Bromley vs Leicester City prediction
Full analysisTeam news, injuries and lineups read by our AI scouts, updated when the official lineups are out. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast
Who wins?
Leicester to win: 57%, about 3 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 64% · bookies 64% · ✓ 4 goals
The Verdict
Our numbers stay close to the bookmakers': the 5-point case for Leicester from The Dressing Room and the 5-point case for Bromley from The Sceptic offset each other, and The Coach's 3-point tilt to Leicester was not followed because it was the smaller shift and the underlying model did not support it.
What our AI analysts say
2 of 3 think Leicester City's chances are better than the bookmakers say. The Sceptic thinks Bromley are underrated.
The Coach
tactics and lineupsLeicester's deeper squad and near-full-strength XI edge a scrappy night at Hayes Lane
Bromley are without Charles and Woodman, with Taylor surprisingly named despite being listed sidelined. Leicester are near full strength: Chaplin is back, Smallbone close, only Joseph out. Key duel: Whitely or Jones attacking Thomas's left wing-back channel.
Leicester: slightly underrated
Fewer goalsLow✓ Right The Dressing Room
mood and pressureLeicester's away record and new-found momentum against a struggling, low-confidence Bromley.
Bromley sit 22nd on a four-game losing run with the league's worst home form and lowest xG. Leicester are 14th, unbeaten away this season, and just beat Doncaster 2-1 for a first league win since 12 September.
Leicester: clearly underrated
Fewer goalsMed✓ Right The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongMarket may underrate Bromley's slim home chance against an inconsistent Leicester
The market prices Bromley at 21.4% while a market-blind model rates them at 32%, and their last two league defeats came by a single goal.
Bromley: clearly underrated
Med✗ Wrong AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips. Who reads the game best
In short
Bromley, 22nd and on a four-game losing run, host a Leicester side 14th but unbeaten away this season and fresh from a first league win since mid-September. Bromley's attack and defence rank worst in the division, while Leicester may rotate from a deep squad. The market leans clearly to the visitors.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Bromley win or draw
- 43%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 78%
- Leicester City win or draw
- 79%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 84%
- 3+ goals
- 64%
- 4+ goals
- 41%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 61%
- No
- 39%
We expect about 1.2 goals from Bromley and 2.1 from Leicester City. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–2 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 1–1 (9%), 0–2 (8%), 0–1 (8%), 1–3 (7%).
How we got to these numbers
| Home | Draw | Away | 3+ goals | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bookmakers | 21% | 22% | 57% | 64% |
| Goals model | 32% | 25% | 43% | 61% |
| AI analysts | 28% | 25% | 48% | 61% |
| Our forecast | 21% | 22% | 57% | 64% |
Verdict: Our final numbers match the no-vig market because the case for Leicester (squad depth, unbeaten away record, fresh win) is roughly balanced by Bromley's narrow recent league defeats and the awkwardness of a night game at Hayes Lane against a side with nothing to lose.
Our forecast starts from the bookmakers' prices and moves only by what the news justifies, capped at 8 percentage points per outcome. Methodology
Prediction history
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Bromley: last 6
LLLLWD · 5 scored, 11 conceded
| 17 Oct | at Stockport County | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | at Mansfield Town | 1–2 | L |
| 6 Oct | at Crawley Town EFL Trophy | 0–4 | L |
| 22 Sep | vs Brentford U21 EFL Trophy | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Huddersfield | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | at Blackpool | 2–2 | D |
Last 5 at home: LWLLD
Leicester City: last 6
WLLWDW · 15 scored, 11 conceded
| 17 Oct | vs Doncaster | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Peterborough | 1–3 | L |
| 6 Oct | at Stevenage EFL Trophy | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Sep | vs Fulham U21 EFL Trophy | 6–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | at Barnsley | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | at Stockport County | 4–3 | W |
Last 5 away: LDWDL
Season stats
| Bromley | Leicester City | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.00 | Goals scored per game | 1.33 |
| 2.33 | Goals conceded per game | 1.67 |
| 0.75 | Scored per game at home | 1.20 |
| 1.20 | Scored per game away | 1.50 |
| 56% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 56% |
| 56% | Both teams scored | 67% |
| 11% | Clean sheets | 22% |
| 33% | Failed to score | 22% |
| 2.00 | Yellow cards per game | 1.67 |
League matches only, 9 games each.
When goals come
| Minutes | Bromley | Leicester City |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | ||
| 16–30 min | ||
| 31–45 min | ||
| 46–60 min | ||
| 61–75 min | ||
| 76–90 min |
League One table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Luton | 11 | +2 | 17 | WWLWL |
| 11 | Burton Albion | 13 | -1 | 17 | WDDLL |
| 12 | Stevenage | 11 | +4 | 15 | LWLWL |
| 13 | Leicester City | 11 | +0 | 15 | LWWLD |
| 14 | Wycombe | 12 | -4 | 15 | DDWLD |
| 15 | Leyton Orient | 12 | +2 | 14 | LLWDL |
| 16 | AFC Wimbledon | 12 | -11 | 13 | DLLLD |
| … | |||||
| 19 | Notts County | 11 | -3 | 11 | DWLLL |
| 20 | Blackpool | 11 | -4 | 11 | LWLLL |
| 21 | Peterborough | 12 | -10 | 10 | DLDWL |
| 22 | Bromley | 11 | -16 | 9 | DLLLW |
| 23 | Barnsley | 11 | -10 | 8 | LLLLD |
| 24 | Wigan | 11 | -9 | 7 | LLWLL |
Head-to-head
Team news: lineups Confirmed
Goalkeeper
- 1G. Smith
Defenders
- 12Marcus Lemar Ifill
- 5O. Sowunmi
- 45A. Jackson
- 3R. Taylor
Midfielders
- 6G. Saville
- 18C. Whitely
- 16W. Hondermarck
- 28J. McKiernan
- 11M. Pinnock
Forward
- 20V. Adeboyejo
Substitutes (7)
- 10J. Jones
- 14N. Kabamba
- 19M. Miller
- 31O. Mason
- 9M. Cheek
- 22K. Conteh
- 21Kamari Antonio Grant
Goalkeeper
- 29A. McCarthy
Defenders
- 16W. O'Hora
- 15H. Souttar
- 5C. Okoli
Midfielders
- 37W. Alves
- 6J. Lundstram
- 25L. Page
- 33L. Thomas
- 36S. Braybrooke
- 27K. Doyle
Forward
- 17E. Riis
Substitutes (7)
- 14B. De Cordova-Reid
- 20H. Howell
- 24I. Kangasniemi
- 21F. Ravizzoli
- 12W. Smallbone
- 11L. Cullen
- 8C. Chaplin
Official team sheets, updated UK time (GMT).
Team news: injuries and suspensions
| Player | Team | Status | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Joseph | Leicester City | Out | [4] |
| Ilari Kangasniemi | Leicester City | Doubt | [2][3] |
| Christian McFarlane | Leicester City | Doubt | [4][5] |
| Conor Chaplin | Leicester City | Returning | [4] |
| Will Smallbone | Leicester City | Returning | [4][5] |
| Richard Taylor | Bromley | Out | [4] |
| Deon Woodman | Bromley | Out | [4] |
| Ashley Charles | Bromley | Out | [4] |
Key facts
- Bromley sit 22nd in League One with 8 points from 9 games, while Leicester are 14th with 12 points.[1][2][3]
- Bromley have lost four straight in all competitions, though two of those were EFL Trophy matches, and their last two league defeats were by one goal.[4]
- Leicester beat Doncaster 2-1 on 17 October, their first league win since 12 September.[2][8]
- Leicester are unbeaten away in the league this season, while Bromley have the worst home form in the division.[4][9]
- Bromley have the league's lowest xG, fewest touches in the opposition box and have conceded more goals than any League One side.[2][3]
- Leicester manager Russell Martin may name an unchanged XI for the first time under him, or rotate with fixtures piling up.[2][3][5]
- This is the first-ever meeting between the two clubs.[3][4]
Sources
- bbc.co.uk – Bromley aim for awkward and ugly against Leicester (2026-10-19)
- onefootball.com – Leicester City predicted team vs Bromley as Conor Chaplin and Luke Thomas cases outlined - OneFootball (2026-10-20)
- leicestermercury.co.uk – Leicester City predicted team vs Bromley as Conor Chaplin and Luke Thomas cases made - Leicester Mercury (2026-10-20)
- lastwordonsports.com – Bromley vs Leicester City: Latest Team News and Predicted Lineups - Last Word On Sports (2026-10-20)
- leicestermercury.co.uk – Four changes Leicester City could make for Bromley as Russell Martin eyes first - Leicester Mercury (2026-10-20)
- bbc.co.uk – Leicester must build on winning feeling - Doyle (2026-10-19)
- bbc.co.uk – EFL preview: Shining lights and dark nights (2026-10-16)
Off the pitch
Match context
- Stadium
- RELOC8 EM Community Stadium, London
- 5,150 seats · grass
- Travel for Leicester City
- 157 km
- Rest days
- Bromley 3Leicester City 3
- Matches in the last 14 days: Bromley 2 · Leicester City 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 12°C · wind 7 km/h
- Dry
- Coaches
- A. Woodman
- Bromley, since Mar 2021
- Russell Martin
- Leicester City, since Jul 2026
- Goals in this league
- League One average: 2.84 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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