |
| 1.40 | Scored per game at home | 3.00 |
| 0.25 | Scored per game away | 1.25 |
| 67% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| 44% | Both teams scored | 44% |
| 11% | Clean sheets | 44% |
| 56% | Failed to score | 11% |
League matches only, 9 games each.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 9 | +9 | 18 | LDDWW |
| 3 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 9 | +5 | 18 | WWDWL |
| 4 | VfL Wolfsburg | 9 | +9 | 16 | DWDWL |
| 5 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 9 | +8 | 16 | WLWDW |
| 6 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 9 | +0 | 15 | DLDDW |
| 7 | FC St. Pauli | 9 | +2 | 12 | DDWDW |
| 8 | VfL Osnabrück | 9 | -1 | 11 | WLDDL |
| … | |||||
| 15 | Dynamo Dresden | 9 | -7 | 8 | LWDLD |
| 16 | Hannover 96 | 9 | -7 | 8 | LDLWL |
| 17 | Karlsruher SC | 9 | -9 | 8 | LWLLL |
| 18 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 9 | -10 | 8 | DLWLW |
Match context
- Travel for 1. FC Magdeburg
- 326 km
- Rest days
- SV Darmstadt 98 71. FC Magdeburg 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: SV Darmstadt 98 2 · 1. FC Magdeburg 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 12°C · wind 8 km/h
- Dry
- Coaches
- F. Kohfeldt
- SV Darmstadt 98, since Oct 2026
- Goals in this league
- 2. Bundesliga average: 3.02 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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