Goztepe 13thWWDDL

2–0

Sun 25 OctUK time (GMT)

54'

Çorum FK 9thWWLWW

Goztepe vs Çorum FK prediction

Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works

KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model

Who wins?

Goztepe to win: 43%, about 2 in 5

Goztepe43%Bookies 43

Draw28%Bookies 28

Çorum FK29%Bookies 29

Goals call3+ goals 51% · bookies 51%

Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.

The Verdict

All three readings lean towards goals: the model's 81% over 2.5 sits comfortably with both sides' scoring and conceding rates and 88% over-2.5 records for each team. A close, high-scoring game is the shared expectation.

Version 3, locked at kick-off Ledger record ↗

AI forecastStats & H2HLineups & info

What our AI analysts say

All three think Çorum FK's chances are better than the bookmakers say. None of them makes Çorum FK favourites.

The Coach

styles in the numbers

Both sides score freely and concede plenty - goals look likely at both ends

Goztepe average 2.12 scored and 2.00 conceded per game; Çorum FK 2.25 and 1.62. Both teams score in 78% of the model's view, and Goztepe's home games have seen 4 scored and 7 conceded in their last three. Clean sheets are rare for the hosts at 12%.

Çorum FK: clearly underrated More goalsMed

The Dressing Room

the table and pressure

Çorum FK arrive with more points and better rest, but Goztepe have home advantage

Çorum FK sit 7th on 13 points from 8 games; Goztepe 13th on 9. Çorum FK's away run is W W L D with 12 scored in their last four on the road.

Çorum FK: clearly underrated More goalsMed

The Sceptic

where the market may be wrong

The 81% over line looks fair, but the home edge may be slightly overstated

The model gives Goztepe 46% despite their D L L home run and a head-to-head where they have won none of the last two (one draw, one Çorum FK win). Çorum FK's 3.00 goals per game away and two straight away wins suggest the 34% away chance is not generous enough.

Çorum FK: strongly underrated More goalsHigh

Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.

In short

Goztepe are slight favourites at 43%, with Çorum FK on 29% and the draw on 28%. Goztepe are 13th and Çorum FK 9th in the Süper Lig. In their last five league games, Goztepe won two and Çorum FK four.

More markets

Win or draw (double chance)

Goztepe win or draw: 71%
Either team wins (no draw): 71%
Çorum FK win or draw: 57%

Goals in the match (over/under)

2+ goals: 75%
3+ goals: 51%
4+ goals: 29%

Both teams score (BTTS)

Yes: 55%
No: 45%

We expect about 1.5 goals from Goztepe and 1.2 from Çorum FK. (expected goals)

Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%), 0–1 (8%), 2–0 (8%).

How these numbers are made

A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.

Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology

Prediction history

#	Published	Home	Draw	Away	Reason	Record
1	24 Oct 17:02	46%	20%	34%	Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices)	#1137
2	25 Oct 07:54	44%	26%	30%	Prices moved	#1350
3	25 Oct 10:04	43%	29%	29%	Prices moved	#1367

Frozen at kick-off. Version 3 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).

Form

All competitions, newest first.

Goztepe: last 6

WWDDLL · 14 scored, 12 conceded

18 Oct	at Kocaelispor	2–1	W
12 Oct	at Eyüpspor	4–0	W
20 Sep	vs Rizespor	2–2	D
12 Sep	at Alanyaspor	2–2	D
7 Sep	vs Gaziantep FK	2–4	L
29 Aug	at Galatasaray	2–3	L

Last 3 at home: DLL

Çorum FK: last 6

WWLWWL · 16 scored, 10 conceded

16 Oct	vs Rizespor	2–1	W
11 Oct	at Gaziantep FK	3–0	W
19 Sep	vs Alanyaspor	1–2	L
12 Sep	at Samsunspor	5–1	W
6 Sep	vs Eyüpspor	3–0	W
31 Aug	at Beşiktaş	2–6	L

Last 4 away: WWLD

Season stats

Goztepe		Çorum FK
2.12	Goals scored per game	2.25
2.00	Goals conceded per game	1.62
1.33	Scored per game at home	1.50
2.60	Scored per game away	3.00
88%	Matches over 2.5 goals	88%
75%	Both teams scored	62%
12%	Clean sheets	25%
12%	Failed to score	12%

League matches only, 8 games each.

Süper Lig table

#	Team	Pld	Goal diff.	Points	League form
6	Beşiktaş	8	+6	15	LWLWW
7	Kocaelispor	9	+2	15	WLLWL
8	Erzurumspor FK	9	-4	14	WWDWL
9	Çorum FK	8	+5	13	WWLWW
10	Alanyaspor	9	-2	12	LLDWD
11	Başakşehir	8	+0	11	WDWLL
12	Rizespor	8	-3	10	LLDWL
13	Goztepe	8	+1	9	WWDDL
14	Konyaspor	9	-3	8	WLDDW
15	Gaziantep FK	9	-6	8	LLLLD
16	Gençlerbirliği S.K.	9	-11	8	LLDLL