Detroit City vs Hartford Athletic prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Detroit to win: 56%, about 3 in 5
Goals call2 goals or fewer 53% · bookies 53%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
All three lean towards Detroit City, with probabilities clustered near the published 56-24-20 and nobody straying far. The main point of agreement is on goals: Detroit's home defensive record and Hartford's away scoring both point to a tighter, lower-scoring game than the 47% over 2.5 line implies.
What our AI analysts say
1 of 3 think Detroit City's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Coach
styles in the numbersDetroit's home defence should decide a low-scoring contest
Hartford manage just 0.80 per game away.
Detroit: slightly underrated
Fewer goalsLow The Dressing Room
the table and pressureBoth sides arrive fresh but with very different stakes
Detroit sit 5th on 51 points, 8 clear of 13th-placed Hartford on 43. Detroit have won 4 of their last 6 and are unbeaten in 5 at home. Both teams have had 6 days' rest, so fatigue is no excuse for either.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe home lean looks fair, but the goals line may be a touch high
Hartford have drawn 3 of their last 5 away and score 1.53 per game on the road, more than Detroit's 1.13 at home, yet both-teams-scored is only 48% published.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Detroit City are favourites at 56%, with Hartford Athletic on 20% and the draw on 24%. Detroit City are 5th and Hartford Athletic 13th in the USL Championship. In their last five league games, Detroit City won three and Hartford Athletic one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Detroit City win or draw
- 80%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 76%
- Hartford Athletic win or draw
- 44%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 73%
- 3+ goals
- 47%
- 4+ goals
- 26%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 48%
- No
- 52%
We expect about 1.7 goals from Detroit City and 0.9 from Hartford Athletic. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (13%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 1–1 (11%), 2–0 (11%), 2–1 (10%), 0–0 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 56% | 24% | 20% | Stats preview | #2066 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Detroit City: last 6
DLWWWD · 5 scored, 2 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Louisville City | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Oct | at Tampa Bay Rowdies | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Rhode Island | 1–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Birmingham Legion | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Sep | at Brooklyn | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Colorado Springs | 0–0 | D |
Last 5 at home: WWDWD
Hartford Athletic: last 6
WLDLDD · 9 scored, 10 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Rhode Island | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Brooklyn | 2–3 | L |
| 14 Oct | vs Charleston Battery | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | at Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Sep | vs Louisville City | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Sep | at Las Vegas Lights | 1–1 | D |
Last 5 away: LDDWD
Season stats
| Detroit City | Hartford Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.13 | Goals scored per game | 1.17 |
| 0.70 | Goals conceded per game | 1.10 |
| 1.13 | Scored per game at home | 1.53 |
| 1.13 | Scored per game away | 0.80 |
| 33% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 47% |
| 37% | Both teams scored | 53% |
| 50% | Clean sheets | 30% |
| 33% | Failed to score | 37% |
League matches only, 30 games each.
USL Championship table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Charleston Battery | 30 | +21 | 53 | WWDLW |
| 3 | New Mexico United | 30 | +11 | 52 | WLWWL |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 30 | +14 | 51 | WWDDW |
| 5 | Detroit City | 30 | +13 | 51 | DLWWW |
| 6 | El Paso Locomotive | 30 | +10 | 50 | LLWLD |
| 7 | Lexington | 30 | +18 | 48 | DWDWW |
| 8 | Louisville City | 30 | +8 | 47 | DWWWD |
| … | |||||
| 10 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 30 | +3 | 45 | WDWLL |
| 11 | San Antonio | 30 | +2 | 45 | WWDLD |
| 12 | FC Tulsa | 30 | +3 | 43 | LLDDW |
| 13 | Hartford Athletic | 30 | +2 | 43 | WLDLD |
| 14 | Rhode Island | 30 | +9 | 42 | LDWLW |
| 15 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | -1 | 40 | DWWLL |
| 16 | Orange County SC | 30 | -10 | 39 | LLLLW |
Match context
- Rest days
- Detroit City 6Hartford Athletic 6
- Matches in the last 14 days: Detroit City 2 · Hartford Athletic 2
- Goals in this league
- USL Championship average: 2.72 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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