Charleston Battery vs Rhode Island prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Charleston Battery to win: 47%, about 1 in 2
Goals call3+ goals 52% · bookies 52%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
The sceptic's only real doubt is the total, where Rhode Island's lower over rate nudges the over below the published 52%.
What our AI analysts say
1 of 3 think Charleston Battery's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Coach
styles in the numbersCharleston's home scoring rate should set the tone against a leaky-but-lively Rhode Island
Charleston score 2.47 per game at home and keep a clean sheet 33% of the time, while Rhode Island concede 1.10 per game overall. Rhode Island score 1.53 per game away, so both teams scoring at 54% published feels fair.
Charleston Battery: slightly underrated
Low The Dressing Room
the table and pressureSecond against 14th, with Charleston in form and nothing to separate the rest days
Charleston have won five of their last six, including a 2-0 home win over Rhode Island earlier this season.
Rhode Island: slightly overrated
Low The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe prices look about right, though the total may be a touch generous
47-26-27 broadly matches the data: Charleston won the earlier meeting 2-0 and are stronger at home, but Rhode Island have won two of their last three away.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Charleston Battery are favourites at 47%, with Rhode Island on 27% and the draw on 26%. Charleston Battery are 2nd and Rhode Island 14th in the USL Championship. In their last five league games, Charleston Battery won three and Rhode Island two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Charleston Battery win or draw
- 73%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 74%
- Rhode Island win or draw
- 53%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 76%
- 3+ goals
- 52%
- 4+ goals
- 30%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 54%
- No
- 46%
We expect about 1.6 goals from Charleston Battery and 1.1 from Rhode Island. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%), 2–0 (8%), 0–1 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 47% | 26% | 27% | Stats preview | #2064 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Charleston Battery: last 6
WWDLWW · 7 scored, 4 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Indy Eleven | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | at Miami FC | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Oct | at Hartford Athletic | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Louisville City | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Rhode Island | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Monterey Bay | 1–0 | W |
Last 5 at home: WLWWL
Rhode Island: last 6
LDWLWW · 7 scored, 5 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Hartford Athletic | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Oct | vs Loudoun United | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | at Detroit City | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Oct | at Brooklyn | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Sep | vs Indy Eleven | 1–0 | W |
Last 5 away: LLWLW
Season stats
| Charleston Battery | Rhode Island | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.87 | Goals scored per game | 1.40 |
| 1.17 | Goals conceded per game | 1.10 |
| 2.47 | Scored per game at home | 1.53 |
| 1.27 | Scored per game away | 1.27 |
| 53% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 43% |
| 47% | Both teams scored | 53% |
| 33% | Clean sheets | 27% |
| 20% | Failed to score | 23% |
League matches only, 30 games each.
USL Championship table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 30 | +26 | 61 | WWWLD |
| 2 | Charleston Battery | 30 | +21 | 53 | WWDLW |
| 3 | New Mexico United | 30 | +11 | 52 | WLWWL |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 30 | +14 | 51 | WWDDW |
| 5 | Detroit City | 30 | +13 | 51 | DLWWW |
| … | |||||
| 11 | San Antonio | 30 | +2 | 45 | WWDLD |
| 12 | FC Tulsa | 30 | +3 | 43 | LLDDW |
| 13 | Hartford Athletic | 30 | +2 | 43 | WLDLD |
| 14 | Rhode Island | 30 | +9 | 42 | LDWLW |
| 15 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | -1 | 40 | DWWLL |
| 16 | Orange County SC | 30 | -10 | 39 | LLLLW |
| 17 | Oakland Roots | 30 | -1 | 38 | LWDDW |
Match context
- Rest days
- Charleston Battery 6Rhode Island 6
- Matches in the last 14 days: Charleston Battery 2 · Rhode Island 2
- Goals in this league
- USL Championship average: 2.72 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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