Samsunspor vs Amed SFK prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Amed SFK to win: 42%, about 2 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 52% · bookies 52% · ✓ 3 goals
The Verdict
The three readings consistently point towards Amed SFK being the stronger side, supported by their superior league position and attacking output. The high frequency of goals in the season statistics suggests that the match is likely to feature multiple goals, regardless of the final outcome.
What our AI analysts say
All three think Amed SFK's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Coach
styles in the numbersAmed SFK's superior attacking metrics and defensive solidity contrast sharply with Samsunspor's poor form.
Amed SFK averages 2.25 goals per game and concedes only 1.12. Samsunspor has conceded 13 goals in their last 4 home matches.
Amed SFK: clearly underrated
More goalsMed The Dressing Room
the table and pressureThe gap in league standing and points between the two sides suggests a significant disparity in current form and pressure.
Amed SFK sits 2nd with 17 points from 8 games, while Samsunspor is 17th with only 4 points. Both teams have minimal rest, with Samsunspor having 6 days since their last game.
Amed SFK: strongly underrated
More goalsHigh The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongWhile Samsunspor has won two of the last four encounters, their current form makes the market's lean towards Amed SFK justifiable.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Samsunspor secured 2 wins. However, Amed SFK has a strong season record, having failed to score in only 12% of their games.
Amed SFK: strongly underrated
High Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Amed SFK are slight favourites at 42%, with Samsunspor on 32% and the draw on 26%. Samsunspor are 17th and Amed SFK 2nd in the Süper Lig. In their last five league games, Samsunspor won none and Amed SFK three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Samsunspor win or draw
- 58%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 74%
- Amed SFK win or draw
- 68%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 76%
- 3+ goals
- 52%
- 4+ goals
- 30%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 55%
- No
- 45%
We expect about 1.3 goals from Samsunspor and 1.5 from Amed SFK. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 0–1 (9%), 1–2 (9%), 1–0 (8%), 2–1 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Samsunspor: last 6
LLLLLL · 2 scored, 16 conceded
| 18 Oct | at Kasımpaşa | 1–4 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Trabzonspor | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | at Erzurumspor FK | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Çorum FK | 1–5 | L |
| 6 Sep | at Kocaelispor | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | vs Fenerbahçe | 0–2 | L |
Last 4 at home: LLLD
Amed SFK: last 6
WDWWDW · 15 scored, 7 conceded
| 17 Oct | vs Konyaspor | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | at Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Sep | vs Beşiktaş | 3–2 | W |
| 13 Sep | vs Başakşehir | 5–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | at Kasımpaşa | 2–2 | D |
| 31 Aug | vs Trabzonspor | 2–1 | W |
Last 3 away: DDL
Season stats
| Samsunspor | Amed SFK | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.88 | Goals scored per game | 2.25 |
| 2.38 | Goals conceded per game | 1.12 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game at home | 2.80 |
| 0.75 | Scored per game away | 1.33 |
| 50% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 75% |
| 38% | Both teams scored | 50% |
| 12% | Clean sheets | 38% |
| 50% | Failed to score | 12% |
League matches only, 8 games each.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amed SFK | 9 | +10 | 20 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Galatasaray | 8 | +6 | 19 | WWLWW |
| 3 | Fenerbahçe | 8 | +16 | 16 | WWWDL |
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 8 | +13 | 16 | WWWLW |
| … | |||||
| 14 | Konyaspor | 9 | -3 | 8 | WLDDW |
| 15 | Gaziantep FK | 9 | -6 | 8 | LLLLD |
| 16 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 9 | -11 | 8 | LLDLL |
| 17 | Samsunspor | 9 | -13 | 4 | LLLLL |
| 18 | Eyüpspor | 9 | -21 | 3 | LLLLL |
Head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Samsunspor won 2, Amed SFK 1, 1 draw; 2.2 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb 2020 | Samsunspor | 3–0 | Amed SFK | 2. Lig |
| 9 Oct 2019 | Amed SFK | 0–0 | Samsunspor | 2. Lig |
| 20 Jan 2019 | Amed SFK | 3–2 | Samsunspor | 2. Lig |
| 2 Sep 2018 | Samsunspor | 1–0 | Amed SFK | 2. Lig |
Team news: injuries and suspensions
- OutF. KayaNot available
- OutE. KilincNot available
- OutC. YukselInjury
- OutD. DemirKnee
- OutY. SorMuscle
- OutM. YildirimMuscle
From our match data feed · updated UK time (GMT).
Match context
- Rest days
- Samsunspor 6Amed SFK 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Samsunspor 1 · Amed SFK 1
- Referee
- Kadir Saglam
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
