Sochaux vs Annecy prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Sochaux to win: 41%, about 2 in 5
Goals call2 goals or fewer 56% · bookies 56% · ✗ 4 goals
The Verdict
All three lean the same way: a narrow home edge with goals uncertain. The coach sees Sochaux's blunt attack limiting the ceiling, the room sees two mid-table sides whose seasons suggest a draw is live, and the sceptic thinks the market overrates Sochaux slightly given Annecy's head-to-head and away wins. Published numbers: 41/29/30, over 44%.
What our AI analysts say
1 of 3 think Annecy's chances are better than the bookmakers say. It does not make Annecy favourites.
The Coach
styles in the numbersAnnecy's open style against Sochaux's blunt attack points to a tight, low-scoring home edge.
Sochaux score just 0.78 a game and fail to score in 33% of matches, though they keep a clean sheet 44% of the time. Annecy score 1.22 a game with both teams scoring in 67% of theirs, but they also concede 1.22. Sochaux's matches go over 2.5 only 22% of the time.
Annecy: slightly overrated
Low The Dressing Room
the table and pressureMid-table sides with drawn seasons; Sochaux's five stalemates shape a cautious game.
Sochaux sit 11th on 11 points from nine games with five draws, one behind Annecy's 13 points in 8th. Sochaux have drawn four of their last six in all competitions, while Annecy have lost three of their last four. Both had a full week to prepare with one game in 14 days.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe home price looks generous given Annecy's head-to-head edge and away record.
Annecy have won two of the last three meetings, including 0-1 here in 2024, at 3.3 goals per game. The 41% home number looks a touch high.
Annecy: slightly underrated
Low Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Sochaux are slight favourites at 41%, with Annecy on 30% and the draw on 29%. Sochaux are 11th and Annecy 8th in Ligue 2. In their last five league games, Sochaux won one and Annecy two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Sochaux win or draw
- 70%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 71%
- Annecy win or draw
- 59%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 70%
- 3+ goals
- 44%
- 4+ goals
- 23%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 49%
- No
- 51%
We expect about 1.3 goals from Sochaux and 1.1 from Annecy. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (13%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 1–0 (12%), 0–1 (10%), 0–0 (9%), 2–1 (9%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 41% | 29% | 30% | Stats preview | #582 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 1 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Sochaux: last 6
LDDWDD · 6 scored, 6 conceded
| 17 Oct | at Metz | 2–3 | L |
| 9 Oct | vs Boulogne | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Sep | at Laval | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs Nantes | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Sep | at PAU | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Aug | at Clermont Foot | 0–0 | D |
Last 5 at home: DWWLL
Annecy: last 6
LWLLWD · 7 scored, 8 conceded
| 16 Oct | vs Nancy | 1–2 | L |
| 9 Oct | at Dunkerque | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Sep | vs Dijon | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | at Guingamp | 1–2 | L |
| 4 Sep | at Grenoble | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Metz | 1–1 | D |
Last 5 away: WLWLW
Season stats
| Sochaux | Annecy | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.78 | Goals scored per game | 1.22 |
| 1.00 | Goals conceded per game | 1.22 |
| 0.75 | Scored per game at home | 1.25 |
| 0.80 | Scored per game away | 1.20 |
| 22% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 56% |
| 44% | Both teams scored | 67% |
| 44% | Clean sheets | 33% |
| 33% | Failed to score | 0% |
League matches only, 9 games each.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Reims | 9 | +8 | 17 | WDDWD |
| 5 | PAU | 10 | +3 | 17 | WWWWL |
| 6 | RED Star FC 93 | 9 | +2 | 17 | LWWWW |
| 7 | Annecy | 10 | +2 | 16 | WLWLL |
| 8 | Metz | 10 | +2 | 14 | DWLDL |
| 9 | Dijon | 10 | -1 | 12 | LLWWW |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 10 | -2 | 12 | DWLLW |
| 11 | Guingamp | 10 | -2 | 11 | WLLLW |
| 12 | Sochaux | 10 | -4 | 11 | LLDDW |
| 13 | Rodez | 10 | -6 | 10 | WLLLL |
| 14 | Boulogne | 9 | +0 | 9 | WDLDD |
| 15 | Nantes | 10 | -6 | 8 | LLDWL |
Head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Sochaux won 1, Annecy 2, 0 draws; 3.3 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug 2024 | Sochaux | 0–1 | Annecy | Friendlies Clubs |
| 25 Feb 2023 | Sochaux | 5–1 | Annecy | Ligue 2 |
| 5 Nov 2022 | Annecy | 2–1 | Sochaux | Ligue 2 |
Match context
- Rest days
- Sochaux 6Annecy 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Sochaux 1 · Annecy 1
- Referee
- Faouzi Benchabane
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
