Clermont Foot vs Guingamp prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Guingamp to win: 40%, about 2 in 5
Goals call2 goals or fewer 51% · bookies 51% · ✓ 2 goals
The Verdict
All three readings land near the published numbers: a tight, low-stakes mid-table scrap where Guingamp's slight away edge is tempered by poor form and Clermont's head-to-head record.
What our AI analysts say
1 of 3 think a draw is underrated.
The Coach
styles in the numbersTwo leaky defences point to goals, but Clermont's home scoring drought caps the total.
Clermont score just 0.60 per game at home yet concede 1.33 overall, while Guingamp concede 1.67 per game and keep clean sheets in only 11% of matches.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureClermont sit 16th with 7 points from 9 games and no win in the league, drawing seven times; Guingamp are 13th with 8 points and arrive on three straight league defeats. Both had 7 days' rest, so fatigue is no excuse in a game neither can afford to lose.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe market leans Guingamp, but Clermont's head-to-head grip argues the prices are too away-heavy.
Guingamp are priced at 39% despite losing their last three league games and scoring only 0.75 per game away. Clermont have won 4 of the last 6 head-to-heads, including 1-0 in 2026, and draw 29% looks fair given their seven draws. Over 2.5 at 49% sits oddly against Clermont's 33% over rate.
Guingamp: slightly overrated
Low Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Guingamp are slight favourites at 40%, with Clermont Foot on 31% and the draw on 29%. Clermont Foot are 16th and Guingamp 13th in Ligue 2. In their last five league games, Clermont Foot won none and Guingamp one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Clermont Foot win or draw
- 61%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 71%
- Guingamp win or draw
- 69%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 73%
- 3+ goals
- 48%
- 4+ goals
- 26%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 53%
- No
- 47%
We expect about 1.2 goals from Clermont Foot and 1.4 from Guingamp. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 0–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31% | 29% | 39% | Stats preview | #583 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 1 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Clermont Foot: last 6
DLDDDD · 7 scored, 8 conceded
| 16 Oct | at Laval | 3–3 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs RED Star FC 93 | 2–3 | L |
| 18 Sep | at Grenoble | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Sep | vs Boulogne | 0–0 | D |
| 4 Sep | at Dunkerque | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Aug | vs Sochaux | 0–0 | D |
Last 5 at home: LDDDD
Guingamp: last 6
LLLWDD · 9 scored, 12 conceded
| 16 Oct | vs PAU | 1–2 | L |
| 9 Oct | at Nancy | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs RED Star FC 93 | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Annecy | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | at Reims | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Aug | vs Nantes | 3–3 | D |
Last 5 away: LDLLW
Season stats
| Clermont Foot | Guingamp | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.00 | Goals scored per game | 1.22 |
| 1.33 | Goals conceded per game | 1.67 |
| 0.60 | Scored per game at home | 1.60 |
| 1.50 | Scored per game away | 0.75 |
| 33% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| 67% | Both teams scored | 67% |
| 33% | Clean sheets | 11% |
| 33% | Failed to score | 22% |
League matches only, 9 games each.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Metz | 10 | +2 | 14 | DWLDL |
| 9 | Dijon | 10 | -1 | 12 | LLWWW |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 10 | -2 | 12 | DWLLW |
| 11 | Guingamp | 10 | -2 | 11 | WLLLW |
| 12 | Sochaux | 10 | -4 | 11 | LLDDW |
| 13 | Rodez | 10 | -6 | 10 | WLLLL |
| 14 | Boulogne | 9 | +0 | 9 | WDLDD |
| 15 | Nantes | 10 | -6 | 8 | LLDWL |
| 16 | Grenoble | 10 | -8 | 8 | LLLDW |
| 17 | Clermont Foot | 10 | -5 | 7 | LDLDD |
| 18 | Laval | 10 | -8 | 6 | LDLDL |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Clermont Foot won 4, Guingamp 1, 1 draw; 2.7 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 May 2026 | Clermont Foot | 1–0 | Guingamp | Ligue 2 |
| 24 Oct 2025 | Guingamp | 0–1 | Clermont Foot | Ligue 2 |
| 7 Mar 2025 | Guingamp | 3–1 | Clermont Foot | Ligue 2 |
| 5 Oct 2024 | Clermont Foot | 4–1 | Guingamp | Ligue 2 |
| 2 Mar 2021 | Guingamp | 0–5 | Clermont Foot | Ligue 2 |
| 7 Nov 2020 | Clermont Foot | 0–0 | Guingamp | Ligue 2 |
Match context
- Rest days
- Clermont Foot 7Guingamp 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Clermont Foot 2 · Guingamp 1
- Referee
- Karim Abed
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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