Boreham Wood vs AFC Fylde prediction
Full analysisTeam news, injuries and lineups read by our AI scouts, updated when the official lineups are out. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast
Who wins?
Boreham Wood to win: 69%, about 2 in 3
Goals call3+ goals 74% · bookies 75% · ✓ 4 goals
The Verdict
Our numbers moved slightly away from the bookmakers' by adjusting the draw and home win percentages based on expert input. The Sceptic's view was not followed, as the perceived value of the draw was not strong enough to shift the final probability significantly.
What our AI analysts say
1 of 3 think a draw is underrated.
The Coach
tactics and lineupsFull-strength league leaders face a Fylde side starting a teenage loan keeper.
Boreham Wood start Whitfield, Bird, Brunt and Bush with no absences; Reynolds and Rush are only nearing fitness. Fylde are unchanged in shape but hand 19-year-old Everton loan keeper George Pickford his senior minutes. Mayor and Olley anchor Fylde's midfield in an otherwise settled XI.
The Dressing Room
mood and pressureUnbeaten, in-form leaders host a beatable Fylde side - home win is the clear read.
Boreham Wood top the National League unbeaten, 35 points from 13 games with six straight wins in all competitions. Fylde sit 7th, 12 points back, with four league defeats including recent losses to Carlisle and Southend. Wood have won the last two league H2Hs, including 4-0 in February.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongLeague leaders' dominance is priced in; the draw is slightly undervalued here.
Market: home 70.3%, draw 16.0%, away 13.7%; over 2.5 at 75.4%. Market-blind model: 63/20/17, over 69%. H2H last five: BW 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss, including a 4-0 in Feb 2024.
AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips. Who reads the game best
In short
Boreham Wood, currently leading the National League, hosts AFC Fylde. Wood enters the match in strong form, having won their last six fixtures across all competitions. The match pits the league leaders against a mid-table Fylde side.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Boreham Wood win or draw
- 86%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 83%
- AFC Fylde win or draw
- 31%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 90%
- 3+ goals
- 74%
- 4+ goals
- 54%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 64%
- No
- 36%
We expect about 2.7 goals from Boreham Wood and 1.2 from AFC Fylde. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–1 (9%). Even the likeliest exact score happens less than 1 time in 10. Next: 3–1 (8%), 2–0 (8%), 3–0 (7%), 1–1 (7%).
How we got to these numbers
| Home | Draw | Away | 3+ goals | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bookmakers | 70% | 16% | 14% | 75% |
| Goals model | 63% | 20% | 17% | 69% |
| AI analysts | 63% | 20% | 16% | 67% |
| Our forecast | 69% | 17% | 14% | 74% |
Verdict: Our final probabilities are very close to the market, with only minor adjustments made by the expert analysts. The adjustments were driven by the perceived value of the draw and the leaders' current form.
Our forecast starts from the bookmakers' prices and moves only by what the news justifies, capped at 8 percentage points per outcome. Methodology
Prediction history
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Boreham Wood: last 6
WWWWWW · 21 scored, 5 conceded
| 20 Oct | vs Middlesbrough U21 National League Cup | 7–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Woking FA Cup | 3–2 | W |
| 9 Oct | at Sutton Utd | 2–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Altrincham | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Sep | vs Kidderminster Harriers | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | at Solihull Moors | 3–0 | W |
Last 5 at home: WWWWD
AFC Fylde: last 6
WWLLWL · 10 scored, 7 conceded
| 17 Oct | vs Atherton Collieries FA Cup | 5–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Scunthorpe | 2–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | at Southend | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Sep | vs Carlisle | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | at Boston United | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Altrincham | 1–2 | L |
Last 5 away: LWWWW
Season stats
| Boreham Wood | AFC Fylde | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.62 | Goals scored per game | 1.85 |
| 1.00 | Goals conceded per game | 1.38 |
| 2.83 | Scored per game at home | 1.50 |
| 2.43 | Scored per game away | 2.14 |
| 85% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 69% |
| 77% | Both teams scored | 69% |
| 23% | Clean sheets | 23% |
| 0% | Failed to score | 8% |
| 1.46 | Yellow cards per game | 1.69 |
League matches only, 13 games each.
When goals come
| Minutes | Boreham Wood | AFC Fylde |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | ||
| 16–30 min | ||
| 31–45 min | ||
| 46–60 min | ||
| 61–75 min | ||
| 76–90 min |
National League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 14 | +25 | 38 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 14 | +14 | 31 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Southend | 14 | +12 | 28 | DWWDL |
| 4 | Worthing | 14 | +10 | 27 | WWWDW |
| 5 | Altrincham | 14 | +2 | 27 | WWLWW |
| 6 | Yeovil Town | 14 | +16 | 25 | LWWDW |
| 7 | AFC Fylde | 14 | +2 | 23 | LWLLW |
| 8 | FC Halifax Town | 14 | +7 | 21 | DWWDL |
| 9 | Barrow | 13 | +6 | 21 | WWWWW |
| 10 | AFC Hornchurch | 14 | -5 | 21 | LWLWL |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Boreham Wood won 2, AFC Fylde 2, 2 draws; 3.0 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb 2024 | Boreham Wood | 4–0 | AFC Fylde | National League |
| 26 Sep 2023 | AFC Fylde | 2–2 | Boreham Wood | National League |
| 1 Feb 2020 | AFC Fylde | 1–2 | Boreham Wood | National League |
| 26 Oct 2019 | Boreham Wood | 0–2 | AFC Fylde | National League |
| 9 Mar 2019 | Boreham Wood | 1–1 | AFC Fylde | National League |
| 24 Nov 2018 | AFC Fylde | 2–1 | Boreham Wood | National League |
Team news: lineups Expected
No reliable expected lineup yet. Confirmed lineups usually arrive about an hour before kick-off.
Team news: injuries and suspensions
Key facts
- Boreham Wood is currently in first place in the league with 35 points from 13 games.[1]
- AFC Fylde sits in seventh place in the table, having accumulated 23 points from 13 matches.[2]
- Boreham Wood has won all of its last six matches across all competitions, including a 7-1 victory over Middlesbrough U21.[2]
- AFC Fylde's recent form has been mixed, featuring two losses in their last three league fixtures.[2]
- The head-to-head history includes a 4-0 win for Boreham Wood in February 2024.[2]
Sources
- borehamwoodfootballclub.co.uk – Chairman’s notes: AFC Fylde (H) - Boreham Wood Football Club (2026-10-21)
- bbc.co.uk – Boreham Wood vs Fylde: National League stats & head-to-head - BBC (2026-10-23)
Off the pitch
Match context
- Stadium
- Meadow Park, Borehamwood, Hertfordshire
- 4,502 seats · grass
- Travel for AFC Fylde
- 285 km
- Rest days
- Boreham Wood 3AFC Fylde 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Boreham Wood 2 · AFC Fylde 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 11°C · wind 26 km/h
- Rain expected
- Coaches
- Luke Garrard
- Boreham Wood, since Aug 2025
- Chris Beech
- AFC Fylde, since Sep 2025
- Goals in this league
- National League average: 3.10 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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