Asante Kotoko vs Medeama prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Asante Kotoko to win: 44%, about 2 in 5
Goals call2 goals or fewer 58%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
Key factors
In short
Asante Kotoko are slight favourites at 44%, with Medeama on 29% and the draw on 27%. Asante Kotoko are 8th and Medeama 1st in the Ghana Premier League. In their last five league games, Asante Kotoko won two and Medeama four.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Asante Kotoko win or draw
- 71%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 73%
- Medeama win or draw
- 56%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 68%
- 3+ goals
- 42%
- 4+ goals
- 21%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 47%
- No
- 53%
We expect about 1.3 goals from Asante Kotoko and 1.0 from Medeama. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (13%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 1–0 (13%), 0–1 (10%), 0–0 (9%), 2–1 (9%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 44% | 27% | 29% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #2043 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Asante Kotoko: last 6
DWLWLD · 5 scored, 6 conceded
| 25 Oct | at Ashanti Gold | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | vs Young Apostles | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | at Swedru All Blacks | 0–1 | L |
| 1 Oct | vs Karela | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Aduana Stars | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | at Samartex | 1–1 | D |
Last 4 at home: WWLW
Medeama: last 6
WLWWWW · 11 scored, 4 conceded
| 25 Oct | vs Aduana Stars | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | at Samartex | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Heart of Lions | 3–1 | W |
| 4 Oct | at Debibi United | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Sep | vs Port City | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Basake Holy Stars | 4–1 | W |
Last 4 away: LWDD
Season stats
| Asante Kotoko | Medeama | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.12 | Goals scored per game | 1.75 |
| 1.12 | Goals conceded per game | 0.88 |
| 1.25 | Scored per game at home | 2.25 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game away | 1.25 |
| 38% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| 62% | Both teams scored | 62% |
| 12% | Clean sheets | 38% |
| 25% | Failed to score | 0% |
League matches only, 8 games each.
Ghana Premier League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Medeama | 8 | +7 | 17 | WLWWW |
| 2 | Hearts of Oak | 8 | +7 | 17 | WWWDL |
| 3 | Samartex | 8 | +4 | 15 | DWLWD |
| 4 | Port City | 8 | +4 | 14 | WDLWL |
| 5 | Swedru All Blacks | 8 | +3 | 14 | WWWLD |
| 6 | Bechem United | 8 | +2 | 13 | WLWLW |
| 7 | Aduana Stars | 8 | +2 | 13 | LWLWW |
| 8 | Asante Kotoko | 8 | +0 | 12 | DWLWL |
| 9 | Basake Holy Stars | 8 | -3 | 12 | LWLWL |
| 10 | Berekum Chelsea | 8 | +1 | 11 | DWWLD |
| 11 | Ashanti Gold | 8 | +1 | 11 | DLWLW |
Match context
- Travel for Medeama
- 159 km
- Rest days
- Asante Kotoko 7Medeama 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Asante Kotoko 1 · Medeama 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 30°C · wind 4 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- Ghana Premier League average: 2.18 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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