Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburg SV prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Eintracht Frankfurt to win: 58%, about 3 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 68% · bookies 68%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
Key factors
In short
Eintracht Frankfurt are favourites at 58%, with Hamburg SV on 21% and the draw on 21%. Eintracht Frankfurt are 14th and Hamburg SV 11th in the Bundesliga. In their last five league games, Eintracht Frankfurt won two and Hamburg SV three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Eintracht Frankfurt win or draw
- 79%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 79%
- Hamburg SV win or draw
- 42%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 86%
- 3+ goals
- 67%
- 4+ goals
- 46%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 64%
- No
- 36%
We expect about 2.2 goals from Eintracht Frankfurt and 1.3 from Hamburg SV. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–1 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 1–1 (9%), 2–0 (8%), 3–1 (7%), 1–0 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 63% | 19% | 19% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #2049 | |
| 2 | 58% | 21% | 21% | Prices moved | #2230 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Eintracht Frankfurt: last 6
LWLDWL · 7 scored, 14 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Borussia Dortmund | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Oct | vs 1. FC Köln | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | at RB Leipzig | 0–6 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs SC Freiburg | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Sep | at FSV Mainz 05 | 3–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs FC Augsburg | 1–4 | L |
Last 3 at home: WDL
Hamburg SV: last 6
LWWWLL · 6 scored, 14 conceded
| 24 Oct | at SC Paderborn 07 | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs VfB Stuttgart | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | at 1899 Hoffenheim | 3–2 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs 1. FC Köln | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | at RB Leipzig | 0–5 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs FSV Mainz 05 | 0–5 | L |
Last 5 away: LWLLW
Season stats
| Eintracht Frankfurt | Hamburg SV | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.43 | Goals scored per game | 0.86 |
| 2.43 | Goals conceded per game | 2.29 |
| 1.33 | Scored per game at home | 1.00 |
| 1.50 | Scored per game away | 0.75 |
| 71% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 57% |
| 57% | Both teams scored | 29% |
| 14% | Clean sheets | 14% |
| 29% | Failed to score | 57% |
League matches only, 7 games each.
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | SV Elversberg | 7 | -3 | 10 | LWLDL |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 7 | +4 | 9 | DLDLD |
| 10 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 7 | +0 | 9 | WWLLW |
| 11 | Hamburg SV | 7 | -10 | 9 | LWWWL |
| 12 | 1. FC Köln | 7 | -3 | 8 | DLWLD |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 7 | -3 | 8 | WDLWL |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | -7 | 8 | LWLDW |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 7 | -3 | 6 | LLWLL |
| 16 | FC Schalke 04 | 7 | -3 | 6 | DLLDW |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 7 | -12 | 6 | DDWLL |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Eintracht Frankfurt won 3, Hamburg SV 1, 2 draws; 2.3 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 May 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1–2 | Hamburg SV | Bundesliga |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Hamburg SV | 1–1 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga |
| 5 May 2018 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 3–0 | Hamburg SV | Bundesliga |
| 12 Dec 2017 | Hamburg SV | 1–2 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga |
| 18 Mar 2017 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0–0 | Hamburg SV | Bundesliga |
| 21 Oct 2016 | Hamburg SV | 0–3 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga |
Match context
- Travel for Hamburg SV
- 431 km
- Rest days
- Eintracht Frankfurt 8Hamburg SV 8
- Matches in the last 14 days: Eintracht Frankfurt 1 · Hamburg SV 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 9°C · wind 6 km/h
- Dry
- Coaches
- A. Hütter
- Eintracht Frankfurt, since Oct 2026
- M. Polzin
- Hamburg SV, since Oct 2026
- Goals in this league
- Bundesliga average: 3.56 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
