Swedru All Blacks vs Ashanti Gold prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Swedru All Blacks to win: 56%, about 3 in 5
Goals call2 goals or fewer 65%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
The Verdict
All three readings land on the same side: Swedru All Blacks deserve their status as clear favourites, with the published 56-27-17 split holding up against both the table and the underlying styles.
What our AI analysts say
Our analysts read the numbers only.
The Coach
styles in the numbersSwedru's defensive steel at home should blunt an Ashanti Gold side that leaks goals on the road.
Both-teams-score sits at 37%, so a low-scoring home-leaning game fits.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureFifth against eleventh with equal rest, and the home run gives Swedru the edge.
Swedru sit 5th on 14 points from 8 games (W4 D2 L2) and have won three straight league games. Both have 5 days' rest and 2 games in 14, so freshness is even; the 130 km trip is short but the form gap is real.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongAshanti Gold's 38% over rate and 62% both-teams-score rate offer some support, but Swedru's 1.4 expected goals against a side conceding 0.75 away per game points to a tighter, lower-scoring script.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Swedru All Blacks are favourites at 56%, with Ashanti Gold on 17% and the draw on 27%. Swedru All Blacks are 5th and Ashanti Gold 11th in the Ghana Premier League. In their last five league games, Swedru All Blacks won three and Ashanti Gold two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Swedru All Blacks win or draw
- 83%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 73%
- Ashanti Gold win or draw
- 44%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 62%
- 3+ goals
- 35%
- 4+ goals
- 16%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 37%
- No
- 63%
We expect about 1.4 goals from Swedru All Blacks and 0.7 from Ashanti Gold. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (17%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 6. Next: 2–0 (13%), 0–0 (12%), 1–1 (12%), 2–1 (8%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 56% | 27% | 17% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #2003 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Swedru All Blacks: last 6
WWWLDD · 7 scored, 4 conceded
| 25 Oct | at Young Apostles | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Karela | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Asante Kotoko | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | at Aduana Stars | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Samartex | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | at Heart of Lions | 0–0 | D |
Last 4 at home: WWDW
Ashanti Gold: last 6
DLWLWL · 6 scored, 7 conceded
| 25 Oct | vs Asante Kotoko | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | at Aduana Stars | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Samartex | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | at Heart of Lions | 2–3 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Debibi United | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | at Basake Holy Stars | 0–1 | L |
Last 4 away: LLLD
Season stats
| Swedru All Blacks | Ashanti Gold | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.00 | Goals scored per game | 1.25 |
| 0.62 | Goals conceded per game | 1.12 |
| 1.25 | Scored per game at home | 1.75 |
| 0.75 | Scored per game away | 0.75 |
| 25% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 38% |
| 38% | Both teams scored | 62% |
| 50% | Clean sheets | 12% |
| 25% | Failed to score | 25% |
League matches only, 8 games each.
Ghana Premier League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hearts of Oak | 8 | +7 | 17 | WWWDL |
| 3 | Samartex | 8 | +4 | 15 | DWLWD |
| 4 | Port City | 8 | +4 | 14 | WDLWL |
| 5 | Swedru All Blacks | 8 | +3 | 14 | WWWLD |
| 6 | Bechem United | 8 | +2 | 13 | WLWLW |
| 7 | Aduana Stars | 8 | +2 | 13 | LWLWW |
| 8 | Asante Kotoko | 8 | +0 | 12 | DWLWL |
| 9 | Basake Holy Stars | 8 | -3 | 12 | LWLWL |
| 10 | Berekum Chelsea | 8 | +1 | 11 | DWWLD |
| 11 | Ashanti Gold | 8 | +1 | 11 | DLWLW |
| 12 | Bibiani Gold Stars | 8 | -1 | 10 | WLWDL |
| 13 | Vision | 8 | +0 | 9 | WLLDD |
| 14 | Karela | 8 | -3 | 9 | LLWLW |
Match context
- Travel for Ashanti Gold
- 130 km
- Rest days
- Swedru All Blacks 5Ashanti Gold 5
- Matches in the last 14 days: Swedru All Blacks 2 · Ashanti Gold 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 29°C · wind 12 km/h
- Rain expected
- Goals in this league
- Ghana Premier League average: 2.18 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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