National Bank of Egypt vs AL Masry prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Wide open: no clear favourite (National Bank of Egypt 35%)
Goals call2 goals or fewer 56% · bookies 56%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
All three readings land close to the published numbers: a genuinely even match around 35-31-34, with the Coach and Sceptic both leaning slightly under the 44% over line given the 2.0 goals per game head-to-head and AL Masry's 29% over rate. The Dressing Room gives the hosts a marginal home edge on form and position, but nobody strays far from the market.
What our AI analysts say
1 of 3 think National Bank of Egypt's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Coach
styles in the numbersTwo modest attacks and a low-scoring league point to a tight, cagey contest.
The league averages just 2.34 goals per match. National Bank of Egypt fail to score in 43% of games and keep a clean sheet 29% of the time, while AL Masry are shut out 29% of the time with only 14% clean sheets. Both teams score in just 29% of the hosts' matches, so a one-sided scoreline looks live.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureMid-table stakes and even rest days suggest neither side can afford to lose this.
NBE sit 9th on 10 points from 7 games, AL Masry 13th on 8, so the visitors badly need points to climb. Both have played once in 14 days with 7 and 8 days' rest, so freshness is equal. The hosts' home form of W W L, scoring 6 and conceding 4, gives them a slight edge.
National Bank of Egypt: slightly underrated
Low The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe market's near-even split looks fair, but the over 2.5 line may be a touch generous.
AL Masry have won 3 of the last 6 head-to-heads, yet two of those were 1-0 wins at this ground and the average is only 2.0 goals per meeting. Their away scoring of 1.67 per game flatters a side on a run of D D L L. The 44% over price looks slightly high given their 29% over rate.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
National Bank of Egypt are slight favourites at 35%, with AL Masry on 34% and the draw on 31%. National Bank of Egypt are 9th and AL Masry 13th in the Egyptian Premier League. In their last five league games, National Bank of Egypt won three and AL Masry none.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- National Bank of Egypt win or draw
- 66%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 69%
- AL Masry win or draw
- 65%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 70%
- 3+ goals
- 44%
- 4+ goals
- 23%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 49%
- No
- 51%
We expect about 1.2 goals from National Bank of Egypt and 1.2 from AL Masry. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (13%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 1–0 (11%), 0–1 (11%), 0–0 (9%), 2–1 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35% | 31% | 34% | Stats preview | #1744 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
National Bank of Egypt: last 6
DWLWWL · 8 scored, 7 conceded
| 20 Oct | at Wadi Degla | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Oct | vs El Geish | 3–0 | W |
| 14 Sep | at Ceramica Cleopatra | 0–2 | L |
| 7 Sep | vs Ghazl El Mehalla | 3–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | at Asyut Petrol | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Aug | vs Zamalek SC | 0–3 | L |
Last 3 at home: WWL
AL Masry: last 6
DDLLLW · 6 scored, 9 conceded
| 19 Oct | vs Abu Qair Semad | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | at Olympic El Qanah | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Sep | vs Al Ittihad | 0–2 | L |
| 7 Sep | at Petrojet | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | vs Pyramids FC | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Aug | at El Mokawloon | 3–2 | W |
Last 3 away: DLW
Season stats
| National Bank of Egypt | AL Masry | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.14 | Goals scored per game | 1.00 |
| 1.14 | Goals conceded per game | 1.29 |
| 2.00 | Scored per game at home | 0.50 |
| 0.50 | Scored per game away | 1.67 |
| 43% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 29% |
| 29% | Both teams scored | 57% |
| 29% | Clean sheets | 14% |
| 43% | Failed to score | 29% |
League matches only, 7 games each.
Egyptian Premier League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 7 | +3 | 13 | LWWWW |
| 7 | El Mokawloon | 7 | +4 | 11 | WDWDW |
| 8 | Masr | 7 | +0 | 11 | WDWLW |
| 9 | National Bank of Egypt | 7 | +0 | 10 | DWLWW |
| 10 | Smouha SC | 7 | +0 | 10 | WWWLL |
| 11 | Olympic El Qanah | 7 | +0 | 8 | DDLDD |
| 12 | Petrojet | 7 | -2 | 8 | LDWWL |
| 13 | AL Masry | 7 | -2 | 8 | DDLLL |
| 14 | Wadi Degla | 7 | -1 | 7 | DDLLD |
| 15 | El Geish | 7 | -6 | 7 | LLLDL |
| 16 | Asyut Petrol | 7 | -4 | 5 | LWLLL |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: National Bank of Egypt won 1, AL Masry 3, 2 draws; 2.0 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Oct 2025 | National Bank of Egypt | 0–1 | AL Masry | Premier League |
| 24 May 2025 | National Bank of Egypt | 0–1 | AL Masry | Premier League |
| 24 Mar 2025 | National Bank of Egypt | 1–1 | AL Masry | League Cup |
| 7 Mar 2025 | National Bank of Egypt | 3–1 | AL Masry | Cup |
| 12 Feb 2025 | AL Masry | 0–0 | National Bank of Egypt | Premier League |
| 9 Aug 2024 | National Bank of Egypt | 1–3 | AL Masry | Cup |
Match context
- Travel for AL Masry
- 179 km
- Rest days
- National Bank of Egypt 7AL Masry 8
- Matches in the last 14 days: National Bank of Egypt 1 · AL Masry 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 28°C · wind 12 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- Egyptian Premier League average: 2.34 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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