Scunthorpe United vs Woking prediction
Full analysisTeam news, injuries and lineups read by our AI scouts, updated when the official lineups are out. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast
Who wins?
Wide open: no clear favourite (Scunthorpe 39%)
Goals call3+ goals 58% · bookies 58% · ✓ 5 goals
The Verdict
Our numbers remain close to the bookmakers' predictions. The Sceptic's view was not followed, as the market's initial tilt towards Woking was not significantly altered by the H2H history.
What our AI analysts say
All three broadly agree with the bookmakers.
The Coach
tactics and lineupsBoth teams are set up to attack, making a competitive draw a strong possibility.
Both sides are set up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, featuring key attackers like James Norwood and John Marquis. Scunthorpe has won both previous meetings against Woking.
The Dressing Room
mood and pressureBoth sides in patchy form; Scunthorpe's home record vs Woking keeps this tight.
Scunthorpe sit 22nd with 10 points from 12 games and have lost 4 of their last 6 league matches, though there are signs of improvement under Andy Butler.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongScunthorpe's H2H edge over Woking looks slightly undervalued at home
Market makes it near coin-flip: home 39.3%, away 34.9%. Scunthorpe have won all three recent meetings with Woking, including 3-1 at home in August. Over 2.5 at 1.67 aligns with the model's 58% and the league's 3.1 goals per game.
AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips. Who reads the game best
In short
Scunthorpe United, currently 22nd, hosts Woking, 15th, in a National League fixture. Both teams show mixed recent form, but the league's high-scoring environment suggests an open match.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Scunthorpe United win or draw
- 65%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 74%
- Woking win or draw
- 61%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 80%
- 3+ goals
- 58%
- 4+ goals
- 36%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 61%
- No
- 39%
We expect about 1.6 goals from Scunthorpe United and 1.5 from Woking. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%), 1–0 (8%), 0–1 (7%).
How we got to these numbers
| Home | Draw | Away | 3+ goals | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bookmakers | 39% | 26% | 35% | 58% |
| Goals model | 37% | 26% | 37% | 58% |
| AI analysts | 39% | 26% | 35% | 60% |
| Our forecast | 39% | 26% | 35% | 58% |
Verdict: Our final probabilities remain aligned with the market, reflecting the competitive nature of the fixture and the statistical likelihood of goals.
Our forecast starts from the bookmakers' prices and moves only by what the news justifies, capped at 8 percentage points per outcome. Methodology
Prediction history
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Scunthorpe United: last 6
WDLLWL · 9 scored, 10 conceded
| 17 Oct | at Boston United FA Cup | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Oct | vs Derby County U21 National League Cup | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Oct | at AFC Fylde | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Sep | at Barrow | 0–3 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Hartlepool | 4–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | at AFC Hornchurch | 0–1 | L |
Last 5 at home: DWLWL
Woking: last 6
LDLWLW · 14 scored, 13 conceded
| 17 Oct | at Boreham Wood FA Cup | 2–3 | L |
| 13 Oct | vs Leicester City U21 National League Cup | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Harrogate Town | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Oct | at Eastleigh | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Sep | vs Solihull Moors | 2–4 | L |
| 26 Sep | at Carlisle | 5–2 | W |
Last 5 away: LWWDL
Season stats
| Scunthorpe United | Woking | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.25 | Goals scored per game | 1.54 |
| 1.75 | Goals conceded per game | 1.54 |
| 1.80 | Scored per game at home | 1.57 |
| 0.86 | Scored per game away | 1.50 |
| 50% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 46% |
| 50% | Both teams scored | 54% |
| 8% | Clean sheets | 8% |
| 42% | Failed to score | 46% |
| 2.25 | Yellow cards per game | 1.77 |
League matches only, 12 and 13 games.
When goals come
| Minutes | Scunthorpe United | Woking |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | ||
| 16–30 min | ||
| 31–45 min | ||
| 46–60 min | ||
| 61–75 min | ||
| 76–90 min |
National League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | AFC Hornchurch | 14 | -5 | 21 | LWLWL |
| 11 | Carlisle | 14 | +4 | 20 | WDWWL |
| 12 | Kidderminster Harriers | 14 | +2 | 20 | LDDLL |
| 13 | Woking | 14 | +1 | 18 | WLWLW |
| 14 | Aldershot Town | 14 | +1 | 18 | LLLLW |
| 15 | Eastleigh | 14 | -4 | 18 | WLLDL |
| 16 | Sutton Utd | 14 | -6 | 18 | LLDLD |
| … | |||||
| 19 | Hartlepool | 14 | -6 | 15 | WWLLL |
| 20 | Tamworth | 13 | -9 | 14 | LWWLW |
| 21 | Boston United | 14 | -10 | 12 | LLLDL |
| 22 | Scunthorpe United | 13 | -7 | 10 | LLLWL |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 14 | -23 | 7 | LLLWL |
| 24 | Gateshead | 13 | -23 | 4 | LLLLL |
Head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Scunthorpe United won 2, Woking 2, 0 draws; 2.8 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec 2025 | Woking | 1–2 | Scunthorpe United | National League |
| 16 Aug 2025 | Scunthorpe United | 3–1 | Woking | National League |
| 14 Jan 2023 | Scunthorpe United | 0–2 | Woking | National League |
| 16 Aug 2022 | Woking | 2–0 | Scunthorpe United | National League |
Team news: lineups Expected
No reliable expected lineup yet. Confirmed lineups usually arrive about an hour before kick-off.
Team news: injuries and suspensions
No confirmed absences reported.
Key facts
- Scunthorpe United is positioned 22nd in the table with 10 points from 13 league games.[1][2]
- Woking sits in 15th place, having secured 15 points from 13 league matches.[1]
- Scunthorpe United has won both previous encounters with Woking.[2]
- Scunthorpe United won their most recent meeting against Woking 3-1 at home.[1][2]
- The league has a high-scoring environment, averaging 3.1 goals per match.[1]
Sources
- bbc.co.uk – Scunthorpe United vs Woking: National League stats & head-to-head - BBC (2026-10-23)
- wokingfc.co.uk – AHEAD OF THE GAME: SCUNTHORPE AWAY (A) - Woking FC (2026-10-23)
Match context
- Stadium
- Attis Arena, Scunthorpe
- 9,088 seats · grass
- Travel for Woking
- 241 km
- Rest days
- Scunthorpe United 7Woking 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Scunthorpe United 2 · Woking 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 10°C · wind 28 km/h
- Rain expected
- Coaches
- A. Butler
- Scunthorpe United, since May 2024
- N. Ardley
- Woking, since Dec 2024
- Goals in this league
- National League average: 3.10 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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