Basake Holy Stars vs Dreams prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Basake Holy Stars to win: 57%, about 3 in 5
Goals call2 goals or fewer 64%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
In short
Basake Holy Stars are favourites at 57%, with Dreams on 17% and the draw on 26%. Basake Holy Stars are 9th and Dreams 18th in the Ghana Premier League. In their last five league games, Basake Holy Stars won two and Dreams none.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Basake Holy Stars win or draw
- 83%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 74%
- Dreams win or draw
- 43%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 63%
- 3+ goals
- 36%
- 4+ goals
- 17%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 37%
- No
- 63%
We expect about 1.5 goals from Basake Holy Stars and 0.7 from Dreams. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (17%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 6. Next: 2–0 (13%), 0–0 (12%), 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (9%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 57% | 26% | 17% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #2034 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Basake Holy Stars: last 6
LWLWLW · 4 scored, 7 conceded
| 23 Oct | at Hearts of Oak | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs Bechem United | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | at Bibiani Gold Stars | 0–2 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Berekum Chelsea | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | at Medeama | 1–4 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Ashanti Gold | 1–0 | W |
Last 4 at home: WWWW
Dreams: last 6
LDLDLD · 4 scored, 8 conceded
| 25 Oct | vs Vision | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Oct | at Port City | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | at Karela | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs Hearts of Oak | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Sep | at Bechem United | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Sep | vs Medeama | 2–2 | D |
Last 4 away: DLLL
Season stats
| Basake Holy Stars | Dreams | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.62 | Goals scored per game | 0.88 |
| 1.00 | Goals conceded per game | 1.75 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game at home | 1.25 |
| 0.25 | Scored per game away | 0.50 |
| 12% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| 12% | Both teams scored | 62% |
| 50% | Clean sheets | 12% |
| 38% | Failed to score | 38% |
League matches only, 8 games each.
Ghana Premier League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bechem United | 8 | +2 | 13 | WLWLW |
| 7 | Aduana Stars | 8 | +2 | 13 | LWLWW |
| 8 | Asante Kotoko | 8 | +0 | 12 | DWLWL |
| 9 | Basake Holy Stars | 8 | -3 | 12 | LWLWL |
| 10 | Berekum Chelsea | 8 | +1 | 11 | DWWLD |
| 11 | Ashanti Gold | 8 | +1 | 11 | DLWLW |
| 12 | Bibiani Gold Stars | 8 | -1 | 10 | WLWDL |
| … | |||||
| 15 | Heart of Lions | 8 | -4 | 8 | LLLWW |
| 16 | Debibi United | 8 | -5 | 7 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Young Apostles | 8 | -8 | 6 | LLWLL |
| 18 | Dreams | 8 | -7 | 3 | LDLDL |
Match context
- Rest days
- Basake Holy Stars 8Dreams 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Basake Holy Stars 1 · Dreams 1
- Goals in this league
- Ghana Premier League average: 2.18 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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