Samartex vs Bibiani Gold Stars prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Samartex to win: 60%, about 3 in 5
Goals call2 goals or fewer 66%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
Key factors
In short
Samartex are clear favourites at 60%, with Bibiani Gold Stars on 14% and the draw on 26%. Samartex are 3rd and Bibiani Gold Stars 12th in the Ghana Premier League. In their last five league games, Samartex won two and Bibiani Gold Stars two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Samartex win or draw
- 86%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 74%
- Bibiani Gold Stars win or draw
- 40%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 61%
- 3+ goals
- 34%
- 4+ goals
- 16%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 34%
- No
- 66%
We expect about 1.5 goals from Samartex and 0.6 from Bibiani Gold Stars. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (19%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 5. Next: 2–0 (14%), 0–0 (13%), 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (8%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 60% | 26% | 14% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #2042 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Samartex: last 6
DWLWDD · 5 scored, 4 conceded
| 25 Oct | at Berekum Chelsea | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Oct | vs Medeama | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | at Ashanti Gold | 0–1 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Young Apostles | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | at Swedru All Blacks | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | vs Asante Kotoko | 1–1 | D |
Last 4 at home: WWDW
Bibiani Gold Stars: last 6
WLWDLW · 7 scored, 6 conceded
| 25 Oct | vs Heart of Lions | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | at Debibi United | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Basake Holy Stars | 2–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | at Vision | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Sep | vs Port City | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | at Dreams | 3–2 | W |
Last 4 away: LDWL
Season stats
| Samartex | Bibiani Gold Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.12 | Goals scored per game | 1.00 |
| 0.62 | Goals conceded per game | 1.12 |
| 1.75 | Scored per game at home | 1.25 |
| 0.50 | Scored per game away | 0.75 |
| 25% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 38% |
| 50% | Both teams scored | 38% |
| 38% | Clean sheets | 25% |
| 25% | Failed to score | 50% |
League matches only, 8 games each.
Ghana Premier League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Medeama | 8 | +7 | 17 | WLWWW |
| 2 | Hearts of Oak | 8 | +7 | 17 | WWWDL |
| 3 | Samartex | 8 | +4 | 15 | DWLWD |
| 4 | Port City | 8 | +4 | 14 | WDLWL |
| 5 | Swedru All Blacks | 8 | +3 | 14 | WWWLD |
| 6 | Bechem United | 8 | +2 | 13 | WLWLW |
| … | |||||
| 9 | Basake Holy Stars | 8 | -3 | 12 | LWLWL |
| 10 | Berekum Chelsea | 8 | +1 | 11 | DWWLD |
| 11 | Ashanti Gold | 8 | +1 | 11 | DLWLW |
| 12 | Bibiani Gold Stars | 8 | -1 | 10 | WLWDL |
| 13 | Vision | 8 | +0 | 9 | WLLDD |
| 14 | Karela | 8 | -3 | 9 | LLWLW |
| 15 | Heart of Lions | 8 | -4 | 8 | LLLWW |
Match context
- Travel for Bibiani Gold Stars
- 132 km
- Rest days
- Samartex 7Bibiani Gold Stars 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Samartex 1 · Bibiani Gold Stars 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 26°C · wind 3 km/h
- Rain expected
- Goals in this league
- Ghana Premier League average: 2.18 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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