Young Apostles vs Karela prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Young Apostles to win: 46%, about 1 in 2
Goals call2 goals or fewer 59%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
Key factors
In short
Young Apostles are favourites at 46%, with Karela on 26% and the draw on 28%. Young Apostles are 17th and Karela 14th in the Ghana Premier League. In their last five league games, Young Apostles won one and Karela two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Young Apostles win or draw
- 73%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 72%
- Karela win or draw
- 54%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 67%
- 3+ goals
- 41%
- 4+ goals
- 20%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 46%
- No
- 54%
We expect about 1.3 goals from Young Apostles and 1.0 from Karela. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (13%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 7. Next: 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (10%), 0–1 (10%), 2–0 (9%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46% | 28% | 27% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #2035 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Young Apostles: last 6
LLWLLL · 4 scored, 10 conceded
| 25 Oct | vs Swedru All Blacks | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | at Asante Kotoko | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Aduana Stars | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | at Samartex | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Heart of Lions | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | at Debibi United | 0–3 | L |
Last 4 at home: LWLW
Karela: last 6
LLWLWL · 4 scored, 7 conceded
| 25 Oct | vs Port City | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | at Swedru All Blacks | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Dreams | 1–0 | W |
| 1 Oct | at Asante Kotoko | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Hearts of Oak | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | at Aduana Stars | 1–2 | L |
Last 4 away: LLLL
Season stats
| Young Apostles | Karela | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.62 | Goals scored per game | 1.00 |
| 1.62 | Goals conceded per game | 1.38 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game at home | 1.50 |
| 0.25 | Scored per game away | 0.50 |
| 62% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| 38% | Both teams scored | 50% |
| 25% | Clean sheets | 25% |
| 38% | Failed to score | 25% |
League matches only, 8 games each.
Ghana Premier League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Ashanti Gold | 8 | +1 | 11 | DLWLW |
| 12 | Bibiani Gold Stars | 8 | -1 | 10 | WLWDL |
| 13 | Vision | 8 | +0 | 9 | WLLDD |
| 14 | Karela | 8 | -3 | 9 | LLWLW |
| 15 | Heart of Lions | 8 | -4 | 8 | LLLWW |
| 16 | Debibi United | 8 | -5 | 7 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Young Apostles | 8 | -8 | 6 | LLWLL |
| 18 | Dreams | 8 | -7 | 3 | LDLDL |
Match context
- Travel for Karela
- 440 km
- Rest days
- Young Apostles 7Karela 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Young Apostles 1 · Karela 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 27°C · wind 5 km/h
- Rain expected
- Goals in this league
- Ghana Premier League average: 2.18 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
