1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs Energie Cottbus prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
1. Heidenheim 1846 to win: 56%, about 3 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 76% · bookies 76% · ✗ 2 goals
The Verdict
All three readings lean towards a Heidenheim win with goals: the coach sees two porous defences, the dressing room sees a five-point gap and strong home form, and the sceptic only quibbles slightly with Cottbus's chances. The published numbers - 58% home, 76% over 2.5 - look broadly consistent with the data.
What our AI analysts say
Both analysts think 1. FC Heidenheim 1846's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Coach
styles in the numbersTwo leaky defences point to goals at both ends
Heidenheim concede 1.88 a game yet keep clean sheets 38% of the time, while Cottbus ship 2.12 per match with only 12% clean sheets. Both teams score in 72% of the numbers, and Cottbus have scored 2.00 a game away. Heidenheim average 2.50 scored at home.
1. Heidenheim 1846: slightly underrated
Low The Dressing Room
the table and pressureHeidenheim's stronger position should tell at home
Heidenheim sit 5th on 14 points from 8 games, five clear of 9th-placed Cottbus on 9. The home side have won three of their last four at home, scoring 10 in those games, and arrive with seven days' rest like their visitors. Cottbus have just two wins all season.
1. Heidenheim 1846: clearly underrated
Med Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 are favourites at 56%, with Energie Cottbus on 24% and the draw on 20%. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 are 5th and Energie Cottbus 9th in 2. Bundesliga. In their last five league games, 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 won two and Energie Cottbus one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win or draw
- 76%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 80%
- Energie Cottbus win or draw
- 45%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 91%
- 3+ goals
- 76%
- 4+ goals
- 56%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 72%
- No
- 28%
We expect about 2.4 goals from 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 and 1.6 from Energie Cottbus. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–1 (8%). Even the likeliest exact score happens less than 1 time in 10. Next: 1–1 (7%), 3–1 (7%), 2–2 (7%), 1–2 (6%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
1. FC Heidenheim 1846: last 6
LDDWWW · 10 scored, 8 conceded
| 17 Oct | at VfL Wolfsburg | 1–3 | L |
| 9 Oct | vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | at Arminia Bielefeld | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Sep | vs Holstein Kiel | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | at SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Dynamo Dresden | 5–3 | W |
Last 4 at home: DWWW
Energie Cottbus: last 6
DLDWDL · 13 scored, 13 conceded
| 16 Oct | vs 1. FC Nürnberg | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | at SV Darmstadt 98 | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs FC St. Pauli | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | at Karlsruher SC | 3–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | at VfL Wolfsburg | 4–4 | D |
| 29 Aug | vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 3–4 | L |
Last 4 away: LWDL
Season stats
| 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | Energie Cottbus | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.88 | Goals scored per game | 2.00 |
| 1.88 | Goals conceded per game | 2.12 |
| 2.50 | Scored per game at home | 2.00 |
| 1.25 | Scored per game away | 2.00 |
| 62% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 75% |
| 62% | Both teams scored | 75% |
| 38% | Clean sheets | 12% |
| 12% | Failed to score | 12% |
League matches only, 8 games each.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 9 | +5 | 18 | WWDWL |
| 4 | VfL Wolfsburg | 9 | +9 | 16 | DWDWL |
| 5 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 9 | +8 | 16 | WLWDW |
| 6 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 9 | +0 | 15 | DLDDW |
| 7 | FC St. Pauli | 9 | +2 | 12 | DDWDW |
| 8 | VfL Osnabrück | 9 | -1 | 11 | WLDDL |
| 9 | Arminia Bielefeld | 9 | -1 | 11 | LWWDL |
| 10 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 9 | +0 | 10 | WLWLD |
| 11 | Energie Cottbus | 9 | -1 | 10 | DDLDW |
| 12 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 9 | -4 | 9 | LWLDD |
| 13 | Holstein Kiel | 9 | -1 | 8 | WDLDL |
| 14 | VfL Bochum | 9 | -4 | 8 | DLLLD |
Match context
- Rest days
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 7Energie Cottbus 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 1 · Energie Cottbus 1
- Referee
- Patrick Schwengers
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
