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‹ Brasileirão Série A · Matchday 32
Cruzeiro 5thWLWWL
1–0
UK time (GMT)
Full time
Remo 19thDDDLL

Cruzeiro vs Remo prediction

Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works

KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model

Who wins?

Cruzeiro to win: 75%, about 3 in 4

Cruzeiro75%Bookies 75
Draw15%Bookies 15
Remo10%Bookies 10

Goals call3+ goals 69% · bookies 69% · ✗ 1 goals

The Verdict

The Coach and Dressing Room see goals coming, while the Sceptic notes the 2.0 goals-per-game head-to-head record and Remo's recent low-scoring draws, nudging the over slightly below the published 64%.

✓ Favourite won (Cruzeiro 75%) Ledger record ↗

What our AI analysts say

1 of 3 think a draw is underrated.

The Coach

styles in the numbers

Cruzeiro's home scoring should drive the goals line.

Cruzeiro average 1.73 goals per game at home and have won four of their last five there, scoring 11. Remo concede 1.58 per game and have failed to score in 32% of matches, so a home win with goals looks the natural read.

CruzeiroCruzeiro: slightly overrated Fewer goalsLow

The Dressing Room

the table and pressure

Points gap and form point one way at the Mineirao.

Cruzeiro sit 5th on 51 points from 31 games; Remo are 19th on 26. Cruzeiro have won four of their last six, Remo are winless in six with three draws. Both had 5 days' rest, so freshness is equal and quality should tell.

✓ In line with bookmakers Fewer goals

The Sceptic

where the market may be wrong

Head-to-head history argues Remo are slightly underrated.

Remo have won 3 of the last 5 against Cruzeiro, including 1-0 this season, and the last five meetings averaged just 2.0 goals.

Draw underrated Fewer goalsLow

Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.

In short

Cruzeiro are clear favourites at 75%, with Remo on 10% and the draw on 15%. Cruzeiro are 5th and Remo 19th in Brasileirão Série A. In their last five league games, Cruzeiro won three and Remo none.

More markets

Win or draw (double chance)

Cruzeiro win or draw
90%
Either team wins (no draw)
85%
Remo win or draw
25%

Goals in the match (over/under)

2+ goals
87%
3+ goals
69%
4+ goals
48%

Both teams score (BTTS)

Yes
55%
No
45%

We expect about 2.7 goals from Cruzeiro and 0.9 from Remo. (expected goals)

Most likely score: 2–0 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 2–1 (9%), 3–0 (9%), 3–1 (8%), 1–0 (8%).

How these numbers are made

A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.

Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology

Prediction history

#PublishedHomeDrawAwayReasonRecord
1 72%17%12%Stats preview#635
2 75%15%10%Prices moved#816

Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).

Form

All competitions, newest first.

Cruzeiro: last 6

WLWWLW · 15 scored, 10 conceded

18 Octat Gremio4–2W
13 Octat RB Bragantino2–4L
8 Octvs Sao Paulo2–0W
20 Sepat Vitoria3–1W
13 Sepat Santos1–2L
6 Sepvs Atletico Paranaense3–1W

Last 5 at home: WWWDW

Remo: last 6

DDDLLL · 4 scored, 7 conceded

18 Octvs RB Bragantino1–1D
10 Octat Vasco DA Gama0–0D
7 Octvs Gremio1–1D
19 Sepvs Santos1–2L
14 Sepat Bahia1–2L
6 Sepvs Flamengo0–1L

Last 5 away: DLLDL

Season stats

CruzeiroRemo
1.61Goals scored per game1.10
1.48Goals conceded per game1.58
1.73Scored per game at home1.25
1.50Scored per game away0.93
68%Matches over 2.5 goals48%
71%Both teams scored61%
19%Clean sheets13%
13%Failed to score32%

League matches only, 31 games each.

Brasileirão Série A table

#TeamPldGoal diff.PointsLeague form
1Palmeiras32+3469WWWWD
2Flamengo31+3667WWDWW
3Atletico Paranaense32+1254DLWDW
4Cruzeiro32+554WWLWW
5Fluminense32+951LLLWW
6Atletico-MG31+750WWDWD
7Bahia32+550DLWLL
…
16Internacional32-435WLDWL
17Corinthians32-833LDLLL
18Gremio31-1031LDDDL
19Remo32-1626LDDDL
20Chapecoense-sc31-3121WLLLD

Full Brasileirão Série A table

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings: Cruzeiro won 2, Remo 3, 0 draws; 2.0 goals per game.

DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
25 Apr 2026Remo0–1CruzeiroSerie A
12 May 2022Cruzeiro1–0RemoCopa Do Brasil
20 Apr 2022Remo2–1CruzeiroCopa Do Brasil
29 Oct 2021Cruzeiro1–3RemoSerie B
20 Jul 2021Remo1–0CruzeiroSerie B

Team news: injuries and suspensions

Cruzeiro4
  • Susp.Joao MarceloSuspended
  • OutFelipe MoraisMuscle
  • OutGabriel PecBroken Leg
Show 1 more
  • OutL. SinisterraMuscle
Remo6
  • Susp.Gabriel TaliariSuspended
  • OutGabriel PovedaNot available
  • OutJoao LucasKnee
Show 3 more
  • OutMatheus FelipeNot available
  • OutMaykNot available
  • OutYago PikachuMuscle

From our match data feed · updated UK time (GMT).

Match context

Rest days
Cruzeiro 5Remo 5
Matches in the last 14 days: Cruzeiro 2 · Remo 2
Referee
Bruno Arleu

Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)

This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →

18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling

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