Sporting CP vs Academico Viseu prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Sporting CP to win: 78%, about 4 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 66% · bookies 66%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
All three cards agree on the shape of the match: Sporting favoured but not by a landslide, with the draw and Viseu's day-rest advantage keeping it honest. The published 47/23/30 split stands up, while the goals view splits slightly, with the Sceptic nudging under the 63% over 2.5 figure given Viseu's modest away scoring.
What our AI analysts say
All three think Academico Viseu's chances are better than the bookmakers say. None of them makes Academico Viseu favourites.
The Coach
styles in the numbersBoth attacks look lively enough to make this an open, goal-friendly game.
Sporting average 2.50 goals scored per game at home, while Academico Viseu manage 1.75 away. Sporting have failed to score in 0% of league games and both teams have scored in 75% of theirs.
Academico Viseu: strongly underrated
High The Dressing Room
the table and pressureSporting's unbeaten league run carries them, but fatigue after Europe is real.
Sporting are 3rd on 18 points from 8 games, unbeaten (W5 D3 L0), while Viseu are 7th on 14. Sporting have only 4 days' rest after the Lask game, two fixtures in 14 days; Viseu have had 7 days. Sporting's home form reads L D W W W with 12 scored and 7 conceded.
Academico Viseu: strongly underrated
Fewer goalsHigh The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe 63% over 2.5 line looks slightly generous given Viseu's softer scoring away.
Viseu scored just 1.00 per game away this season and failed to score in 25% of league games; their big wins came against Estoril, Estrela, Vitória SC and Gil Vicente, with a 0-3 loss to FC Porto.
Academico Viseu: strongly underrated
Fewer goalsHigh Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
Sporting CP are clear favourites at 78%, with Academico Viseu on 8% and the draw on 14%. Sporting CP are 3rd and Academico Viseu 6th in the Primeira Liga. In their last five league games, Sporting CP won three and Academico Viseu four.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Sporting CP win or draw
- 92%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 86%
- Academico Viseu win or draw
- 21%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 85%
- 3+ goals
- 66%
- 4+ goals
- 44%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 48%
- No
- 52%
We expect about 2.7 goals from Sporting CP and 0.7 from Academico Viseu. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–0 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 3–0 (11%), 1–0 (9%), 2–1 (9%), 3–1 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 47% | 23% | 30% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1210 | |
| 2 | 79% | 14% | 8% | Prices moved | #1307 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Sporting CP: last 6
LWWDDW · 13 scored, 8 conceded
| 21 Oct | vs Lask Linz UEFA Champions League | 2–3 | L |
| 13 Oct | at Lens UEFA Champions League | 2–0 | W |
| 9 Oct | at SC Braga | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Arouca | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Sep | at Famalicao | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Sep | vs Galatasaray UEFA Champions League | 3–1 | W |
Last 5 at home: LDWWW
Academico Viseu: last 6
LWWWWL · 7 scored, 6 conceded
| 18 Oct | at Fátima Taça de Portugal | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Estoril | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | at Estrela | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Vitória SC | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | at GIL Vicente | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs FC Porto | 0–3 | L |
Last 5 away: LWWDD
Season stats
| Sporting CP | Academico Viseu | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.50 | Goals scored per game | 1.38 |
| 1.12 | Goals conceded per game | 1.25 |
| 2.50 | Scored per game at home | 1.00 |
| 2.50 | Scored per game away | 1.75 |
| 75% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 62% |
| 75% | Both teams scored | 50% |
| 25% | Clean sheets | 25% |
| 0% | Failed to score | 25% |
League matches only, 8 games each.
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 9 | +17 | 27 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Benfica | 8 | +17 | 19 | WLWWW |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 8 | +11 | 18 | WDDWW |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 8 | +8 | 18 | WDWWD |
| 5 | Arouca | 9 | +5 | 17 | WWDLD |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 8 | +1 | 14 | WWWWL |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 9 | +1 | 14 | LWWDL |
| 8 | Alverca | 9 | +0 | 11 | LWWWL |
| 9 | SC Braga | 8 | -1 | 11 | LLDWL |
Match context
- Travel for Academico Viseu
- 240 km
- Rest days
- Sporting CP 4Academico Viseu 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Sporting CP 2 · Academico Viseu 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 17°C · wind 7 km/h
- Dry
- Referee
- Miguel Bertolo Nogueira
- Goals in this league
- Primeira Liga average: 2.72 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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