Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Trabzonspor to win: 70%, about 2 in 3
Goals call3+ goals 65% · bookies 65%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
Key factors
In short
Trabzonspor are clear favourites at 70%, with Gaziantep FK on 13% and the draw on 17%. Trabzonspor are 3rd and Gaziantep FK 15th in the Süper Lig. In their last five league games, Trabzonspor won four and Gaziantep FK none.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Trabzonspor win or draw
- 87%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 82%
- Gaziantep FK win or draw
- 30%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 85%
- 3+ goals
- 65%
- 4+ goals
- 43%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 55%
- No
- 45%
We expect about 2.4 goals from Trabzonspor and 0.9 from Gaziantep FK. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–0 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%), 3–0 (8%), 1–1 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 76% | 14% | 9% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1998 | |
| 2 | 70% | 18% | 13% | Prices moved | #2223 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Trabzonspor: last 6
WWWWWW · 19 scored, 5 conceded
| 26 Oct | at Rizespor | 4–3 | W |
| 22 Oct | vs Heart Of Midlothian UEFA Europa Conference League | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | vs Beşiktaş | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Oct | at KuPS UEFA Europa Conference League | 4–2 | W |
| 10 Oct | at Samsunspor | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Galatasaray | 4–0 | W |
Last 5 at home: WWWWW
Gaziantep FK: last 6
LLLLDW · 6 scored, 12 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Erzurumspor FK | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Oct | at Başakşehir | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Çorum FK | 0–3 | L |
| 19 Sep | at Kocaelispor | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Sep | vs Fenerbahçe | 0–0 | D |
| 7 Sep | at Göztepe | 4–2 | W |
Last 4 away: LLWW
Season stats
| Trabzonspor | Gaziantep FK | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.44 | Goals scored per game | 1.00 |
| 0.89 | Goals conceded per game | 1.67 |
| 3.25 | Scored per game at home | 0.60 |
| 1.80 | Scored per game away | 1.50 |
| 67% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 56% |
| 44% | Both teams scored | 56% |
| 44% | Clean sheets | 22% |
| 11% | Failed to score | 33% |
League matches only, 9 games each.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 9 | +7 | 22 | WWWLW |
| 2 | Amed | 9 | +10 | 20 | WWDWW |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 9 | +14 | 19 | WWWWL |
| 4 | Beşiktaş | 9 | +8 | 18 | WLWLW |
| 5 | Fenerbahçe | 9 | +15 | 16 | LWWWD |
| 6 | Kasımpaşa | 9 | +4 | 16 | WWLDW |
| … | |||||
| 12 | Başakşehir | 9 | -2 | 11 | LWDWL |
| 13 | Rizespor | 9 | -4 | 10 | LLLDW |
| 14 | Konyaspor | 9 | -3 | 8 | WLDDW |
| 15 | Gaziantep FK | 9 | -6 | 8 | LLLLD |
| 16 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 9 | -11 | 8 | LLDLL |
| 17 | Samsunspor | 9 | -13 | 4 | LLLLL |
| 18 | Eyüpspor | 9 | -21 | 3 | LLLLL |
Match context
- Travel for Gaziantep FK
- 483 km
- Rest days
- Trabzonspor 5Gaziantep FK 8
- Matches in the last 14 days: Trabzonspor 3 · Gaziantep FK 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 17°C · wind 3 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- Süper Lig average: 2.90 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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