Doncaster Rovers vs Stockport County prediction
Full analysisTeam news, injuries and lineups read by our AI scouts, updated when the official lineups are out. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast
Who wins?
Stockport to win: 57%, about 3 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 63% · bookies 59% · ✗ 2 goals
The Verdict
Our win probabilities stay exactly at the market's 21/22/57 because no confirmed availability facts justify a shift in either direction. The Sceptic's 6-point shift toward Doncaster was not followed, as fixture congestion alone is not a confirmed reason to expect rotation or a weakened Stockport.
What our AI analysts say
2 of 3 think Stockport County's chances are better than the bookmakers say. The Sceptic thinks Doncaster Rovers are underrated.
The Coach
tactics and lineupsStockport's settled side and depth edge a tight night at Doncaster.
Both sides name near full-strength XIs with no reported injuries or suspensions. Key duel: Stockport's experienced midfield trio against Doncaster's Gotts-Bailey axis.
Stockport: slightly underrated
Fewer goalsLow✓ Right The Dressing Room
mood and pressureIn-form Stockport, second in the table, hold the edge over a Doncaster side just off a winning run.
Stockport sit 2nd with 19 points and are unbeaten in five, winning four straight. Doncaster are 17th with 9 points but won three in a row without conceding before losing 2-1 to Leicester.
Stockport: slightly underrated
More goalsLow✓ Right The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongStockport deservedly favoured, but fixture congestion gives Doncaster a bit more chance than priced.
Stockport sit 2nd with 19 points and a +10 goal difference; Doncaster are 17th on 9 points.
Doncaster: clearly underrated
Fewer goalsMed✗ Wrong AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips. Who reads the game best
In short
Stockport arrive second in League One, unbeaten in five, against a Doncaster side 17th but off three straight wins before a narrow defeat at Leicester. No team news is available for either squad, and Stockport's congested schedule makes rotation possible. Our numbers stay close to the market's away lean.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Doncaster Rovers win or draw
- 43%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 78%
- Stockport County win or draw
- 79%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 83%
- 3+ goals
- 63%
- 4+ goals
- 41%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 61%
- No
- 39%
We expect about 1.2 goals from Doncaster Rovers and 2.0 from Stockport County. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–2 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 1–1 (10%), 0–2 (8%), 0–1 (8%), 1–3 (7%).
How we got to these numbers
| Home | Draw | Away | 3+ goals | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bookmakers | 21% | 22% | 57% | 59% |
| Goals model | 29% | 27% | 44% | 51% |
| AI analysts | 27% | 26% | 47% | 68% |
| Our forecast | 21% | 22% | 57% | 63% |
Verdict: Our probabilities match the no-vig market almost exactly: with no confirmed team news for either side, neither Stockport's form nor the congestion concern is strong enough to move the numbers.
Our forecast starts from the bookmakers' prices and moves only by what the news justifies, capped at 8 percentage points per outcome. Methodology
Prediction history
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Doncaster Rovers: last 6
LWWWLL · 6 scored, 6 conceded
| 17 Oct | at Leicester | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Burton Albion | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Oct | vs Liverpool U21 EFL Trophy | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | at Peterborough | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | at AFC Wimbledon | 0–1 | L |
| 8 Sep | vs Huddersfield EFL Trophy | 1–3 | L |
Last 5 at home: WWLLD
Stockport County: last 6
WWWWDL · 10 scored, 5 conceded
| 17 Oct | vs Bromley | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Barnsley | 3–1 | W |
| 6 Oct | at Shrewsbury EFL Trophy | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Peterborough | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | at Sheffield Wednesday | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs Leicester | 3–4 | L |
Last 5 away: WDWLW
Season stats
| Doncaster Rovers | Stockport County | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.11 | Goals scored per game | 2.10 |
| 1.22 | Goals conceded per game | 1.10 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game at home | 2.33 |
| 1.20 | Scored per game away | 1.75 |
| 44% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 60% |
| 56% | Both teams scored | 50% |
| 33% | Clean sheets | 40% |
| 22% | Failed to score | 20% |
| 2.22 | Yellow cards per game | 1.00 |
League matches only, 9 and 10 games.
When goals come
| Minutes | Doncaster Rovers | Stockport County |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | ||
| 16–30 min | ||
| 31–45 min | ||
| 46–60 min | ||
| 61–75 min | ||
| 76–90 min |
League One table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | 12 | +13 | 25 | WWWDW |
| 2 | Stockport County | 12 | +12 | 23 | DWWWW |
| 3 | Bradford | 12 | +5 | 22 | DDWDD |
| 4 | Plymouth | 13 | +2 | 22 | WLLWW |
| 5 | Reading | 12 | +12 | 21 | WWLWD |
| … | |||||
| 14 | Wycombe | 12 | -4 | 15 | DDWLD |
| 15 | Leyton Orient | 12 | +2 | 14 | LLWDL |
| 16 | AFC Wimbledon | 12 | -11 | 13 | DLLLD |
| 17 | Doncaster Rovers | 11 | -1 | 12 | WLLWW |
| 18 | Milton Keynes Dons | 11 | -6 | 12 | WLWLD |
| 19 | Notts County | 11 | -3 | 11 | DWLLL |
| 20 | Blackpool | 11 | -4 | 11 | LWLLL |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Doncaster Rovers won 0, Stockport County 5, 1 draw; 3.0 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2026 | Stockport County | 1–1 | Doncaster Rovers | League Cup |
| 3 Mar 2026 | Doncaster Rovers | 0–1 | Stockport County | EFL Trophy |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Stockport County | 4–2 | Doncaster Rovers | League One |
| 9 Dec 2025 | Doncaster Rovers | 0–2 | Stockport County | League One |
| 27 Jan 2024 | Doncaster Rovers | 1–5 | Stockport County | League Two |
| 7 Oct 2023 | Stockport County | 1–0 | Doncaster Rovers | League Two |
Team news: lineups Confirmed
Goalkeeper
- 1Tommy Simkin
Defenders
- 27S. Grehan
- 12N. Byrne
- 6J. McGrath
Midfielders
- 11L. Ayinde
- 22R. Gotts
- 8G. Broadbent
- 25B. McCann
- 4O. Bailey
- 10A. May
Forward
- 9B. Hanlan
Substitutes (7)
- 20D. Robinson
- 32Jake Oram
- 18W. Keane
- 21I. Hutchinson
- 15H. Clifton
- 47H. Adelakun
- 39P. Lincoln
Goalkeeper
- 1Oliver Whatmuff
Defenders
- 25M. Jobe
- 6E. O'Connell
- 5E. Pye
Midfielders
- 15R. Glover
- 4L. Bate
- 10O. Norwood
- 23B. Osborn
Forwards
- 7J. Diamond
- 19K. Wootton
- 16H. Wood
Substitutes (7)
- 20J. Adigun
- 9B. Andrésson
- 2J. Dacres-Cogley
- 30Ethan Ennis
- 18L. Fiorini
- 22M. Mandron
- 29Adama Sidibeh
Official team sheets, updated UK time (GMT).
Team news: injuries and suspensions
No confirmed absences reported.
Key facts
- Stockport sit second in League One with 19 points from 10 games, while Doncaster are 17th with 9 points.[3]
- Stockport are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions, including four straight wins.[3]
- Doncaster won three consecutive games without conceding before losing 2-1 at Leicester on 17 October.[5]
- Stockport are in a period of four games in 15 days, raising the possibility of rotation.[5]
- Doncaster's league home record this season is one win, two draws and one defeat.[3]
- Stockport have won two and lost one of their four away league games so far.[3]
- Only four points separate the top seven in League One, underlining how compact the table is.[5]
Sources
Match context
- Stadium
- Eco-Power Stadium, Doncaster, South Yorkshire
- 15,231 seats · grass
- Travel for Stockport County
- 69 km
- Rest days
- Doncaster Rovers 3Stockport County 3
- Matches in the last 14 days: Doncaster Rovers 2 · Stockport County 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 11°C · wind 9 km/h
- Rain expected
- Coaches
- G. McCann
- Doncaster Rovers, since May 2023
- J. McNulty
- Stockport County, since Aug 2026
- Goals in this league
- League One average: 2.84 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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