OH Leuven vs Lommel United prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
OH Leuven to win: 51%, about 1 in 2
Goals call3+ goals 62% · bookies 62% · ✓ 4 goals
The Verdict
The three readings converge on a competitive fixture where OH Leuven holds a slight edge. The statistical data supports the market's lean towards the home side, while the historical head-to-head record reinforces the potential for a high-scoring game.
What our AI analysts say
All three broadly agree with the bookmakers.
The Coach
styles in the numbersOH Leuven's high goals conceded rate clashes with Lommel United's poor away scoring.
OH Leuven concedes 1.75 goals per game, while Lommel United scores only 0.50 away. OHL averages 1.00 goal at home.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureLommel United enters the match with a stronger league position and more points.
Lommel United sits 5 places higher in the table with 11 points from 8 games. OH Leuven is 15th with only 5 points. OHL has 7 days rest compared to LUM's 5 days.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe market seems well-aligned with the historical dominance of OH Leuven in this fixture.
Historically, OH Leuven has won 5 of the last 6 encounters. The H2H average of 3.0 goals per game supports the high over 2.5 probability.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
OH Leuven are favourites at 51%, with Lommel United on 25% and the draw on 24%. OH Leuven are 15th and Lommel United 10th in the Belgian Pro League. In their last five league games, OH Leuven won one and Lommel United two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- OH Leuven win or draw
- 75%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 76%
- Lommel United win or draw
- 49%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 83%
- 3+ goals
- 61%
- 4+ goals
- 39%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 61%
- No
- 39%
We expect about 1.9 goals from OH Leuven and 1.3 from Lommel United. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (8%), 2–0 (8%), 1–2 (6%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 51% | 24% | 25% | Stats preview | #728 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 1 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
OH Leuven: last 6
WDWDLL · 5 scored, 6 conceded
| 17 Oct | vs Francs Borains Cup | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | at Union St. Gilloise | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs RAAL La Louvière | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Cercle Brugge | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | at SK Beveren | 0–3 | L |
| 3 Sep | at Gent | 0–1 | L |
Last 5 at home: WWDLL
Lommel United: last 6
LWDLLW · 5 scored, 11 conceded
| 18 Oct | at St. Truiden Cup | 1–4 | L |
| 9 Oct | at SK Beveren | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs KV Mechelen | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Sep | at Union St. Gilloise | 0–5 | L |
| 4 Sep | vs Club Brugge KV | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | at Cercle Brugge | 1–0 | W |
Last 5 away: LWLWD
Season stats
| OH Leuven | Lommel United | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | Goals scored per game | 1.12 |
| 1.75 | Goals conceded per game | 1.12 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game at home | 1.00 |
| 0.50 | Scored per game away | 1.25 |
| 50% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 38% |
| 50% | Both teams scored | 25% |
| 12% | Clean sheets | 38% |
| 38% | Failed to score | 50% |
League matches only, 8 games each.
Belgian Pro League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Anderlecht | 8 | +3 | 16 | WWWDW |
| 6 | Genk | 9 | +5 | 15 | WWLDD |
| 7 | KVC Westerlo | 9 | +3 | 14 | DWWWW |
| 8 | Lommel United | 9 | +0 | 12 | DWDLL |
| 9 | Standard Liege | 9 | -1 | 11 | LLLLW |
| 10 | Zulte Waregem | 9 | -2 | 11 | LLLLW |
| 11 | Antwerp | 9 | -5 | 10 | WLLLL |
| … | |||||
| 13 | St. Truiden | 8 | -1 | 8 | LLLWL |
| 14 | RAAL La Louvière | 9 | -7 | 7 | WLLWL |
| 15 | KV Mechelen | 8 | -8 | 6 | WDLLD |
| 16 | OH Leuven | 9 | -8 | 6 | DDWDL |
| 17 | Cercle Brugge | 8 | -7 | 3 | LLDLL |
| 18 | Kortrijk | 8 | -16 | 3 | LWLLL |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: OH Leuven won 5, Lommel United 1, 0 draws; 3.0 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul 2026 | OH Leuven | 5–1 | Lommel United | Friendlies Clubs |
| 8 Feb 2020 | OH Leuven | 3–0 | Lommel United | Challenger Pro League |
| 6 Dec 2019 | Lommel United | 3–2 | OH Leuven | Challenger Pro League |
| 20 Oct 2019 | Lommel United | 0–2 | OH Leuven | Challenger Pro League |
| 22 Sep 2019 | OH Leuven | 1–0 | Lommel United | Challenger Pro League |
| 26 Apr 2019 | OH Leuven | 1–0 | Lommel United | Challenger Pro League |
Match context
- Rest days
- OH Leuven 7Lommel United 5
- Matches in the last 14 days: OH Leuven 2 · Lommel United 1
- Referee
- Jan Boterberg
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
