Montpellier vs Red Star FC 93 prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Montpellier to win: 41%, about 2 in 5
Goals call2 goals or fewer 51% · bookies 51%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
All three readings land close to the published numbers: a narrow Montpellier edge, near 41/28/32, in a tight match between second and fourth.
What our AI analysts say
Both analysts broadly agree with the bookmakers.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureTwo high flyers, one point apart, and the hosts carry momentum.
Second against fourth, one point apart after nine games, so neither side can ease off. Montpellier have lost once in nine, while Red Star's run shows four straight away wins. Montpellier had four days' rest to Red Star's six, a small edge for the visitors.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe away side's price looks slightly short given their away form.
Red Star have taken four straight away wins, scoring 10 in their last five on the road, yet are priced at 32% against a home side scoring 1.00 per game at home. The last two meetings finished 1-1. The published 49% for over 2.5 looks a touch high given both sides' season over-rates.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
Montpellier are slight favourites at 41%, with Red Star FC 93 on 32% and the draw on 27%. Montpellier are 3rd and Red Star FC 93 6th in Ligue 2. In their last five league games, Montpellier won three and Red Star FC 93 four.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Montpellier win or draw
- 68%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 72%
- Red Star FC 93 win or draw
- 59%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 74%
- 3+ goals
- 49%
- 4+ goals
- 27%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 53%
- No
- 47%
We expect about 1.4 goals from Montpellier and 1.2 from Red Star FC 93. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%), 0–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 41% | 28% | 32% | Stats preview | #666 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Montpellier: last 6
WWDWLD · 8 scored, 4 conceded
| 19 Oct | at Rodez | 3–0 | W |
| 9 Oct | vs Grenoble | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Sep | at Reims | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Sep | vs PAU | 1–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | at Saint Etienne | 1–3 | L |
| 28 Aug | vs Boulogne | 0–0 | D |
Last 4 at home: WWDD
Red Star FC 93: last 6
LWWWWL · 10 scored, 9 conceded
| 17 Oct | vs Saint Etienne | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | at Clermont Foot | 3–2 | W |
| 19 Sep | at Guingamp | 3–1 | W |
| 14 Sep | vs Metz | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Sep | at Laval | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Reims | 1–4 | L |
Last 5 away: WWWDW
Season stats
| Montpellier | Red Star FC 93 | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.22 | Goals scored per game | 1.33 |
| 0.56 | Goals conceded per game | 1.11 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game at home | 0.50 |
| 1.40 | Scored per game away | 2.00 |
| 22% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 44% |
| 33% | Both teams scored | 56% |
| 67% | Clean sheets | 33% |
| 11% | Failed to score | 22% |
League matches only, 9 games each.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Etienne | 10 | +15 | 25 | WWWDL |
| 2 | Nancy | 10 | +4 | 19 | WWWWL |
| 3 | Montpellier | 9 | +6 | 18 | WWDWL |
| 4 | Reims | 9 | +8 | 17 | WDDWD |
| 5 | PAU | 10 | +3 | 17 | WWWWL |
| 6 | Red Star FC 93 | 9 | +2 | 17 | LWWWW |
| 7 | Annecy | 10 | +2 | 16 | WLWLL |
| 8 | Metz | 10 | +2 | 14 | DWLDL |
| 9 | Dijon | 10 | -1 | 12 | LLWWW |
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Montpellier won 0, Red Star FC 93 0, 2 draws; 2.0 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 May 2026 | Red Star FC 93 | 1–1 | Montpellier | Ligue 2 |
| 9 Aug 2025 | Montpellier | 1–1 | Red Star FC 93 | Ligue 2 |
Match context
- Travel for Red Star FC 93
- 594 km
- Rest days
- Montpellier 7Red Star FC 93 9
- Matches in the last 14 days: Montpellier 1 · Red Star FC 93 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 15°C · wind 3 km/h
- Dry
- Referee
- Pierre Gaillouste
- Goals in this league
- Ligue 2 average: 2.68 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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