Dijon FCO vs Rodez Aveyron prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Dijon FCO to win: 49%, about 1 in 2
Goals call3+ goals 61% · bookies 61% · ✓ 3 goals
The Verdict
All three readings point the same way: Dijon are deserved favourites on goals numbers, form and position, while Rodez arrive on a long losing run with just four days' rest. The sceptic's lone doubt is whether Rodez's poor attack or Dijon's open defence tilts the totals line.
What our AI analysts say
1 of 2 think Dijon FCO's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureRest gap and Rodez's losing run make this a must-win feel for Dijon
Dijon sit 9th on 12 points from 9 games; Rodez are 17th on just 7 points from 9, having lost six of their last six. Rodez also travel on 4 days' rest to Dijon's 7. Mid-table Dijon have a real chance to push on against a side drifting, and that stakes dynamic should favour the home side.
Dijon FCO: slightly underrated
Low The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongPrices look broadly fair but 61% for over 2.5 may be a touch generous
The published 49/24/27 splits match the season numbers well: Dijon score 2.25 per game at home and Rodez concede 2.33 per game.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Dijon FCO are favourites at 49%, with Rodez Aveyron on 27% and the draw on 24%. Dijon FCO are 9th and Rodez Aveyron 17th in Ligue 2. In their last five league games, Dijon FCO won three and Rodez Aveyron none.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Dijon FCO win or draw
- 73%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 76%
- Rodez Aveyron win or draw
- 51%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 82%
- 3+ goals
- 61%
- 4+ goals
- 38%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 61%
- No
- 39%
We expect about 1.8 goals from Dijon FCO and 1.3 from Rodez Aveyron. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (8%), 2–0 (7%), 1–2 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 49% | 24% | 27% | Stats preview | #667 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 1 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Dijon FCO: last 6
LWWWDL · 14 scored, 13 conceded
| 16 Oct | at Reims | 2–4 | L |
| 12 Oct | vs Metz | 4–2 | W |
| 18 Sep | at Annecy | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Sep | vs Laval | 3–2 | W |
| 4 Sep | at Boulogne | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | vs Saint Etienne | 2–3 | L |
Last 4 at home: WWLL
Rodez Aveyron: last 6
LLLLLD · 6 scored, 16 conceded
| 19 Oct | vs Montpellier | 0–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | at Saint Etienne | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Sep | vs Nancy | 3–4 | L |
| 11 Sep | vs Grenoble | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Sep | at Metz | 1–4 | L |
| 28 Aug | vs PAU | 2–2 | D |
Last 5 away: LLWLL
Season stats
| Dijon FCO | Rodez Aveyron | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.78 | Goals scored per game | 1.56 |
| 1.78 | Goals conceded per game | 2.33 |
| 2.25 | Scored per game at home | 1.60 |
| 1.40 | Scored per game away | 1.50 |
| 56% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| 89% | Both teams scored | 56% |
| 0% | Clean sheets | 0% |
| 11% | Failed to score | 44% |
League matches only, 9 games each.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | RED Star FC 93 | 9 | +2 | 17 | LWWWW |
| 7 | Annecy | 10 | +2 | 16 | WLWLL |
| 8 | Metz | 10 | +2 | 14 | DWLDL |
| 9 | Dijon FCO | 10 | -1 | 12 | LLWWW |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 10 | -2 | 12 | DWLLW |
| 11 | Guingamp | 10 | -2 | 11 | WLLLW |
| 12 | Sochaux | 10 | -4 | 11 | LLDDW |
| 13 | Rodez Aveyron | 10 | -6 | 10 | WLLLL |
| 14 | Boulogne | 9 | +0 | 9 | WDLDD |
| 15 | Nantes | 10 | -6 | 8 | LLDWL |
| 16 | Grenoble | 10 | -8 | 8 | LLLDW |
Head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Dijon FCO won 2, Rodez Aveyron 1, 1 draw; 2.0 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Apr 2023 | Dijon FCO | 1–0 | Rodez Aveyron | Ligue 2 |
| 30 Dec 2022 | Rodez Aveyron | 2–1 | Dijon FCO | Ligue 2 |
| 15 Jan 2022 | Rodez Aveyron | 0–2 | Dijon FCO | Ligue 2 |
| 7 Aug 2021 | Dijon FCO | 1–1 | Rodez Aveyron | Ligue 2 |
Match context
- Rest days
- Dijon FCO 7Rodez Aveyron 4
- Matches in the last 14 days: Dijon FCO 2 · Rodez Aveyron 2
- Referee
- Retail Pierre
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
