Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury Town prediction
Full analysisTeam news, injuries and lineups read by our AI scouts, updated when the official lineups are out. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast
Who wins?
Shrewsbury to win: 40%, about 2 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 52% · bookies 52% · ✓ 5 goals
The Verdict
Our numbers stay close to the bookmakers', as the small shifts suggested by The Coach and The Sceptic (2 points each toward Crawley) and The Dressing Room's 4-point lean toward Shrewsbury largely cancel out. The Dressing Room's away lean was not followed, because Crawley's home desperation and Shrewsbury's two suspensions offset the form gap.
What our AI analysts say
2 of 3 think Crawley Town's chances are better than the bookmakers say. The Dressing Room thinks Shrewsbury Town are underrated.
The Coach
tactics and lineupsShrewsbury's suspensions and defensive doubts tilt a tight game toward struggling Crawley
Shrewsbury are without Turner-Cooke and Fletcher (suspensions), with Boyle and Stubbs doubts - both start in a 3-4-1-2. Cowan may field youth players among the subs. Crawley name an unchanged-strength 3-4-2-1 with no absences listed.
Crawley: slightly underrated
Fewer goalsLow✗ Wrong The Dressing Room
mood and pressureShrewsbury's steadier run edges a scrappy clash against winless, pressured Crawley.
Shrewsbury are 14th with 11 points from their last six league games and won 1-0 last time out.
Shrewsbury: slightly underrated
Fewer goalsLow✓ Right The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongDepleted Shrewsbury visit a desperate Crawley side; home edge slightly underpriced.
Market has Shrewsbury 39.7% away, but they travel without two suspended players and with two defenders doubtful. Crawley have lost seven straight without a win. Last two league meetings produced 0-0 and 1-0.
Crawley: slightly underrated
Fewer goalsLow✗ Wrong AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips. Who reads the game best
In short
Bottom-placed Crawley Town host a Shrewsbury Town side sitting 14th with 11 points from their last six league games. Our numbers stay close to the market.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Crawley Town win or draw
- 60%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 73%
- Shrewsbury Town win or draw
- 67%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 76%
- 3+ goals
- 52%
- 4+ goals
- 30%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 56%
- No
- 44%
We expect about 1.3 goals from Crawley Town and 1.5 from Shrewsbury Town. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 0–1 (9%), 1–2 (9%), 1–0 (8%), 2–1 (8%).
How we got to these numbers
| Home | Draw | Away | 3+ goals | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bookmakers | 33% | 27% | 40% | 52% |
| Goals model | 38% | 29% | 33% | 46% |
| AI analysts | 36% | 29% | 35% | 47% |
| Our forecast | 33% | 27% | 40% | 52% |
Verdict: Our final probabilities match the market because the factors pulling in opposite directions offset each other: Shrewsbury's suspensions and defensive doubts favour Crawley, while Crawley's winless run and Shrewsbury's better form favour the away side.
Our forecast starts from the bookmakers' prices and moves only by what the news justifies, capped at 8 percentage points per outcome. Methodology
Prediction history
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Crawley Town: last 6
LDWLLL · 9 scored, 13 conceded
| 17 Oct | at Salford City | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Chesterfield | 2–2 | D |
| 6 Oct | vs Bromley EFL Trophy | 4–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | at Milton Keynes Dons EFL Trophy | 1–4 | L |
| 19 Sep | at Grimsby | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Cheltenham | 1–3 | L |
Last 5 at home: DWLLL
Shrewsbury Town: last 6
WLLWDL · 5 scored, 7 conceded
| 17 Oct | vs Bristol Rovers | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Exeter City | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Oct | vs Stockport County EFL Trophy | 0–2 | L |
| 3 Oct | at Grimsby | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Colchester | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Sep | at Tranmere EFL Trophy | 0–1 | L |
Last 5 away: WLDLL
Season stats
| Crawley Town | Shrewsbury Town | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.00 | Goals scored per game | 0.91 |
| 1.89 | Goals conceded per game | 1.36 |
| 0.75 | Scored per game at home | 1.17 |
| 1.20 | Scored per game away | 0.60 |
| 56% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 36% |
| 67% | Both teams scored | 36% |
| 0% | Clean sheets | 27% |
| 33% | Failed to score | 36% |
| 2.67 | Yellow cards per game | 3.00 |
League matches only, 9 and 11 games.
When goals come
| Minutes | Crawley Town | Shrewsbury Town |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | ||
| 16–30 min | ||
| 31–45 min | ||
| 46–60 min | ||
| 61–75 min | ||
| 76–90 min |
League Two table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Chesterfield | 13 | +6 | 19 | WDLDW |
| 8 | Exeter City | 13 | +3 | 19 | WWDWW |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 13 | +6 | 18 | WDWDW |
| 10 | Shrewsbury Town | 13 | -4 | 18 | DWWLW |
| 11 | Grimsby | 13 | +3 | 17 | WDLLL |
| 12 | Gillingham | 13 | +0 | 17 | LDLWD |
| 13 | Tranmere | 13 | +0 | 16 | DWLDL |
| … | |||||
| 21 | Colchester | 12 | -5 | 12 | LDDLD |
| 22 | Rotherham | 13 | -6 | 12 | DDLLL |
| 23 | Port Vale | 11 | -6 | 12 | LDWWL |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 11 | -9 | 6 | DLLDL |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Crawley Town won 1, Shrewsbury Town 2, 3 draws; 2.7 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr 2026 | Crawley Town | 0–0 | Shrewsbury Town | League Two |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Shrewsbury Town | 1–0 | Crawley Town | League Two |
| 3 May 2025 | Shrewsbury Town | 1–2 | Crawley Town | League One |
| 12 Oct 2024 | Crawley Town | 3–5 | Shrewsbury Town | League One |
| 11 Mar 2014 | Shrewsbury Town | 1–1 | Crawley Town | League One |
| 14 Sep 2013 | Crawley Town | 1–1 | Shrewsbury Town | League One |
Team news: lineups Confirmed
Goalkeeper
- 1V. Mannone
Defenders
- 12L. Richards
- 6P. Farquharson
- 16J. Russell
Midfielders
- 22A. Adeyemo
- 28Nathan Tinsdale
- 20J. Arthurs
- 30Kai Jennings
- 10S. Duke-McKenna
- 27Dylan Morgan
Forward
- 17Osman Kamara
Substitutes (7)
- 11P. Aderoju
- 4Pele Arganese-McDermott
- 2K. Gordon
- 13N. Michalski
- 9D. Orsi
- 19D. Pereira
- 8L. Watson
Goalkeeper
- 1William Michael Brook
Defenders
- 6S. Stubbs
- 5W. Boyle
- 3J. Ruffels
Midfielders
- 2L. Hoole
- 10T. Sang
- 21will gray
- 11K. Berkoe
- 18K. M. Brown
Forwards
- 9G. Lloyd
- 13J. Davison
Substitutes (7)
- 17Arkelle Nicholas Cecil Jude-Boyd
- 32Cameron Gregory
- 20M. Golding
- 46H. Aiston
- 30J. Thompson-McKenzie
- 23I. Lee
- 24L. Sousa
Official team sheets, updated UK time (GMT).
Team news: injuries and suspensions
Key facts
- Crawley Town are 24th in League Two with 5 points from 9 games and have not won in seven matches.[2][3]
- Shrewsbury Town are 14th with 14 points from 11 games and have taken 11 points from their last six league games.[3][6]
- Crawley lost 2-1 at Salford City in their most recent league game, having drawn 2-2 with Chesterfield.[3]
- Shrewsbury are without two suspended players and have defensive doubts, with youth players possibly included in the squad.[2]
- The last league meeting ended 0-0 at Crawley in April 2026, and Shrewsbury won 1-0 at home in October 2025.[3]
Sources
- uk.headtopics.com – key calls for depleted Shrewsbury Town at Crawley Town
- bbc.co.uk – Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury Town: League Two stats & head-to-head - BBC (2026-10-19)
- bbc.co.uk – Next two games are massive - Kazim-Richards (2026-10-19)
- bbc.co.uk – Shrewsbury takeover in 'final stages' - Wycherley (2026-10-20)
Off the pitch
- Shrewsbury's takeover by a US consortium is in its 'final stages', and fan groups published an open letter demanding clarity shortly before this match.[6]
Match context
- Stadium
- Broadfield Stadium, Crawley, West Sussex
- 6,134 seats · grass
- Travel for Shrewsbury Town
- 250 km
- Rest days
- Crawley Town 3Shrewsbury Town 3
- Matches in the last 14 days: Crawley Town 2 · Shrewsbury Town 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 11°C · wind 10 km/h
- Rain expected
- Coaches
- G. Cowan
- Shrewsbury Town, since Sep 2026
- Goals in this league
- League Two average: 2.48 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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