Northampton Town vs Tranmere Rovers prediction
Full analysisTeam news, injuries and lineups read by our AI scouts, updated when the official lineups are out. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast
Who wins?
Northampton to win: 42%, about 2 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 51% · bookies 43% · ✗ 1 goals
The Verdict
Our numbers stay close to the bookmakers' across the main markets, with only a small upward adjustment on over 2.5 goals. The Sceptic's 3-point shift toward the draw was not followed, because the market price already sits near our model's draw estimate and the underlying form data does not clearly justify moving further.
What our AI analysts say
1 of 3 think a draw is underrated.
The Coach
tactics and lineupsFull-strength sides, low-scoring hosts, draw-heavy visitors - a tight Sixfields contest.
No injuries or suspensions reported for either squad. Northampton line up 4-4-2 with Lemonheigh-Evans and Dale wide; Tranmere go 4-2-3-1 with Vaulks and Watson screening and Ince supporting Ironside. Both announced XIs match expectations - no selection surprises.
The Dressing Room
mood and pressureTwo out-of-form sides point to a tight, low-scoring draw at Sixfields.
Northampton sit 22nd with just 6 league goals but arrive off a 2-0 win at Grimsby and cleared £20m debt under new owners. Tranmere are 17th with 6 draws in 11 games and lost 1-2 to Barnet last time out.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongNorthampton have scored just 6 league goals, and recent H2H includes a 0-0 and a 1-0. Expected goals around 1.07-0.87 suggest few goals.
AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips. Who reads the game best
In short
Two out-of-form League Two sides meet at Sixfields with Northampton 22nd on 10 points and Tranmere 17th on 12. Northampton have scored just six league goals, while Tranmere have drawn six of eleven. Neither squad has reported absences, pointing to a tight, low-scoring contest.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Northampton Town win or draw
- 71%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 71%
- Tranmere Rovers win or draw
- 58%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 75%
- 3+ goals
- 51%
- 4+ goals
- 29%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 55%
- No
- 45%
We expect about 1.5 goals from Northampton Town and 1.2 from Tranmere Rovers. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%), 0–1 (8%), 2–0 (7%).
How we got to these numbers
| Home | Draw | Away | 3+ goals | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bookmakers | 42% | 29% | 29% | 43% |
| Goals model | 38% | 33% | 28% | 31% |
| AI analysts | 38% | 33% | 29% | 56% |
| Our forecast | 42% | 29% | 29% | 51% |
Verdict: With no reported absences for either side and both teams showing low-scoring, draw-heavy profiles, there is no availability or form signal strong enough to move away from the market's assessment of a close match. We only shade over 2.5 goals slightly above the market given Tranmere's higher scoring output of 14 league goals.
Our forecast starts from the bookmakers' prices and moves only by what the news justifies, capped at 8 percentage points per outcome. Methodology
Prediction history
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Northampton Town: last 6
WDLLLW · 5 scored, 6 conceded
| 17 Oct | at Grimsby | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | at York | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Oct | at Cambridge United EFL Trophy | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Rotherham | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | at Shrewsbury | 0–2 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Newport County | 1–0 | W |
Last 5 at home: LWDLD
Tranmere Rovers: last 6
LDLDWD · 6 scored, 8 conceded
| 17 Oct | vs Barnet | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Rochdale | 1–1 | D |
| 3 Oct | at Chesterfield | 2–4 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Walsall | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Sep | vs Shrewsbury EFL Trophy | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | at Exeter City | 0–0 | D |
Last 5 away: LDLDD
Season stats
| Northampton Town | Tranmere Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.67 | Goals scored per game | 1.27 |
| 0.78 | Goals conceded per game | 1.36 |
| 0.50 | Scored per game at home | 1.50 |
| 0.80 | Scored per game away | 1.00 |
| 0% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 36% |
| 33% | Both teams scored | 64% |
| 33% | Clean sheets | 27% |
| 44% | Failed to score | 18% |
| 1.56 | Yellow cards per game | 2.18 |
League matches only, 9 and 11 games.
When goals come
| Minutes | Northampton Town | Tranmere Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | ||
| 16–30 min | ||
| 31–45 min | ||
| 46–60 min | ||
| 61–75 min | ||
| 76–90 min |
League Two table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Shrewsbury | 13 | -4 | 18 | DWWLW |
| 11 | Grimsby | 13 | +3 | 17 | WDLLL |
| 12 | Gillingham | 13 | +0 | 17 | LDLWD |
| 13 | Tranmere Rovers | 13 | +0 | 16 | DWLDL |
| 14 | Swindon Town | 13 | -3 | 16 | DWDLL |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | -4 | 16 | DLLLL |
| 16 | Newport County | 13 | +0 | 15 | LDDWD |
| 17 | Rochdale | 13 | -7 | 15 | LDLDW |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 13 | -2 | 14 | LLWDL |
| 19 | Northampton Town | 11 | +0 | 13 | WLWDL |
| 20 | Oldham | 12 | -4 | 12 | DLWDL |
| 21 | Colchester | 12 | -5 | 12 | LDDLD |
| 22 | Rotherham | 13 | -6 | 12 | DDLLL |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Northampton Town won 4, Tranmere Rovers 0, 2 draws; 2.2 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 May 2023 | Tranmere Rovers | 0–1 | Northampton Town | League Two |
| 3 Dec 2022 | Northampton Town | 0–0 | Tranmere Rovers | League Two |
| 5 Mar 2022 | Northampton Town | 3–2 | Tranmere Rovers | League Two |
| 23 Oct 2021 | Tranmere Rovers | 0–2 | Northampton Town | League Two |
| 5 Feb 2019 | Tranmere Rovers | 1–2 | Northampton Town | League Two |
| 1 Sep 2018 | Northampton Town | 1–1 | Tranmere Rovers | League Two |
Team news: lineups Confirmed
Goalkeeper
- 1Z. Jeacock
Defenders
- 44J. Donacien
- 6E. Moore
- 5J. Guthrie
- 22Joshua Alan Powell
Midfielders
- 16J. Wormleighton
- 24C. Lemonheigh-Evans
- 8L. Evans
- 4J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh
Forwards
- 19O. Dale
- 9Matthew Warhurst
Substitutes (7)
- 35M. Dyche
- 14T. Fornah
- 7S. Hoskins
- 10E. List
- 3J. Maxwell
- 31J. Dadge
- 17N. Opoku
Goalkeeper
- 1L. McGee
Defenders
- 22L. O'Connor
- 16B. Faulkner
- 30G. Nevett
- 3J. Slater
Midfielders
- 6W. Vaulks
- 44R. Watson
- 29D. Jones
- 10T. Ince
- 7Charlie Jay Whitaker
Forward
- 9J. Ironside
Substitutes (7)
- 4J. Turnbull
- 20Charlie Veevers
- 24David Kamara
- 5N. Smith
- 13C. Boyce-Clarke
- 14O. Scott
- 11T. Conlon
Official team sheets, updated UK time (GMT).
Team news: injuries and suspensions
No confirmed absences reported.
Key facts
- Northampton sit 22nd in League Two with 10 points from 9 games and have scored only six league goals this season.[3][5]
- Tranmere are 17th with 12 points from 11 games and have drawn six of their league matches.[3][5]
- Northampton won 2-0 at Grimsby on 17 October, their most recent league fixture.[5]
- Tranmere lost 1-2 at home to Barnet on 17 October in their last league game.[5]
- Tranmere have not won any of their five away league games this season, drawing three and losing two.[5]
- Both clubs have been drawn away in the FA Cup first round in early November, Northampton at York City and Tranmere at Barnet.[6][8][9]
Sources
- leaguespy.com – Northampton Town vs Tranmere Rovers Preview: Injuries and Suspension ...
- bbc.co.uk – Northampton Town vs Tranmere Rovers: League Two stats & head-to-head - BBC (2026-10-19)
- bbc.co.uk – Leicester to visit Oxford City in FA Cup first round (2026-10-19)
- bbc.co.uk – Cobblers land used to clear club's £20m debt (2026-10-17)
- wirralglobe.co.uk – Tranmere drawn away at Barnet in FA Cup first round - Wirral Globe (2026-10-19)
- barnetfc.com – BARNET TO FACE TRANMERE ROVERS IN FA CUP ROUND ONE - Barnet FC (2026-10-19)
Off the pitch
- Northampton's new majority owners completed a takeover last month and the club's £20m debt has been cleared through a land sale.[7]
Match context
- Stadium
- Sixfields Stadium, Northampton, East Midlands
- 7,798 seats · grass
- Travel for Tranmere Rovers
- 191 km
- Rest days
- Northampton Town 3Tranmere Rovers 3
- Matches in the last 14 days: Northampton Town 2 · Tranmere Rovers 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 11°C · wind 5 km/h
- Dry
- Coaches
- C. Hogg
- Northampton Town, since Aug 2026
- D. Clarke
- Tranmere Rovers, since Aug 2026
- Goals in this league
- League Two average: 2.48 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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