Petrojet vs Smouha SC prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Smouha to win: 40%, about 2 in 5
Goals call2 goals or fewer 62%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
The Verdict
The analysis suggests Petrojet's home attacking metrics are highly potent, though Smouha SC holds a slight edge in the league standings. The published probabilities reflect a competitive match with a moderate likelihood of goals.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
Our analysts read the numbers only.
The Coach
styles in the numbersPetrojet's high-scoring home attack contrasts sharply with Smouha SC's defensive away structure.
Petrojet averages 2.00 goals scored at home but concedes 1.71 per game. Smouha SC has scored 1.00 away and conceded only 0.57. Petrojet's home matches have seen goals in 86% of games.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureSmouha SC holds a slight advantage in the standings and recent form stability.
Smouha SC sits 2 places above Petrojet in the table with 10 points from 7 games. Petrojet has 8 points from 7 games. Smouha SC has 12 days rest while Petrojet has 10 days rest.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Smouha SC are slight favourites at 40%, with Petrojet on 31% and the draw on 29%. Petrojet are 12th and Smouha SC 10th in the Egyptian Premier League. In their last five league games, Petrojet won two and Smouha SC three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Petrojet win or draw
- 60%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 71%
- Smouha SC win or draw
- 69%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 65%
- 3+ goals
- 38%
- 4+ goals
- 18%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 44%
- No
- 56%
We expect about 1.0 goals from Petrojet and 1.2 from Smouha SC. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (13%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 0–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 0–0 (11%), 1–2 (8%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31% | 29% | 40% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1974 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Petrojet: last 6
LDWWLL · 9 scored, 11 conceded
| 21 Oct | at Ceramica Cleopatra | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Oct | vs Wadi Degla | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Sep | at El Gouna FC | 2–1 | W |
| 7 Sep | vs AL Masry | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | at Zamalek SC | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Aug | vs El Geish | 2–3 | L |
Last 3 at home: DWL
Smouha SC: last 6
WWWLLD · 4 scored, 3 conceded
| 19 Oct | at El Gouna FC | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Oct | vs Ghazl El Mehalla | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Sep | at El Geish | 1–0 | W |
| 8 Sep | vs Ceramica Cleopatra | 0–2 | L |
| 3 Sep | at Al Ahly | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Aug | vs Asyut Petrol | 0–0 | D |
Last 4 away: WWLL
Season stats
| Petrojet | Smouha SC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.43 | Goals scored per game | 0.57 |
| 1.71 | Goals conceded per game | 0.57 |
| 2.00 | Scored per game at home | 0.33 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game away | 0.75 |
| 71% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 0% |
| 86% | Both teams scored | 0% |
| 0% | Clean sheets | 57% |
| 14% | Failed to score | 57% |
League matches only, 7 games each.
Egyptian Premier League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | El Mokawloon | 7 | +4 | 11 | WDWDW |
| 8 | Masr | 7 | +0 | 11 | WDWLW |
| 9 | National Bank of Egypt | 7 | +0 | 10 | DWLWW |
| 10 | Smouha SC | 7 | +0 | 10 | WWWLL |
| 11 | Olympic El Qanah | 7 | +0 | 8 | DDLDD |
| 12 | Petrojet | 7 | -2 | 8 | LDWWL |
| 13 | AL Masry | 7 | -2 | 8 | DDLLL |
| 14 | Wadi Degla | 7 | -1 | 7 | DDLLD |
| 15 | El Geish | 7 | -6 | 7 | LLLDL |
Match context
- Travel for Smouha SC
- 179 km
- Rest days
- Petrojet 10Smouha SC 12
- Matches in the last 14 days: Petrojet 1 · Smouha SC 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 23°C · wind 2 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- Egyptian Premier League average: 2.34 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
