1. FC Magdeburg vs Karlsruher SC prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
1. Magdeburg to win: 53%, about 1 in 2
Goals call3+ goals 65% · bookies 65% · ✓ 7 goals
The Verdict
Nobody expects a low-scoring game, with every card at or above the published 65% for over 2.5 goals.
What our AI analysts say
Our analysts are split: The Coach thinks 1. FC Magdeburg are underrated; The Sceptic thinks Karlsruher SC are underrated.
The Coach
styles in the numbersMagdeburg's home scoring should overwhelm Karlsruhe's away bluntness.
Magdeburg score 2.25 a game at home against a KSC side managing just 0.67 away and failing to score in 50% of matches. Both teams score in only 38% of each side's games, so a home-led scoreline looks the natural shape.
1. Magdeburg: slightly underrated
Low The Dressing Room
the table and pressureSix points and the form gap give Magdeburg the stronger platform.
Magdeburg sit 6th on 13 points from 8 games; KSC are 13th on 8. The visitors carry one win in six and two games in 14 days, while the hosts had a lighter week and have won three of their last four home fixtures.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe head-to-head history says the away price is too generous to ignore.
Karlsruhe have won 4 of the last 6 head-to-head, including 3-1 and 7-0, at 3.7 goals a game, yet they are priced near level with the draw. They also arrive off a 4-0 win. The away number looks a shade low; the totals line looks about right.
Karlsruher: slightly underrated
Low Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
1. FC Magdeburg are favourites at 53%, with Karlsruher SC on 24% and the draw on 23%. 1. FC Magdeburg are 6th and Karlsruher SC 13th in 2. Bundesliga. In their last five league games, 1. FC Magdeburg won two and Karlsruher SC one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- 1. FC Magdeburg win or draw
- 76%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 77%
- Karlsruher SC win or draw
- 47%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 85%
- 3+ goals
- 65%
- 4+ goals
- 43%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 64%
- No
- 36%
We expect about 2.0 goals from 1. FC Magdeburg and 1.3 from Karlsruher SC. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–1 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 1–1 (9%), 2–0 (7%), 1–0 (7%), 3–1 (6%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 53% | 23% | 24% | Stats preview | #665 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 1 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
1. FC Magdeburg: last 6
LWDWLW · 10 scored, 5 conceded
| 18 Oct | at Dynamo Dresden | 0–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Hannover 96 | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Sep | at SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 3–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | at Hertha BSC | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | vs Holstein Kiel | 2–0 | W |
Last 4 at home: WWWL
Karlsruher SC: last 6
WLLLDL · 8 scored, 13 conceded
| 18 Oct | vs SV Darmstadt 98 | 4–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | at FC St. Pauli | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs 1. FC Nürnberg | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Energie Cottbus | 0–3 | L |
| 4 Sep | at Hannover 96 | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Aug | vs VfL Wolfsburg | 2–5 | L |
Last 4 away: LDWD
Season stats
| 1. FC Magdeburg | Karlsruher SC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.75 | Goals scored per game | 1.25 |
| 1.38 | Goals conceded per game | 1.75 |
| 2.25 | Scored per game at home | 1.60 |
| 1.25 | Scored per game away | 0.67 |
| 62% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 62% |
| 38% | Both teams scored | 38% |
| 50% | Clean sheets | 25% |
| 12% | Failed to score | 50% |
League matches only, 8 games each.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 9 | +9 | 18 | LDDWW |
| 3 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 9 | +5 | 18 | WWDWL |
| 4 | VfL Wolfsburg | 9 | +9 | 16 | DWDWL |
| 5 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 9 | +8 | 16 | WLWDW |
| 6 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 9 | +0 | 15 | DLDDW |
| 7 | FC St. Pauli | 9 | +2 | 12 | DDWDW |
| 8 | VfL Osnabrück | 9 | -1 | 11 | WLDDL |
| … | |||||
| 14 | VfL Bochum | 9 | -4 | 8 | DLLLD |
| 15 | Dynamo Dresden | 9 | -7 | 8 | LWDLD |
| 16 | Hannover 96 | 9 | -7 | 8 | LDLWL |
| 17 | Karlsruher SC | 9 | -9 | 8 | LWLLL |
| 18 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 9 | -10 | 8 | DLWLW |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: 1. FC Magdeburg won 0, Karlsruher SC 4, 2 draws; 3.7 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Mar 2026 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 1–3 | Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Karlsruher SC | 1–0 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 2. Bundesliga |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Karlsruher SC | 3–1 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 2. Bundesliga |
| 22 Sep 2024 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 2–2 | Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga |
| 17 Mar 2024 | Karlsruher SC | 7–0 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 2. Bundesliga |
| 7 Oct 2023 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 1–1 | Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga |
Match context
- Rest days
- 1. FC Magdeburg 5Karlsruher SC 5
- Matches in the last 14 days: 1. FC Magdeburg 1 · Karlsruher SC 2
- Referee
- Felix Wagner
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
