Zamalek SC vs El Mokawloon prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Zamalek to win: 50%, about 1 in 2
Goals call2 goals or fewer 62% · bookies 62%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
All three readings lean towards Zamalek but with meaningful doubt: the coach sees a tight, low-scoring game given Zamalek's defensive record, the dressing room notes Zamalek's congested schedule against a well-rested visitor, and the sceptic points to El Mokawloon's strong away form and the draw-heavy head-to-head.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
Our analysts are split: The Coach thinks Zamalek SC are underrated; The Sceptic thinks a draw is underrated.
The Coach
styles in the numbersZamalek's defence should keep this tight and low-scoring.
Zamalek concede just 0.43 per game with clean sheets in 71% of matches, and both teams have scored in only 14% of their games. Expect few clear chances either way.
Zamalek: slightly underrated
Fewer goalsLow The Dressing Room
the table and pressureZamalek's heavier load offsets their stronger position.
Zamalek sit 3rd on 16 points from 7 games and are in strong form, but they have played three games in 14 days with only 4 days' rest. El Mokawloon, 7th on 11 points, have had 9 days to prepare, which should keep this competitive.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongEl Mokawloon's away form makes the home price look slightly generous.
El Mokawloon have won three of their last four away games, scoring 6 and conceding 1, and have lost just once in six. The head-to-head shows four draws in six meetings, including a 0-0 last season. A 50% home probability looks a touch high; the draw looks underpriced.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
Zamalek SC are favourites at 50%, with El Mokawloon on 20% and the draw on 30%. Zamalek SC are 3rd and El Mokawloon 7th in the Egyptian Premier League. In their last five league games, Zamalek SC won four and El Mokawloon three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Zamalek SC win or draw
- 80%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 70%
- El Mokawloon win or draw
- 50%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 64%
- 3+ goals
- 38%
- 4+ goals
- 18%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 41%
- No
- 59%
We expect about 1.4 goals from Zamalek SC and 0.8 from El Mokawloon. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (16%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 6. Next: 1–1 (12%), 0–0 (11%), 2–0 (11%), 0–1 (9%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50% | 30% | 20% | Stats preview | #1721 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Zamalek SC: last 6
WWWLWW · 6 scored, 2 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs APR CAF Champions League | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Oct | at Asyut Petrol | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Oct | at APR CAF Champions League | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Al Ahly | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Sep | at Ghazl El Mehalla | 1–0 | W |
| 8 Sep | vs Abu Qair Semad | 2–0 | W |
Last 5 at home: WLWWD
El Mokawloon: last 6
WDWDWL · 10 scored, 5 conceded
| 19 Oct | at Enppi | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Oct | vs Masr | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Sep | at Wadi Degla | 2–0 | W |
| 9 Sep | vs Al Ahly | 1–1 | D |
| 2 Sep | at El Gouna FC | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Aug | vs AL Masry | 2–3 | L |
Last 4 away: WWWL
Season stats
| Zamalek SC | El Mokawloon | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.29 | Goals scored per game | 1.43 |
| 0.43 | Goals conceded per game | 0.86 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game at home | 1.33 |
| 1.67 | Scored per game away | 1.50 |
| 29% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 29% |
| 14% | Both teams scored | 43% |
| 71% | Clean sheets | 43% |
| 29% | Failed to score | 14% |
League matches only, 7 games each.
Egyptian Premier League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pyramids FC | 7 | +14 | 21 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Al Ahly | 7 | +8 | 17 | DWWDW |
| 3 | Zamalek SC | 7 | +6 | 16 | WLWWW |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 7 | +6 | 15 | WLWWW |
| 5 | Future FC | 7 | +3 | 13 | LWWWL |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 7 | +3 | 13 | LWWWW |
| 7 | El Mokawloon | 7 | +4 | 11 | WDWDW |
| 8 | Masr | 7 | +0 | 11 | WDWLW |
| 9 | National Bank of Egypt | 7 | +0 | 10 | DWLWW |
| 10 | Smouha SC | 7 | +0 | 10 | WWWLL |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Zamalek SC won 1, El Mokawloon 1, 4 draws; 2.7 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2025 | Zamalek SC | 0–0 | El Mokawloon | Premier League |
| 29 Jul 2024 | El Mokawloon | 2–1 | Zamalek SC | Premier League |
| 25 Sep 2023 | Zamalek SC | 1–1 | El Mokawloon | Premier League |
| 4 Jul 2023 | Zamalek SC | 6–1 | El Mokawloon | Cup |
| 17 Apr 2023 | Zamalek SC | 2–2 | El Mokawloon | Premier League |
| 25 Dec 2022 | El Mokawloon | 0–0 | Zamalek SC | Premier League |
Match context
- Travel for El Mokawloon
- 0 km
- Rest days
- Zamalek SC 4El Mokawloon 9
- Matches in the last 14 days: Zamalek SC 3 · El Mokawloon 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 25°C · wind 3 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- Egyptian Premier League average: 2.34 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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