Caykur Rizespor vs Trabzonspor prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Trabzonspor to win: 49%, about 1 in 2
Goals call3+ goals 61% · bookies 61%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
The three analyses converge on Trabzonspor being the superior side, supported by their league position and attacking statistics. While the market is already heavily skewed towards the away win, the high probability of goals suggests a competitive match despite the clear disparity in form and rest.
What our AI analysts say
2 of 3 think Trabzonspor's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Coach
styles in the numbersTrabzonspor's superior attacking output and defensive solidity should prove too much for Rizespor.
Trabzonspor averages 2.25 goals scored per game and concedes only 0.62, while Rizespor averages 1.00 goals scored but concedes 1.38. Trabzonspor is strong away (1.60 scored) compared to Rizespor's poor home scoring (0.00 scored).
Trabzonspor: slightly underrated
More goalsLow The Dressing Room
the table and pressureThe gap in league standing and recent form suggests a clear advantage for the visitors.
Trabzonspor sits 4th with 16 points from 8 games, while Rizespor is 12th with 10 points. Trabzonspor has 3 days rest compared to Rizespor's 9 days rest. Trabzonspor's last 6 games show 5 wins.
Trabzonspor: strongly underrated
More goalsHigh The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe market heavily favors Trabzonspor, which aligns with their strong historical performance against Rizespor.
The market gives Trabzonspor a 49% chance, which aligns with their 4 wins in the last 6 H2H encounters. Both teams have scored in 62% of the season's matches. Rizespor has 3 consecutive home losses.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
Trabzonspor are favourites at 49%, with Caykur Rizespor on 27% and the draw on 24%. Caykur Rizespor are 12th and Trabzonspor 4th in the Süper Lig. In their last five league games, Caykur Rizespor won one and Trabzonspor four.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Caykur Rizespor win or draw
- 51%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 77%
- Trabzonspor win or draw
- 73%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 82%
- 3+ goals
- 61%
- 4+ goals
- 39%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 62%
- No
- 38%
We expect about 1.3 goals from Caykur Rizespor and 1.8 from Trabzonspor. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (8%), 0–2 (7%), 2–1 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27% | 23% | 49% | Stats preview | #1466 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Caykur Rizespor: last 6
LLDWLW · 7 scored, 9 conceded
| 16 Oct | at Çorum FK | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Fenerbahçe | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | at Göztepe | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Sep | at Eyüpspor | 2–0 | W |
| 7 Sep | vs Alanyaspor | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | at Gaziantep FK | 2–1 | W |
Last 3 at home: LLL
Trabzonspor: last 6
WWWWWL · 15 scored, 3 conceded
| 22 Oct | vs Heart Of Midlothian UEFA Europa Conference League | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | vs Beşiktaş | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Oct | at KuPS UEFA Europa Conference League | 4–2 | W |
| 10 Oct | at Samsunspor | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Galatasaray | 4–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | at Konyaspor | 0–1 | L |
Last 5 away: WWLLL
Season stats
| Caykur Rizespor | Trabzonspor | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.00 | Goals scored per game | 2.25 |
| 1.38 | Goals conceded per game | 0.62 |
| 0.00 | Scored per game at home | 3.25 |
| 1.60 | Scored per game away | 1.25 |
| 50% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 62% |
| 38% | Both teams scored | 38% |
| 25% | Clean sheets | 50% |
| 38% | Failed to score | 12% |
League matches only, 8 games each.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amed | 9 | +10 | 20 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Galatasaray | 8 | +6 | 19 | WWLWW |
| 3 | Fenerbahçe | 8 | +16 | 16 | WWWDL |
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 8 | +13 | 16 | WWWLW |
| 5 | Kasımpaşa | 9 | +4 | 16 | WWLDW |
| 6 | Beşiktaş | 8 | +6 | 15 | LWLWW |
| 7 | Kocaelispor | 9 | +2 | 15 | WLLWL |
| … | |||||
| 9 | Çorum FK | 8 | +5 | 13 | WWLWW |
| 10 | Alanyaspor | 9 | -2 | 12 | LLDWD |
| 11 | Başakşehir | 8 | +0 | 11 | WDWLL |
| 12 | Caykur Rizespor | 8 | -3 | 10 | LLDWL |
| 13 | Göztepe | 8 | +1 | 9 | WWDDL |
| 14 | Konyaspor | 9 | -3 | 8 | WLDDW |
| 15 | Gaziantep FK | 9 | -6 | 8 | LLLLD |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Caykur Rizespor won 2, Trabzonspor 4, 0 draws; 3.0 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar 2026 | Trabzonspor | 1–0 | Caykur Rizespor | Süper Lig |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Caykur Rizespor | 1–2 | Trabzonspor | Süper Lig |
| 13 Apr 2025 | Trabzonspor | 2–0 | Caykur Rizespor | Süper Lig |
| 26 Feb 2025 | Trabzonspor | 5–2 | Caykur Rizespor | Türkiye Kupası |
| 9 Nov 2024 | Caykur Rizespor | 3–1 | Trabzonspor | Süper Lig |
| 25 Jan 2024 | Caykur Rizespor | 1–0 | Trabzonspor | Süper Lig |
Team news: injuries and suspensions
- OutK. AlikulovKnee
- OutA. BatagovKnee
- OutO. CevikkanTendon
- OutR. MalinovskyiKnee
Show 4 more
- OutP. OnuachuMuscle
- OutO. YokusluKnee
- DoubtS. SavicNot available
- DoubtN. SavioloInjury
From our match data feed · updated UK time (GMT).
Match context
- Travel for Trabzonspor
- 66 km
- Rest days
- Caykur Rizespor 9Trabzonspor 3
- Matches in the last 14 days: Caykur Rizespor 1 · Trabzonspor 3
- Weather at kick-off
- 18°C · wind 3 km/h
- Dry
- Referee
- H. U. Meler
- Goals in this league
- Süper Lig average: 2.87 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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