VfL Bochum vs VfL Wolfsburg prediction
Full analysisTeam news, injuries and lineups read by our AI scouts, updated when the official lineups are out. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast
Who wins?
VfL Wolfsburg to win: 49%, about 1 in 2
Goals call3+ goals 69% · bookies 68% · ✗ 2 goals
The Verdict
Our numbers stay close to the bookmakers', with the away side at 49% and over 2.5 at 69%, because the form and attacking gap is already priced in. The Sceptic's view was not followed: it wanted the over shaded down toward the model's 55%, but with Wolfsburg's 22-goal attack and the league's high scoring rate we kept the over near the market.
What our AI analysts say
All three broadly agree with the bookmakers.
The Coach
tactics and lineupsWolfsburg's strong attacking form and tactical stability should see them secure the win.
VfL Wolfsburg sits third in the 2. Both teams are set to deploy a 4-2-3-1 formation.
The Dressing Room
mood and pressureIn-form, attack-led Wolfsburg too strong for slumping, low-scoring Bochum on home turf.
Bochum sit 16th with 7 points from 8 games and on three straight defeats, losing 2-0 at Kaiserslautern last time out; they are joint-lowest scorers with 5 goals. Wolfsburg are third with 15 points, unbeaten in three after beating Heidenheim 3-1, and top the division's scoring charts with 22 goals. Pressure is mounting on Bochum coach Rösler, while Wolfsburg travel in promotion spirits.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongWolfsburg's league-best attack travels well against a Bochum side that cannot score — away win the fair call.
Wolfsburg have scored 22 goals in eight games, the most in the division, and won 3 of the last 5 head-to-head. The over is priced at 67.9%, above the 54% model estimate.
AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips. Who reads the game best
In short
Wolfsburg arrive third with the division's most prolific attack, while Bochum sit 16th, have lost three straight and are joint-lowest scorers. Both squads carry several injury absences. Our numbers stay close to the market because the form gap is already priced in.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- VfL Bochum win or draw
- 51%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 77%
- VfL Wolfsburg win or draw
- 72%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 87%
- 3+ goals
- 69%
- 4+ goals
- 47%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 68%
- No
- 32%
We expect about 1.5 goals from VfL Bochum and 2.0 from VfL Wolfsburg. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–2 (9%). Even the likeliest exact score happens less than 1 time in 10. Next: 1–1 (9%), 2–2 (7%), 2–1 (7%), 1–3 (6%).
How we got to these numbers
| Home | Draw | Away | 3+ goals | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bookmakers | 28% | 23% | 49% | 68% |
| Goals model | 26% | 26% | 48% | 54% |
| AI analysts | 26% | 26% | 48% | 56% |
| Our forecast | 28% | 23% | 49% | 69% |
Verdict: Our probabilities stay close to the market because the gap in form, attack and table position between the sides is already reflected in the prices. Wolfsburg's 13 goals conceded in 8 games keep a draw and a Bochum response live, so we see no reason to move away from the market's assessment.
Our forecast starts from the bookmakers' prices and moves only by what the news justifies, capped at 8 percentage points per outcome. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31% | 24% | 45% | Stats preview | #558 | |
| 2 | 30% | 24% | 46% | Full analysis | #628 | |
| 3 | 28% | 23% | 49% | Official lineups | #726 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 3 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
VfL Bochum: last 6
LLLDWL · 4 scored, 8 conceded
| 17 Oct | at 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Arminia Bielefeld | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sep | at Hannover 96 | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | at Dynamo Dresden | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Aug | vs VfL Osnabrück | 0–1 | L |
Last 4 at home: LDLL
VfL Wolfsburg: last 6
WDWLDW · 21 scored, 13 conceded
| 17 Oct | vs 1. FC Heidenheim | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | at 1. FC Nürnberg | 4–4 | D |
| 18 Sep | vs SV Darmstadt 98 | 5–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | at FC St. Pauli | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Energie Cottbus | 4–4 | D |
| 29 Aug | at Karlsruher SC | 5–2 | W |
Last 5 away: DLWDW
Season stats
| VfL Bochum | VfL Wolfsburg | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.62 | Goals scored per game | 2.75 |
| 1.12 | Goals conceded per game | 1.62 |
| 0.25 | Scored per game at home | 3.00 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game away | 2.50 |
| 25% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 62% |
| 38% | Both teams scored | 62% |
| 12% | Clean sheets | 25% |
| 50% | Failed to score | 25% |
League matches only, 8 games each.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 9 | +12 | 25 | WDWWW |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 9 | +9 | 18 | LDDWW |
| 3 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 9 | +5 | 18 | WWDWL |
| 4 | VfL Wolfsburg | 9 | +9 | 16 | DWDWL |
| 5 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 9 | +8 | 16 | WLWDW |
| 6 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 9 | +0 | 15 | DLDDW |
| 7 | FC St. Pauli | 9 | +2 | 12 | DDWDW |
| … | |||||
| 11 | Energie Cottbus | 9 | -1 | 10 | DDLDW |
| 12 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 9 | -4 | 9 | LWLDD |
| 13 | Holstein Kiel | 9 | -1 | 8 | WDLDL |
| 14 | VfL Bochum | 9 | -4 | 8 | DLLLD |
| 15 | Dynamo Dresden | 9 | -7 | 8 | LWDLD |
| 16 | Hannover 96 | 9 | -7 | 8 | LDLWL |
| 17 | Karlsruher SC | 9 | -9 | 8 | LWLLL |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: VfL Bochum won 1, VfL Wolfsburg 4, 1 draw; 3.5 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb 2025 | VfL Wolfsburg | 1–1 | VfL Bochum | Bundesliga |
| 5 Oct 2024 | VfL Bochum | 1–3 | VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga |
| 20 Apr 2024 | VfL Wolfsburg | 1–0 | VfL Bochum | Bundesliga |
| 2 Dec 2023 | VfL Bochum | 3–1 | VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga |
| 22 Apr 2023 | VfL Bochum | 1–5 | VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga |
| 29 Oct 2022 | VfL Wolfsburg | 4–0 | VfL Bochum | Bundesliga |
Team news: lineups Confirmed
Goalkeeper
- 1T. Horn
Defenders
- 2S. Klaiber
- 15M. Steinwender
- 5K. Mets
- 32M. Wittek
Midfielders
- 34T. Meyer
- 24M. Pannewig
- 10B. Taz
- 17G. Holtmann
- 23K. Miyoshi
Forward
- 33P. Hofmann
Substitutes (9)
- 39L. Isbruch
- 19D. Hanslik
- 16T. Casali
- 4Y. Karademir
- 7C. Rasmussen
- 29M. Ouro-Tagba
- 28C. Patino
- 31L. Sawas
- 14J. Steuckers
Goalkeeper
- 1T. Wellenreuther
Defenders
- 26S. Kumbedi
- 6H. Wahl
- 33Cleiton
- 21J. Mæhle
Midfielders
- 31Y. Gerhardt
- 5Vinicius Souza
- 17A. Bernhardsson
- 20M. Damar
- 11F. Reese
Forward
- 19R. Glatzel
Substitutes (9)
- 30J. Zieliński
- 25A. Zehnter
- 7K. Shiogai
- 37E. Rexhbeçaj
- 2K. Fischer
- 8Bence Dárdai
- 23A. Besio
- 27M. Arnold
- 22M. Angely
Official team sheets, updated UK time (GMT).
Team news: injuries and suspensions
| Player | Team | Status | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fraser Hornby | VfL Wolfsburg | Out | [1] |
| Aster Vranckx | VfL Wolfsburg | Out | [1] |
| Trevor Benedict | VfL Wolfsburg | Out | [1] |
| Mattias Svanberg | VfL Wolfsburg | Out | [1] |
| Rogério | VfL Wolfsburg | Out | [1] |
| Oliver Olsen | VfL Bochum | Out | [1] |
| Philipp Strompf | VfL Bochum | Out | [1] |
| Enis Çokaj | VfL Bochum | Out | [1] |
| Jean-Manuel Mbom | VfL Bochum | Out | [1] |
| Babis Drakas | VfL Bochum | Out | [1] |
Key facts
- Bochum are 16th with 7 points from 8 games and have won none of their four home league matches this season (W0 D1 L3).[1]
- Bochum have lost three consecutive league games, most recently 0-2 away at Kaiserslautern.[1]
- Bochum are joint-lowest scorers in the division with 5 goals in 8 matches.[1]
- Wolfsburg sit third with 15 points from 8 games and extended their unbeaten run to three matches by beating Heidenheim 3-1.[1]
- Wolfsburg have the division's most prolific attack with 22 goals, though they have also conceded 13 in their 8 fixtures.[1]
- Bochum are expected to line up in a 4-2-3-1, while Wolfsburg are set up in a 4-3-3.[1]
Sources
- bulinews.com – 2. Bundesliga preview: VfL Bochum vs. VfL Wolfsburg - Bulinews (2026-10-22)
Match context
- Rest days
- VfL Bochum 6VfL Wolfsburg 6
- Matches in the last 14 days: VfL Bochum 2 · VfL Wolfsburg 2
- Referee
- Eric-Dominic Weisbach
- Goals in this league
- 2. Bundesliga average: 3.11 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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