Genclerbirligi vs Alanyaspor prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Wide open: no clear favourite (Genclerbirligi 37%)
Goals call2 goals or fewer 55%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
Key factors
In short
Genclerbirligi are slight favourites at 37%, with Alanyaspor on 36% and the draw on 27%. Genclerbirligi are 16th and Alanyaspor 11th in the Süper Lig. In their last five league games, Genclerbirligi won none and Alanyaspor one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Genclerbirligi win or draw
- 64%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 73%
- Alanyaspor win or draw
- 63%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 71%
- 3+ goals
- 45%
- 4+ goals
- 24%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 50%
- No
- 50%
We expect about 1.2 goals from Genclerbirligi and 1.2 from Alanyaspor. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (13%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 1–0 (11%), 0–1 (10%), 0–0 (8%), 2–1 (8%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 37% | 27% | 36% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1938 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Genclerbirligi: last 6
LLDLLL · 3 scored, 16 conceded
| 25 Oct | at Konyaspor | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Galatasaray | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Amed | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Sep | at Başakşehir | 0–4 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Kasımpaşa | 1–2 | L |
| 6 Sep | at Trabzonspor | 0–5 | L |
Last 5 at home: LDLDW
Alanyaspor: last 6
LLDWDW · 6 scored, 8 conceded
| 23 Oct | vs Kocaelispor | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | at Fenerbahçe | 0–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Erzurumspor FK | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | at Çorum FK | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Göztepe | 2–2 | D |
| 7 Sep | at Rizespor | 1–0 | W |
Last 5 away: LWWLD
Season stats
| Genclerbirligi | Alanyaspor | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.78 | Goals scored per game | 1.00 |
| 2.00 | Goals conceded per game | 1.22 |
| 1.20 | Scored per game at home | 1.00 |
| 0.25 | Scored per game away | 1.00 |
| 56% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 56% |
| 44% | Both teams scored | 56% |
| 11% | Clean sheets | 33% |
| 44% | Failed to score | 22% |
League matches only, 9 games each.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Erzurumspor FK | 9 | -4 | 14 | WWDWL |
| 9 | Çorum FK | 9 | +3 | 13 | LWWLW |
| 10 | Göztepe | 9 | +3 | 12 | WWWDD |
| 11 | Alanyaspor | 9 | -2 | 12 | LLDWD |
| 12 | Başakşehir | 9 | -2 | 11 | LWDWL |
| 13 | Rizespor | 9 | -4 | 10 | LLLDW |
| 14 | Konyaspor | 9 | -3 | 8 | WLDDW |
| 15 | Gaziantep FK | 9 | -6 | 8 | LLLLD |
| 16 | Genclerbirligi | 9 | -11 | 8 | LLDLL |
| 17 | Samsunspor | 9 | -13 | 4 | LLLLL |
| 18 | Eyüpspor | 9 | -21 | 3 | LLLLL |
Match context
- Travel for Alanyaspor
- 382 km
- Rest days
- Genclerbirligi 8Alanyaspor 10
- Matches in the last 14 days: Genclerbirligi 1 · Alanyaspor 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 14°C · wind 7 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- Süper Lig average: 2.90 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
