Hannover 96 vs Dynamo Dresden prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Hannover 96 to win: 47%, about 1 in 2
Goals call3+ goals 53%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
The Verdict
The coach and sceptic both see goals - Hannover concede 1.67 per game, Dresden 2.00, and 3+ goals is priced at 53% - while the dressing room notes identical 8-point records and a full week's rest for both. A competitive, open game is the shared picture.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
Our analysts read the numbers only.
The Coach
styles in the numbersBoth sides leak goals, so chances at both ends look likely.
Both teams score in 56% of matches, and Dresden average 1.22 goals scored per game. Home games here average 1.25 Hannover goals, while Hannover concede 1.67 per game. The competition averages 3.02 goals per match, so an open game looks natural.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureEqual points, equal nerves - both teams sit tight on 8 from 9.
Both have 8 points from 9 games with identical W2 D2 L5 records, so neither can afford another slide. Hannover have lost four of their last six, Dresden three, and both had a full 7 days rest with one game in 14 days. This feels like a tense, must-not-lose match.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe home lean may be slightly generous for a shaky Hannover side.
Hannover's home form is D W D L, five scored and five conceded, nothing to justify a big home lean. Dresden have scored 12 and conceded 11 in their last five away games, yet Hannover score just 0.89 per game overall. The 47% home number looks a touch high to me.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Hannover 96 are favourites at 47%, with Dynamo Dresden on 28% and the draw on 25%. Hannover 96 are 16th and Dynamo Dresden 15th in 2. Bundesliga. In their last five league games, Hannover 96 won one and Dynamo Dresden one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Hannover 96 win or draw
- 72%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 75%
- Dynamo Dresden win or draw
- 53%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 77%
- 3+ goals
- 53%
- 4+ goals
- 31%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 56%
- No
- 44%
We expect about 1.6 goals from Hannover 96 and 1.2 from Dynamo Dresden. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%), 2–0 (8%), 0–1 (7%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 47% | 25% | 28% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1851 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Hannover 96: last 6
LDLWLD · 6 scored, 11 conceded
| 25 Oct | at Eintracht Braunschweig | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs FC St. Pauli | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | at 1. FC Magdeburg | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs VfL Bochum | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Sep | at 1. FC Nürnberg | 1–2 | L |
| 4 Sep | vs Karlsruher SC | 2–2 | D |
Last 4 at home: DWDL
Dynamo Dresden: last 6
LWDLDL · 7 scored, 10 conceded
| 25 Oct | at Holstein Kiel | 0–3 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs 1. FC Magdeburg | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | at VfL Osnabrück | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Hertha BSC | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | at Eintracht Braunschweig | 2–2 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs VfL Bochum | 1–2 | L |
Last 5 away: LDDLW
Season stats
| Hannover 96 | Dynamo Dresden | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.89 | Goals scored per game | 1.22 |
| 1.67 | Goals conceded per game | 2.00 |
| 1.25 | Scored per game at home | 1.25 |
| 0.60 | Scored per game away | 1.20 |
| 56% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| 56% | Both teams scored | 56% |
| 11% | Clean sheets | 22% |
| 33% | Failed to score | 22% |
League matches only, 9 games each.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 9 | -4 | 9 | LWLDD |
| 13 | Holstein Kiel | 9 | -1 | 8 | WDLDL |
| 14 | VfL Bochum | 9 | -4 | 8 | DLLLD |
| 15 | Dynamo Dresden | 9 | -7 | 8 | LWDLD |
| 16 | Hannover 96 | 9 | -7 | 8 | LDLWL |
| 17 | Karlsruher SC | 9 | -9 | 8 | LWLLL |
| 18 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 9 | -10 | 8 | DLWLW |
Match context
- Travel for Dynamo Dresden
- 428 km
- Rest days
- Hannover 96 7Dynamo Dresden 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Hannover 96 1 · Dynamo Dresden 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 12°C · wind 4 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- 2. Bundesliga average: 3.02 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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