Heart of Lions vs Bechem United prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Heart of Lions to win: 49%, about 1 in 2
Goals call2 goals or fewer 55%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
In short
Heart of Lions are favourites at 49%, with Bechem United on 25% and the draw on 26%. Heart of Lions are 15th and Bechem United 6th in the Ghana Premier League. In their last five league games, Heart of Lions won two and Bechem United three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Heart of Lions win or draw
- 75%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 74%
- Bechem United win or draw
- 51%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 70%
- 3+ goals
- 45%
- 4+ goals
- 23%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 48%
- No
- 52%
We expect about 1.5 goals from Heart of Lions and 1.0 from Bechem United. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (13%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 1–1 (12%), 2–0 (9%), 2–1 (9%), 0–0 (9%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 49% | 26% | 25% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #2041 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Heart of Lions: last 6
LLLWWD · 7 scored, 10 conceded
| 25 Oct | at Bibiani Gold Stars | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Berekum Chelsea | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | at Medeama | 1–3 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Ashanti Gold | 3–2 | W |
| 27 Sep | at Young Apostles | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Swedru All Blacks | 0–0 | D |
Last 4 at home: LWDD
Bechem United: last 6
WLWLWD · 9 scored, 6 conceded
| 25 Oct | vs Debibi United | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | at Basake Holy Stars | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Vision | 4–2 | W |
| 4 Oct | at Port City | 1–3 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Dreams | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | at Hearts of Oak | 0–0 | D |
Last 4 away: LLDL
Season stats
| Heart of Lions | Bechem United | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.00 | Goals scored per game | 1.38 |
| 1.50 | Goals conceded per game | 1.12 |
| 0.75 | Scored per game at home | 2.25 |
| 1.25 | Scored per game away | 0.50 |
| 62% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| 62% | Both teams scored | 38% |
| 25% | Clean sheets | 50% |
| 38% | Failed to score | 25% |
League matches only, 8 games each.
Ghana Premier League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Samartex | 8 | +4 | 15 | DWLWD |
| 4 | Port City | 8 | +4 | 14 | WDLWL |
| 5 | Swedru All Blacks | 8 | +3 | 14 | WWWLD |
| 6 | Bechem United | 8 | +2 | 13 | WLWLW |
| 7 | Aduana Stars | 8 | +2 | 13 | LWLWW |
| 8 | Asante Kotoko | 8 | +0 | 12 | DWLWL |
| 9 | Basake Holy Stars | 8 | -3 | 12 | LWLWL |
| … | |||||
| 12 | Bibiani Gold Stars | 8 | -1 | 10 | WLWDL |
| 13 | Vision | 8 | +0 | 9 | WLLDD |
| 14 | Karela | 8 | -3 | 9 | LLWLW |
| 15 | Heart of Lions | 8 | -4 | 8 | LLLWW |
| 16 | Debibi United | 8 | -5 | 7 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Young Apostles | 8 | -8 | 6 | LLWLL |
| 18 | Dreams | 8 | -7 | 3 | LDLDL |
Match context
- Rest days
- Heart of Lions 7Bechem United 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Heart of Lions 1 · Bechem United 1
- Goals in this league
- Ghana Premier League average: 2.18 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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