Levante vs Atletico Madrid prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Atletico Madrid to win: 60%, about 3 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 63% · bookies 63%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
All three readings point the same way: Atletico Madrid, 2nd with 25 points from 10 games, are clear favourites at around 60%, with Levante's strong home scoring the main counterpoint.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
1 of 3 think Atletico Madrid's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Coach
styles in the numbersLevante's leaky defence meets Atletico's tight away record
Over 2.5 lands at 70% for both sides.
Atletico Madrid: slightly underrated
Low The Dressing Room
the table and pressureAtletico's points gap makes them clear favourites
Atletico sit 2nd with 25 points from 10 games, W8 D1 L1, while Levante are 14th on 10 points with four defeats. Atletico have won four of their last six in all competitions and arrive with a day more rest. Levante's home form of W D L W offers some hope.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongPrices look broadly right, maybe slightly kind to Levante
Atletico have won their last three league games and score 1.80 away, yet Levante score 3.25 at home and both teams scored in 70% of Levante's matches. The 60% away price and 63% over line look close to fair; I'd nudge Levante up a touch given their home scoring.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Atletico Madrid are clear favourites at 60%, with Levante on 20% and the draw on 20%. Levante are 14th and Atletico Madrid 2nd in LaLiga. In their last five league games, Levante won one and Atletico Madrid five.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Levante win or draw
- 40%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 80%
- Atletico Madrid win or draw
- 80%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 83%
- 3+ goals
- 63%
- 4+ goals
- 40%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 60%
- No
- 40%
We expect about 1.1 goals from Levante and 2.1 from Atletico Madrid. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–2 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 1–1 (9%), 0–2 (9%), 0–1 (8%), 1–3 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20% | 20% | 60% | Stats preview | #1801 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Levante: last 6
LWDDLL · 11 scored, 14 conceded
| 25 Oct | at Real Sociedad | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Oct | vs Athletic Club | 3–1 | W |
| 16 Oct | at Deportivo La Coruna | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Oct | vs Sevilla | 3–3 | D |
| 20 Sep | at Villarreal | 1–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Barcelona | 2–4 | L |
Last 4 at home: WDLW
Atletico Madrid: last 6
WDWWWW · 9 scored, 3 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Deportivo La Coruna | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Oct | at VfB Stuttgart UEFA Champions League | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Oct | at Espanyol | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Oct | vs Manchester United UEFA Champions League | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | at Alaves | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Real Madrid | 2–1 | W |
Last 5 away: DWWWL
Season stats
| Levante | Atletico Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.60 | Goals scored per game | 2.00 |
| 1.90 | Goals conceded per game | 0.80 |
| 3.25 | Scored per game at home | 2.20 |
| 0.50 | Scored per game away | 1.80 |
| 70% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 70% |
| 70% | Both teams scored | 40% |
| 20% | Clean sheets | 50% |
| 30% | Failed to score | 10% |
League matches only, 10 games each.
LaLiga table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 10 | +29 | 27 | LWWWW |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 10 | +12 | 25 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 10 | +15 | 24 | WWWLW |
| 4 | Real Betis | 10 | +2 | 20 | DLWDW |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 10 | +1 | 19 | WWWWL |
| … | |||||
| 11 | Deportivo La Coruna | 10 | +0 | 11 | LDLDL |
| 12 | Osasuna | 10 | -10 | 11 | LWLDL |
| 13 | Racing Santander | 10 | -11 | 11 | WLDLL |
| 14 | Levante | 10 | -3 | 10 | LWDDL |
| 15 | Elche | 10 | -3 | 10 | WDDWL |
| 16 | Rayo Vallecano | 9 | -8 | 9 | LDDWL |
| 17 | Getafe | 10 | -10 | 9 | LDLWL |
Match context
- Travel for Atletico Madrid
- 302 km
- Rest days
- Levante 5Atletico Madrid 6
- Matches in the last 14 days: Levante 2 · Atletico Madrid 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 20°C · wind 17 km/h
- Dry
- Coaches
- Luís Castro
- Levante, since Oct 2026
- D. Simeone
- Atletico Madrid, since Oct 2026
- Goals in this league
- LaLiga average: 3.01 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
