Kidderminster Harriers vs Worthing prediction
Full analysisTeam news, injuries and lineups read by our AI scouts, updated when the official lineups are out. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast
Who wins?
Wide open: no clear favourite (Kidderminster Harriers 38%)
Goals call3+ goals 58% · bookies 57% · ✓ 3 goals
The Verdict
Our numbers stay close to the bookmakers', moving only a point on the home side and one on the over, as The Coach's two-point home shift and The Sceptic's two-point draw shift largely cancel out. The Dressing Room's four-point shift toward Worthing was not followed, because Worthing's four absences and their 0-3 FA Cup defeat temper the form advantage it emphasised.
What our AI analysts say
Our analysts are split: The Coach thinks Kidderminster Harriers are underrated; The Dressing Room thinks Worthing are underrated; The Sceptic thinks a draw is underrated.
The Coach
tactics and lineupsWorthing's four absentees tilt a tight game toward a healthier home side.
Worthing are without Ransom (fractured wrist), Husin, Clarke and Foulkes. Kidderminster miss Mahoney and likely Dolan, but Crompton starts and Evans returns with minutes managed; Reindorf is available. Kiddy's back line features Harries and Wint; Worthing counter with Kendall and Wadham up top.
Kidderminster Harriers: slightly underrated
Fewer goalsLow✗ Wrong The Dressing Room
mood and pressureWorthing's league run and sharper form edge a tight first meeting at Aggborough.
Kidderminster sit 11th on 20 points without a league win in five, though they beat Solihull 2-1 in the cup. First-ever league meeting.
Worthing: slightly underrated
Fewer goalsLow✓ Right The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongWorthing's price about right; draw and under slightly overpriced against my numbers.
Pinnacle makes this near coin-flip: home 2.54, away 2.65, draw 3.59. Over 2.5 is priced at 55.6%, but the goals model puts it at 47% with expected goals around 1.33-1.23. First-ever league meeting between the sides.
AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips. Who reads the game best
In short
Kidderminster Harriers host Worthing at Aggborough in their first ever league meeting. Kidderminster are 11th and winless in their last five league games, while fifth-placed Worthing are unbeaten in the league since late August. Worthing travel with four players out, and Kidderminster have injury doubts of their own.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Kidderminster Harriers win or draw
- 64%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 74%
- Worthing win or draw
- 63%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 80%
- 3+ goals
- 58%
- 4+ goals
- 35%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 60%
- No
- 40%
We expect about 1.5 goals from Kidderminster Harriers and 1.5 from Worthing. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 2–1 (8%), 1–2 (8%), 1–0 (8%), 0–1 (7%).
How we got to these numbers
| Home | Draw | Away | 3+ goals | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bookmakers | 38% | 26% | 36% | 57% |
| Goals model | 38% | 29% | 33% | 47% |
| AI analysts | 37% | 28% | 34% | 48% |
| Our forecast | 37% | 26% | 36% | 58% |
Verdict: Our numbers stay close to the market because the form gap in Worthing's favour and Kidderminster's healthier squad largely offset each other, and both are already public knowledge. We keep a small draw tilt and leave totals near the market line.
Our forecast starts from the bookmakers' prices and moves only by what the news justifies, capped at 8 percentage points per outcome. Methodology
Prediction history
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Kidderminster Harriers: last 6
WDDLLD · 4 scored, 6 conceded
| 17 Oct | vs Solihull Moors FA Cup | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | at Carlisle | 0–0 | D |
| 3 Oct | vs Sutton Utd | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Sep | at Boreham Wood | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Yeovil Town | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | at Woking | 0–0 | D |
Last 5 at home: WDLWW
Worthing: last 6
LLWWDW · 11 scored, 8 conceded
| 17 Oct | at Wealdstone FA Cup | 0–3 | L |
| 13 Oct | vs Ipswich Town U21 National League Cup | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Solihull Moors | 5–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | at Gateshead | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Sep | at Yeovil Town | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Sep | vs FC Halifax Town | 2–1 | W |
Last 5 away: LWDWD
Season stats
| Kidderminster Harriers | Worthing | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.15 | Goals scored per game | 2.08 |
| 0.92 | Goals conceded per game | 1.38 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game at home | 2.00 |
| 1.33 | Scored per game away | 2.17 |
| 31% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 77% |
| 46% | Both teams scored | 77% |
| 38% | Clean sheets | 23% |
| 31% | Failed to score | 0% |
| 2.85 | Yellow cards per game | 1.38 |
League matches only, 13 games each.
When goals come
| Minutes | Kidderminster Harriers | Worthing |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | ||
| 16–30 min | ||
| 31–45 min | ||
| 46–60 min | ||
| 61–75 min | ||
| 76–90 min |
National League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 14 | +25 | 38 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 14 | +14 | 31 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Southend | 14 | +12 | 28 | DWWDL |
| 4 | Worthing | 14 | +10 | 27 | WWWDW |
| 5 | Altrincham | 14 | +2 | 27 | WWLWW |
| 6 | Yeovil Town | 14 | +16 | 25 | LWWDW |
| 7 | AFC Fylde | 14 | +2 | 23 | LWLLW |
| … | |||||
| 9 | Barrow | 13 | +6 | 21 | WWWWW |
| 10 | AFC Hornchurch | 14 | -5 | 21 | LWLWL |
| 11 | Carlisle | 14 | +4 | 20 | WDWWL |
| 12 | Kidderminster Harriers | 14 | +2 | 20 | LDDLL |
| 13 | Woking | 14 | +1 | 18 | WLWLW |
| 14 | Aldershot Town | 14 | +1 | 18 | LLLLW |
| 15 | Eastleigh | 14 | -4 | 18 | WLLDL |
Head-to-head
- The clubs have never met in the league; their only previous meeting was an FA Cup second round tie around 40 years ago, which Kidderminster won 2-0.[2]
Team news: lineups Expected
No reliable expected lineup yet. Confirmed lineups usually arrive about an hour before kick-off.
Team news: injuries and suspensions
| Player | Team | Status | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Ransom | Worthing | Out | [1] |
| Noor Husin | Worthing | Out | [1] |
| Tyrique Clarke | Worthing | Out | [1] |
| Harrison Foulkes | Worthing | Out | [1] |
| Connor Mahoney | Kidderminster Harriers | Out | [2] |
| Ben Crompton | Kidderminster Harriers | Doubt | [2] |
| Callum Dolan | Kidderminster Harriers | Doubt | [2] |
| Owen Evans | Kidderminster Harriers | Returning | [2] |
| Olly Tipton | Kidderminster Harriers | Returning | [2] |
Key facts
- Kidderminster Harriers sit 11th with 20 points from 13 games; Worthing are 5th with 24 points from the same number.[3]
- Kidderminster have not won any of their last five league matches, drawing three and losing two.[1][3]
- Worthing's last league defeat came on 31 August against Boreham Wood, and their recent league form includes wins over Solihull Moors, Gateshead and FC Halifax Town.[1]
- This is the first league meeting between the clubs; their only prior encounter was an FA Cup second round tie around 40 years ago, won 2-0 by Kidderminster.[2]
- New Kidderminster signing Michael Reindorf is available for the match.[2][4]
- Worthing sit four points off second-placed Harrogate.[1]
Sources
- worthingfc.com – Match Preview: Kidderminster Harriers vs Worthing FC - Worthing FC (2026-10-23)
- harriers.co.uk – Saturday: Harriers vs Worthing - Kidderminster Harriers (2026-10-23)
- bbc.co.uk – Kidderminster Harriers vs Worthing: National League stats & head-to-head - BBC (2026-10-23)
- bbc.co.uk – Harriers sign forward Reindorf on short-term deal (2026-10-23)
- bbc.co.uk – Beauty spot sale proposal dropped amid objections (2026-10-22)
Off the pitch
- A council plan to sell Burlish Country Park land to Kidderminster Harriers was dropped after public objections, a setback to the club's development plans, though the council says it will still support the club's ambitions.[5]
Match context
- Stadium
- Aggborough Stadium, Kidderminster, Worcestershire
- 6,453 seats · grass
- Travel for Worthing
- 217 km
- Rest days
- Kidderminster Harriers 7Worthing 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Kidderminster Harriers 1 · Worthing 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 13°C · wind 24 km/h
- Rain expected
- Coaches
- Russell Penn
- Kidderminster Harriers, since Aug 2026
- Adam Hinshelwood
- Worthing, since Aug 2026
- Goals in this league
- National League average: 3.12 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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