Eyupspor vs Kasımpaşa prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Kasımpaşa to win: 60%, about 3 in 5
Goals call2 goals or fewer 54% · bookies 54% · ✓ 1 goals
The Verdict
The Dressing Room sees a 15-point gap and a home side with one win in eight; the Coach points to Kasımpaşa's 1.75 goals per away game against a defence conceding 2.75. The published numbers, including over 2.5 at 47%, broadly stand.
What our AI analysts say
2 of 3 think Kasımpaşa's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Coach
styles in the numbersKasımpaşa's attack should find a porous home defence again
Kasımpaşa score 1.75 per game away and have kept clean sheets in 25% of matches, so the visitors' attack faces little resistance even if Eyüpspor rarely score.
Kasımpaşa: slightly underrated
Low The Dressing Room
the table and pressurePressure points all one way in this fixture
Eyüpspor sit on 3 points from 8 games with 7 defeats, while Kasımpaşa are 7th with 13 points. Eyüpspor have lost six straight since that Alanyaspor win, and the gap in the table makes their need greater than their means. Kasımpaşa arrive with six days' rest after beating Samsunspor 4-1.
Kasımpaşa: clearly underrated
More goalsMed The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongPrices look fair on 1X2; the away win may even shade high
The 62% away price looks a touch rich: Kasımpaşa have won just one of the last four head-to-heads against Eyüpspor, who won the most recent league meeting 2-0, and their away goals record is only 5 scored, 5 conceded in four.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Kasımpaşa are clear favourites at 60%, with Eyupspor on 16% and the draw on 24%. Eyupspor are 18th and Kasımpaşa 8th in the Süper Lig. In their last five league games, Eyupspor won none and Kasımpaşa two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Eyupspor win or draw
- 40%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 76%
- Kasımpaşa win or draw
- 83%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 72%
- 3+ goals
- 46%
- 4+ goals
- 25%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 45%
- No
- 55%
We expect about 0.8 goals from Eyupspor and 1.7 from Kasımpaşa. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 0–1 (14%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 7. Next: 0–2 (12%), 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (10%), 0–0 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Eyupspor: last 6
LLLLLW · 2 scored, 20 conceded
| 17 Oct | at Erzurumspor FK | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Oct | vs Göztepe | 0–4 | L |
| 20 Sep | at Fenerbahçe | 0–8 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Rizespor | 0–2 | L |
| 6 Sep | at Çorum FK | 0–3 | L |
| 30 Aug | vs Alanyaspor | 2–1 | W |
Last 4 at home: LLWL
Kasımpaşa: last 6
WLDWDD · 10 scored, 8 conceded
| 18 Oct | vs Samsunspor | 4–1 | W |
| 9 Oct | at Galatasaray | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Sep | vs Konyaspor | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Sep | at Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs Amed | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Aug | at Başakşehir | 1–1 | D |
Last 4 away: LWDW
Season stats
| Eyupspor | Kasımpaşa | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.25 | Goals scored per game | 1.50 |
| 2.75 | Goals conceded per game | 1.12 |
| 0.50 | Scored per game at home | 1.75 |
| 0.00 | Scored per game away | 1.25 |
| 50% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| 12% | Both teams scored | 75% |
| 0% | Clean sheets | 25% |
| 88% | Failed to score | 12% |
League matches only, 8 games each.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Galatasaray | 8 | +6 | 19 | WWLWW |
| 3 | Fenerbahçe | 8 | +16 | 16 | WWWDL |
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 8 | +13 | 16 | WWWLW |
| 5 | Kasımpaşa | 9 | +4 | 16 | WWLDW |
| 6 | Beşiktaş | 8 | +6 | 15 | LWLWW |
| 7 | Kocaelispor | 9 | +2 | 15 | WLLWL |
| 8 | Erzurumspor FK | 9 | -4 | 14 | WWDWL |
| … | |||||
| 15 | Gaziantep FK | 9 | -6 | 8 | LLLLD |
| 16 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 9 | -11 | 8 | LLDLL |
| 17 | Samsunspor | 9 | -13 | 4 | LLLLL |
| 18 | Eyupspor | 9 | -21 | 3 | LLLLL |
Head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Eyupspor won 1, Kasımpaşa 3, 0 draws; 2.0 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar 2026 | Kasımpaşa | 1–0 | Eyupspor | Süper Lig |
| 20 Oct 2025 | Eyupspor | 2–0 | Kasımpaşa | Süper Lig |
| 10 May 2025 | Eyupspor | 0–3 | Kasımpaşa | Süper Lig |
| 13 Dec 2024 | Kasımpaşa | 2–0 | Eyupspor | Süper Lig |
Team news: injuries and suspensions
- Susp.A. AbdullahiSuspended
- OutK. CorekciAchilles Tendon
- OutG. FrimpongInjury
- OutM. OuanesMuscle
From our match data feed · updated UK time (GMT).
Match context
- Rest days
- Eyupspor 7Kasımpaşa 6
- Matches in the last 14 days: Eyupspor 2 · Kasımpaşa 1
- Referee
- Alper Akarsu
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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