Debibi United vs Hearts of Oak prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Wide open: no clear favourite (Hearts of Oak 35%)
Goals call2 goals or fewer 76%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
In short
Hearts of Oak are slight favourites at 35%, with Debibi United on 31% and the draw on 34%. Debibi United are 16th and Hearts of Oak 2nd in the Ghana Premier League. In their last five league games, Debibi United won one and Hearts of Oak three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Debibi United win or draw
- 65%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 66%
- Hearts of Oak win or draw
- 69%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 50%
- 3+ goals
- 24%
- 4+ goals
- 9%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 32%
- No
- 68%
We expect about 0.8 goals from Debibi United and 0.9 from Hearts of Oak. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 0–0 (19%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 5. Next: 0–1 (16%), 1–0 (15%), 1–1 (13%), 0–2 (7%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31% | 34% | 35% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #2033 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Debibi United: last 6
LWLLLW · 5 scored, 9 conceded
| 25 Oct | at Bechem United | 0–3 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs Bibiani Gold Stars | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | at Berekum Chelsea | 0–3 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Medeama | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Sep | at Ashanti Gold | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Young Apostles | 3–0 | W |
Last 4 at home: WLWD
Hearts of Oak: last 6
WWWDLD · 3 scored, 1 conceded
| 23 Oct | vs Basake Holy Stars | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | at Vision | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Port City | 1–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | at Dreams | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Sep | at Karela | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Bechem United | 0–0 | D |
Last 4 away: WDLW
Season stats
| Debibi United | Hearts of Oak | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.88 | Goals scored per game | 1.12 |
| 1.50 | Goals conceded per game | 0.25 |
| 1.50 | Scored per game at home | 1.50 |
| 0.25 | Scored per game away | 0.75 |
| 62% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 25% |
| 25% | Both teams scored | 12% |
| 25% | Clean sheets | 75% |
| 50% | Failed to score | 38% |
League matches only, 8 games each.
Ghana Premier League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Medeama | 8 | +7 | 17 | WLWWW |
| 2 | Hearts of Oak | 8 | +7 | 17 | WWWDL |
| 3 | Samartex | 8 | +4 | 15 | DWLWD |
| 4 | Port City | 8 | +4 | 14 | WDLWL |
| 5 | Swedru All Blacks | 8 | +3 | 14 | WWWLD |
| … | |||||
| 13 | Vision | 8 | +0 | 9 | WLLDD |
| 14 | Karela | 8 | -3 | 9 | LLWLW |
| 15 | Heart of Lions | 8 | -4 | 8 | LLLWW |
| 16 | Debibi United | 8 | -5 | 7 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Young Apostles | 8 | -8 | 6 | LLWLL |
| 18 | Dreams | 8 | -7 | 3 | LDLDL |
Match context
- Rest days
- Debibi United 7Hearts of Oak 8
- Matches in the last 14 days: Debibi United 1 · Hearts of Oak 1
- Goals in this league
- Ghana Premier League average: 2.18 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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