Aduana Stars vs Berekum Chelsea prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Aduana Stars to win: 55%, about 3 in 5
Goals call2 goals or fewer 68%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
Key factors
In short
Aduana Stars are favourites at 55%, with Berekum Chelsea on 17% and the draw on 28%. Aduana Stars are 7th and Berekum Chelsea 10th in the Ghana Premier League. In their last five league games, Aduana Stars won three and Berekum Chelsea two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Aduana Stars win or draw
- 83%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 72%
- Berekum Chelsea win or draw
- 45%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 59%
- 3+ goals
- 32%
- 4+ goals
- 14%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 35%
- No
- 65%
We expect about 1.4 goals from Aduana Stars and 0.6 from Berekum Chelsea. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (19%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 5. Next: 0–0 (14%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (8%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 55% | 28% | 17% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #2045 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Aduana Stars: last 6
LWLWWW · 7 scored, 4 conceded
| 25 Oct | at Medeama | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs Ashanti Gold | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | at Young Apostles | 0–1 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Swedru All Blacks | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | at Asante Kotoko | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Karela | 2–1 | W |
Last 4 at home: WWWL
Berekum Chelsea: last 6
DWWLDL · 7 scored, 4 conceded
| 25 Oct | vs Samartex | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Oct | at Heart of Lions | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Debibi United | 3–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | at Basake Holy Stars | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Vision | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | at Port City | 1–2 | L |
Last 4 away: WLLL
Season stats
| Aduana Stars | Berekum Chelsea | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.88 | Goals scored per game | 1.25 |
| 0.62 | Goals conceded per game | 1.12 |
| 1.25 | Scored per game at home | 1.75 |
| 0.50 | Scored per game away | 0.75 |
| 25% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| 25% | Both teams scored | 38% |
| 38% | Clean sheets | 38% |
| 50% | Failed to score | 38% |
League matches only, 8 games each.
Ghana Premier League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Port City | 8 | +4 | 14 | WDLWL |
| 5 | Swedru All Blacks | 8 | +3 | 14 | WWWLD |
| 6 | Bechem United | 8 | +2 | 13 | WLWLW |
| 7 | Aduana Stars | 8 | +2 | 13 | LWLWW |
| 8 | Asante Kotoko | 8 | +0 | 12 | DWLWL |
| 9 | Basake Holy Stars | 8 | -3 | 12 | LWLWL |
| 10 | Berekum Chelsea | 8 | +1 | 11 | DWWLD |
| 11 | Ashanti Gold | 8 | +1 | 11 | DLWLW |
| 12 | Bibiani Gold Stars | 8 | -1 | 10 | WLWDL |
| 13 | Vision | 8 | +0 | 9 | WLLDD |
Match context
- Travel for Berekum Chelsea
- 322 km
- Rest days
- Aduana Stars 7Berekum Chelsea 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Aduana Stars 1 · Berekum Chelsea 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 28°C · wind 6 km/h
- Rain expected
- Goals in this league
- Ghana Premier League average: 2.18 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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