Celta Vigo vs Real Betis prediction
Full analysisTeam news, injuries and lineups read by our AI scouts, updated when the official lineups are out. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast
Who wins?
Real Betis to win: 43%, about 2 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 54% · bookies 54% · ✗ 0 goals
The Verdict
Our numbers moved slightly towards the away side compared to the market, driven by the consensus that Real Betis's superior form and squad quality outweigh Celta's home advantage. The Sceptic's view was not followed, as the model leaned more heavily on the statistical advantage of Betis's current form.
What our AI analysts say
2 of 3 think Real Betis's chances are better than the bookmakers say. Neither makes Real Betis favourites. The Sceptic thinks Celta Vigo are underrated.
The Coach
tactics and lineupsReal Betis's squad quality and UCL momentum give them the edge over Celta Vigo.
Celta Vigo is dealing with a disruption after being stranded in Glasgow. Real Betis is managing the suspension of Facundo Bernal and dealing with fixture load.
Real Betis: clearly underrated
Fewer goalsMed✗ Wrong The Dressing Room
mood and pressureReal Betis's quality and strong form give them the edge over a disrupted Celta Vigo side.
Celta Vigo is currently 9th in the league with inconsistent form, having recently been stranded in Glasgow due to a plane fault. Real Betis, meanwhile, sits in 4th place and is coming off a strong Champions League run, though squad rotation is expected.
Real Betis: clearly underrated
Med✗ Wrong The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongCelta Vigo's recent travel disruption could level the playing field against a fatigued Betis squad.
Celta Vigo is currently 9th in La Liga with 11 points. Real Betis is 4th with 19 points. Celta recently suffered a plane fault in Glasgow, disrupting their rhythm and preparations. Betis is managing a heavy fixture load due to Champions League commitments.
Celta Vigo: clearly underrated
Fewer goalsMed✗ Wrong AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips. Who reads the game best
In short
Celta Vigo hosts Real Betis in a La Liga fixture where the top-four side is looking to maintain its strong form. Celta is dealing with significant travel disruption, while Betis manages a suspended player and a heavy fixture load.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Celta Vigo win or draw
- 57%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 73%
- Real Betis win or draw
- 70%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 78%
- 3+ goals
- 54%
- 4+ goals
- 32%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 57%
- No
- 43%
We expect about 1.3 goals from Celta Vigo and 1.6 from Real Betis. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (9%), 2–1 (7%), 1–0 (7%).
How we got to these numbers
| Home | Draw | Away | 3+ goals | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bookmakers | 30% | 28% | 42% | 54% |
| Goals model | 45% | 28% | 27% | 46% |
| AI analysts | 40% | 27% | 34% | 48% |
| Our forecast | 30% | 27% | 43% | 54% |
Verdict: Our final probabilities are close to the market, reflecting the uncertainty introduced by Celta's travel disruption and Betis's heavy fixture load. The slight shift towards the away side reflects the consensus on Betis's superior current form.
Our forecast starts from the bookmakers' prices and moves only by what the news justifies, capped at 8 percentage points per outcome. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 43% | 26% | 32% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1125 | |
| 2 | 30% | 27% | 43% | Prices moved | #1311 | |
| 3 | 29% | 27% | 44% | Full analysis | #1363 | |
| 4 | 30% | 27% | 43% | Official lineups | #1441 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 4 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Celta Vigo: last 6
WWLDWL · 10 scored, 5 conceded
| 22 Oct | at Celtic UEFA Europa League | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Alaves | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Oct | vs Juventus UEFA Europa League | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | at Elche | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Racing Santander | 5–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | at Omonia Nicosia UEFA Europa League | 0–1 | L |
Last 5 at home: WLWDL
Real Betis: last 6
WLWWDW · 13 scored, 10 conceded
| 21 Oct | vs Feyenoord UEFA Champions League | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Barcelona | 2–5 | L |
| 14 Oct | vs FC Porto UEFA Champions League | 3–2 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Osasuna | 5–2 | W |
| 20 Sep | at Deportivo La Coruna | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Sep | vs Getafe | 1–0 | W |
Last 5 away: DWWLW
Season stats
| Celta Vigo | Real Betis | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.11 | Goals scored per game | 1.78 |
| 0.78 | Goals conceded per game | 1.56 |
| 1.80 | Scored per game at home | 2.00 |
| 0.25 | Scored per game away | 1.50 |
| 33% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 44% |
| 44% | Both teams scored | 56% |
| 44% | Clean sheets | 44% |
| 44% | Failed to score | 0% |
League matches only, 9 games each.
LaLiga table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 9 | +30 | 27 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 10 | +12 | 25 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 9 | +14 | 21 | WWLWW |
| 4 | Real Betis | 10 | +2 | 20 | DLWDW |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 9 | +0 | 16 | WWWLW |
| 6 | Sevilla | 9 | -2 | 14 | LDLWW |
| 7 | Alaves | 10 | +3 | 12 | DLLDL |
| 8 | Athletic Club | 9 | +3 | 12 | WLDDD |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 10 | +3 | 12 | DWDWD |
| 10 | Villarreal | 10 | +1 | 12 | WDLWW |
| 11 | Deportivo La Coruna | 10 | +0 | 11 | LDLDL |
| 12 | Osasuna | 9 | -8 | 11 | WLDLL |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Celta Vigo won 2, Real Betis 1, 3 draws; 3.2 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar 2026 | Real Betis | 1–1 | Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| 27 Aug 2025 | Celta Vigo | 1–1 | Real Betis | La Liga |
| 8 Feb 2025 | Celta Vigo | 3–2 | Real Betis | La Liga |
| 10 Nov 2024 | Real Betis | 2–2 | Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| 12 Apr 2024 | Real Betis | 2–1 | Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| 3 Jan 2024 | Celta Vigo | 2–1 | Real Betis | La Liga |
Team news: lineups Confirmed
Goalkeeper
- 13I. Radu
Defenders
- 20Javi Rodríguez
- 18Yoel Lago
- 3Marcos Alonso
Midfielders
- 17Javi Rueda
- 14Aleix Febas
- 6I. Moriba
- 22Javi Galán
Forwards
- 16Hugo González
- 11Pablo Durán
- 23Hugo Álvarez
Substitutes (11)
- 25Iván Villar
- 9Ferran Jutglà
- 4A. Faye
- 24C. Driouech
- 5Sergio Carreira
- 21S. Cáceres
- 30H. Burcio
- 1A. Bayındır
- 10Iago Aspas
- 28Andrés Antañón
- 19W. Swedberg
Goalkeeper
- 1Álvaro Vallés
Defenders
- 12Ángel Ortiz
- 3Diego Llorente
- 4Natan
- 16V. Gómez
Midfielders
- 21Marc Roca
- 25Dani Ceballos
- 7Antony
- 22Isco
- 10A. Ezzalzouli
Forward
- 18N. Deossa
Substitutes (12)
- 5Marc Bartra
- 2Héctor Bellerín
- 13Diego Conde
- 15Álvaro Fidalgo
- 8Pablo Fornals
- 11Fran García
- 31Manu González
- 20G. Lo Celso
- 27J. A. Morante
- 19T. Parrott
- 17Rodrigo Riquelme
- 24Aitor Ruibal
Official team sheets, updated UK time (GMT).
Team news: injuries and suspensions
- OutJ. El AbdellaouiKnee
- OutB. IglesiasCalf
- OutA. NunezGroin
Show 2 more
- OutM. RomanKnee
- OutC. StarfeltMuscle
- Susp.F. BernalSuspended
- OutJ. FirpoGroin
- OutC. HernandezCalf
Show 1 more
- OutI. LosadaNot available
From our match data feed · updated UK time (GMT).
Key facts
- Real Betis is currently positioned 4th in the league with 19 points, while Celta Vigo sits in 9th place with 11 points[1]
- Celta Vigo is hosting Real Betis in this La Liga match[1]
- Real Betis is coming off a strong Champions League campaign and is near-certain to qualify for the next season[1]
- The head-to-head record between the two clubs includes two draws and one victory for Celta Vigo[1]
Sources
- bbc.com – Celta Vigo vs Real Betis: Spanish La Liga stats & head-to-head - BBC (2026-10-25)
Match context
- Rest days
- Celta Vigo 2Real Betis 3
- Matches in the last 14 days: Celta Vigo 3 · Real Betis 4
- Referee
- Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos
- Goals in this league
- LaLiga average: 3.04 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
