Operario-PR vs Athletic prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Operario-PR to win: 52%, about 1 in 2
Goals call2 goals or fewer 53% · bookies 53% · ✓ 1 goals
The Verdict
The coach and sceptic both see the total line as fair to slightly generous, with overs around 44-47% against a 47% published figure, reflecting Athletic's low 41% over rate and Operario's defensive struggles.
What our AI analysts say
2 of 3 think Athletic's chances are better than the bookmakers say. Neither makes Athletic favourites.
The Coach
styles in the numbersOperario's leaky defence meets Athletic's low-scoring away game
Operario concede 1.35 per game with clean sheets in just 32% of matches, while Athletic score only 1.12 per game away and have drawn four of their last six.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureOperario's slump makes this nervy despite home advantage
Operario sit 10th on 48 points from 34 games but have lost four straight, conceding eight in the last three. Both had two games in 14 days, so fatigue is even.
Athletic: slightly underrated
Low The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongHome price looks generous given Operario's four straight defeats
Athletic's six-game unbeaten-away-in-draws streak and 59% both-teams-score rate nudge the draw and away side up slightly.
Athletic: slightly underrated
Low Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Operario-PR are favourites at 52%, with Athletic on 21% and the draw on 27%. Operario-PR are 10th and Athletic 13th in Brasileirão Série B. Neither side has won any of their last five league games.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Operario-PR win or draw
- 79%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 74%
- Athletic win or draw
- 48%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 72%
- 3+ goals
- 47%
- 4+ goals
- 25%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 49%
- No
- 51%
We expect about 1.6 goals from Operario-PR and 0.9 from Athletic. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (13%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 1–1 (12%), 2–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%), 0–0 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 52% | 26% | 21% | Stats preview | #633 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 1 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Operario-PR: last 6
LLLLDW · 5 scored, 10 conceded
| 17 Oct | at America Mineiro | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Goias | 0–2 | L |
| 7 Oct | vs Botafogo SP | 1–2 | L |
| 2 Oct | at Juventude | 0–3 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Ceara | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Sep | at Criciuma | 2–0 | W |
Last 5 at home: LLDWD
Athletic: last 6
DDLLDD · 7 scored, 9 conceded
| 18 Oct | at Avai | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Oct | vs Londrina | 2–2 | D |
| 6 Oct | at Goias | 1–2 | L |
| 1 Oct | vs Sport Recife | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | at Fortaleza EC | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Botafogo SP | 1–1 | D |
Last 5 away: DLDWL
Season stats
| Operario-PR | Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.29 | Goals scored per game | 1.18 |
| 1.35 | Goals conceded per game | 1.15 |
| 1.35 | Scored per game at home | 1.24 |
| 1.24 | Scored per game away | 1.12 |
| 62% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 41% |
| 53% | Both teams scored | 59% |
| 32% | Clean sheets | 26% |
| 26% | Failed to score | 26% |
League matches only, 34 games each.
Brasileirão Série B table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | CRB | 35 | +4 | 55 | WLDWL |
| 7 | Sport Recife | 35 | +9 | 54 | WLDWW |
| 8 | Atletico Goianiense | 35 | +9 | 54 | LDDLW |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 35 | -1 | 51 | WLLLL |
| 10 | São Bernardo | 35 | +10 | 49 | WLDLW |
| 11 | Goias | 34 | -6 | 49 | DWWLL |
| 12 | Cuiaba | 34 | +5 | 47 | LLDWL |
| 13 | Botafogo SP | 35 | +2 | 47 | WWWWL |
| 14 | Athletic | 35 | +0 | 44 | LDDLL |
| 15 | Nautico Recife | 34 | -3 | 43 | DLLDW |
| 16 | Ceara | 34 | -5 | 43 | DLWWD |
| 17 | Avai | 35 | -12 | 37 | LDWWL |
Head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Operario-PR won 1, Athletic 2, 0 draws; 3.0 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Jul 2026 | Athletic | 0–1 | Operario-PR | Serie B |
| 8 Oct 2025 | Operario-PR | 1–4 | Athletic | Serie B |
| 14 Jun 2025 | Athletic | 2–1 | Operario-PR | Serie B |
Match context
- Rest days
- Operario-PR 6Athletic 5
- Matches in the last 14 days: Operario-PR 2 · Athletic 2
- Referee
- Maguielson Lima Barbosa
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
