Aldershot Town vs Wealdstone prediction
Full analysisTeam news, injuries and lineups read by our AI scouts, updated when the official lineups are out. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast
Who wins?
Aldershot to win: 42%, about 2 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 60% · bookies 59% · ✗ 1 goals
The Verdict
Our numbers stay close to the bookmakers', with only the over 2.5 goals estimate nudged up by one point to reflect the league's scoring rate. The Sceptic's three-point shift towards Aldershot was not followed, because the home side's recent league form offers little support for a stronger lean.
What our AI analysts say
1 of 3 think Aldershot Town's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Coach
tactics and lineupsFull-strength home side with the better squad position should edge a competitive game.
No injuries or suspensions for either team; both managers name full 4-2-3-1 elevens with no surprises versus expectation. Aldershot's midfield duo of Lawless and Odusanya faces Wells-Morrison and Oni, while Dinanga leads the line against a back line featuring Kanu and Francis-Clarke.
The Dressing Room
mood and pressureAldershot's mid-table stability and home advantage give them the edge over the struggling Wealdstone side.
Aldershot Town is currently in 12th position with 18 points and a goal difference of +2. Wealdstone is in 19th position with 12 points and a goal difference of -7. The match is being played in the National League.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongAldershot's superior league standing and goal difference provide them the advantage.
Aldershot Town is currently 12th with a goal difference of +2, while Wealdstone sits in 19th with a GD of -7. The league context shows an average of 3.1 goals per match this season [Context].
Aldershot: slightly underrated
Low✗ Wrong AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips. Who reads the game best
In short
Aldershot Town host Wealdstone in the National League with the home side seven places and six points better off. Both teams come in off cup wins, though neither has listed squad news. The market and our numbers stay closely aligned.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Aldershot Town win or draw
- 68%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 74%
- Wealdstone win or draw
- 58%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 82%
- 3+ goals
- 60%
- 4+ goals
- 38%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 62%
- No
- 38%
We expect about 1.7 goals from Aldershot Town and 1.4 from Wealdstone. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%), 1–0 (7%), 2–2 (6%).
How we got to these numbers
| Home | Draw | Away | 3+ goals | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bookmakers | 42% | 26% | 32% | 59% |
| Goals model | 54% | 25% | 21% | 55% |
| AI analysts | 51% | 25% | 24% | 58% |
| Our forecast | 42% | 26% | 32% | 60% |
Verdict: With no reported team news for either side and the table gap modest, our numbers stay essentially where the market has them, with only a small upward nudge to the over 2.5 goals estimate.
Our forecast starts from the bookmakers' prices and moves only by what the news justifies, capped at 8 percentage points per outcome. Methodology
Prediction history
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Aldershot Town: last 6
WDWLLL · 12 scored, 13 conceded
| 20 Oct | at Tadley Calleva FA Cup | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Tadley Calleva FA Cup | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Oct | vs Norwich City U21 National League Cup | 5–3 | W |
| 10 Oct | at Altrincham | 1–3 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs Carlisle | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Sep | at AFC Hornchurch | 1–2 | L |
Last 5 at home: DWLWD
Wealdstone: last 6
WWLLDW · 10 scored, 9 conceded
| 20 Oct | vs Nottingham Forest U21 National League Cup | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Worthing FA Cup | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Yeovil Town | 0–6 | L |
| 3 Oct | at Barrow | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Sep | at Forest Green | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Sep | vs Gateshead | 4–0 | W |
Last 5 away: LDLWW
Season stats
| Aldershot Town | Wealdstone | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.38 | Goals scored per game | 1.31 |
| 1.23 | Goals conceded per game | 1.85 |
| 1.83 | Scored per game at home | 1.17 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game away | 1.43 |
| 46% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 62% |
| 69% | Both teams scored | 62% |
| 15% | Clean sheets | 15% |
| 15% | Failed to score | 23% |
| 2.31 | Yellow cards per game | 2.23 |
League matches only, 13 games each.
When goals come
| Minutes | Aldershot Town | Wealdstone |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | ||
| 16–30 min | ||
| 31–45 min | ||
| 46–60 min | ||
| 61–75 min | ||
| 76–90 min |
National League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Carlisle | 14 | +4 | 20 | WDWWL |
| 12 | Kidderminster Harriers | 14 | +2 | 20 | LDDLL |
| 13 | Woking | 14 | +1 | 18 | WLWLW |
| 14 | Aldershot Town | 14 | +1 | 18 | LLLLW |
| 15 | Eastleigh | 14 | -4 | 18 | WLLDL |
| 16 | Sutton Utd | 14 | -6 | 18 | LLDLD |
| 17 | Forest Green | 12 | -3 | 15 | LDDLD |
| 18 | Wealdstone | 14 | -6 | 15 | WLLDW |
| 19 | Hartlepool | 14 | -6 | 15 | WWLLL |
| 20 | Tamworth | 13 | -9 | 14 | LWWLW |
| 21 | Boston United | 14 | -10 | 12 | LLLDL |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Aldershot Town won 3, Wealdstone 2, 1 draw; 4.0 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Apr 2026 | Wealdstone | 3–0 | Aldershot Town | National League |
| 30 Dec 2025 | Aldershot Town | 4–1 | Wealdstone | National League |
| 25 Mar 2025 | Wealdstone | 1–3 | Aldershot Town | National League |
| 7 Dec 2024 | Aldershot Town | 3–1 | Wealdstone | FA Trophy |
| 9 Nov 2024 | Aldershot Town | 0–2 | Wealdstone | National League |
| 30 Jan 2024 | Wealdstone | 3–3 | Aldershot Town | National League |
Team news: lineups Expected
No reliable expected lineup yet. Confirmed lineups usually arrive about an hour before kick-off.
Team news: injuries and suspensions
No confirmed absences reported.
Key facts
- Aldershot Town sit 12th with 18 points from 13 league games, including three home wins.[1]
- Wealdstone are 19th with 12 points from 13 league games and have won only once at home.[1]
- Aldershot lost their last two league matches, at Altrincham and at home to Carlisle.[1]
- Both sides progressed in the FA Cup in mid-October, Aldershot beating Tadley Calleva and Wealdstone beating Worthing.[1]
- Wealdstone won the most recent league meeting between the two, 3-0 in April 2026.[1]
Sources
- bbc.co.uk – Aldershot Town vs Wealdstone: National League stats & head-to-head - BBC (2026-10-23)
Match context
- Stadium
- Electrical Services Stadium, Aldershot, Hampshire
- 7,100 seats · grass
- Travel for Wealdstone
- 43 km
- Rest days
- Aldershot Town 3Wealdstone 3
- Matches in the last 14 days: Aldershot Town 3 · Wealdstone 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 11°C · wind 28 km/h
- Rain expected
- Coaches
- John Coleman
- Aldershot Town, since Aug 2025
- Sam Cox
- Wealdstone, since Oct 2025
- Goals in this league
- National League average: 3.10 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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