KVC Westerlo vs SK Beveren prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
KVC Westerlo to win: 46%, about 1 in 2
Goals call3+ goals 65% · bookies 65% · ✓ 8 goals
The Verdict
All three cards lean to Westerlo at home, staying within a few points of the published 46-26-28, with the Coach and Dressing Room slightly more confident in the hosts. The goals market looks well judged: 65% over 2.5 aligns with Westerlo's 88% over rate and 3.00 home goals per game, tempered by Beveren's low 0.25 away scoring.
What our AI analysts say
1 of 3 think KVC Westerlo's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Coach
styles in the numbersA high-scoring home profile meets the league's weakest away attack
Westerlo score 3.00 per game at home and run to 88% over 2.5, while Beveren manage just 0.25 away. Beveren kept 38% clean sheets but 62% of their matches go over 2.5. Expect the hosts to carry the attacking load.
KVC Westerlo: clearly underrated
More goalsMed The Dressing Room
the table and pressureMomentum gap favours the hosts with no fixture-load excuse for either
Westerlo, 13 points from 8, are on a five-match unbeaten run including wins over Antwerp and Standard. Beveren, 9 points from 8, have lost four straight away, scoring once and conceding 11. Eight days' rest for both sides.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe prices look fair, with a small nod to Beveren's home wins
I nudge the visitors up slightly on that resilience.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
KVC Westerlo are favourites at 46%, with SK Beveren on 28% and the draw on 26%. KVC Westerlo are 6th and SK Beveren 12th in the Belgian Pro League. In their last five league games, KVC Westerlo won four and SK Beveren two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- KVC Westerlo win or draw
- 72%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 74%
- SK Beveren win or draw
- 54%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 84%
- 3+ goals
- 64%
- 4+ goals
- 42%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 65%
- No
- 35%
We expect about 1.9 goals from KVC Westerlo and 1.4 from SK Beveren. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (7%), 1–0 (7%), 2–2 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46% | 26% | 28% | Stats preview | #776 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 1 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
KVC Westerlo: last 6
WWWWWD · 19 scored, 5 conceded
| 16 Oct | vs Patro Eisden Cup | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Antwerp | 5–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | at St. Truiden | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Standard Liege | 4–2 | W |
| 5 Sep | at KV Mechelen | 4–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | vs Zulte Waregem | 2–2 | D |
Last 5 at home: WWWDL
SK Beveren: last 6
WLLWWL · 9 scored, 8 conceded
| 16 Oct | vs Habay-la-Neuve Cup | 3–0 | W |
| 9 Oct | vs Lommel United | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | at Kortrijk | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs St. Truiden | 2–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs OH Leuven | 3–0 | W |
| 28 Aug | at Genk | 0–4 | L |
Last 4 away: LLLL
Season stats
| KVC Westerlo | SK Beveren | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.50 | Goals scored per game | 1.00 |
| 2.12 | Goals conceded per game | 1.75 |
| 3.00 | Scored per game at home | 1.75 |
| 2.00 | Scored per game away | 0.25 |
| 88% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 62% |
| 62% | Both teams scored | 25% |
| 25% | Clean sheets | 38% |
| 12% | Failed to score | 38% |
League matches only, 8 games each.
Belgian Pro League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Union St. Gilloise | 8 | +18 | 20 | DWWWW |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 8 | +3 | 16 | WWWDW |
| 6 | Genk | 9 | +5 | 15 | WWLDD |
| 7 | KVC Westerlo | 9 | +3 | 14 | DWWWW |
| 8 | Lommel United | 9 | +0 | 12 | DWDLL |
| 9 | Standard Liege | 9 | -1 | 11 | LLLLW |
| 10 | Zulte Waregem | 9 | -2 | 11 | LLLLW |
| 11 | Antwerp | 9 | -5 | 10 | WLLLL |
| 12 | SK Beveren | 9 | -6 | 10 | DLLWW |
| 13 | St. Truiden | 8 | -1 | 8 | LLLWL |
| 14 | RAAL La Louvière | 9 | -7 | 7 | WLLWL |
| 15 | KV Mechelen | 8 | -8 | 6 | WDLLD |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: KVC Westerlo won 2, SK Beveren 2, 2 draws; 3.0 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2023 | SK Beveren | 3–1 | KVC Westerlo | Cup |
| 23 Mar 2023 | SK Beveren | 2–2 | KVC Westerlo | Friendlies Clubs |
| 25 Feb 2022 | KVC Westerlo | 2–1 | SK Beveren | Challenger Pro League |
| 30 Jan 2022 | SK Beveren | 2–1 | KVC Westerlo | Challenger Pro League |
| 7 Nov 2021 | KVC Westerlo | 1–1 | SK Beveren | Challenger Pro League |
| 12 Sep 2021 | SK Beveren | 0–2 | KVC Westerlo | Challenger Pro League |
Match context
- Rest days
- KVC Westerlo 8SK Beveren 8
- Matches in the last 14 days: KVC Westerlo 2 · SK Beveren 1
- Referee
- Anthony Letellier
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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