CRB vs Londrina prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
CRB to win: 75%, about 3 in 4
Goals call3+ goals 63% · bookies 63% · ✓ 3 goals
The Verdict
On goals, the coach sees 62% over 2.5 as fair given both sides' scoring and conceding rates, while the sceptic shades it slightly lower after Londrina's 5-0 in the last head-to-head. A home win with goals is the consistent picture.
What our AI analysts say
All three think Londrina's chances are better than the bookmakers say. None of them makes Londrina favourites.
The Coach
styles in the numbersCRB's home scoring should decide a game Londrina rarely keeps quiet.
CRB average 1.82 goals per home game with four wins in their last five at home, scoring 11 and conceding 4. Londrina concede 1.44 per game and fail to score in 35% of matches. Both sides sit at 62% over 2.5, and both-teams-score rates of 56% and 53% point to chances at both ends.
Londrina: clearly underrated
Med The Dressing Room
the table and pressureThe table and the rest gap both point towards the home side.
CRB have six days' rest to Londrina's three, with both playing twice in 14 days. Londrina have lost four of their last six, while CRB have won three of their last six.
Londrina: slightly underrated
Fewer goalsLow The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe prices look fair, but the head-to-head is a genuine warning.
The 73% home number looks slightly generous; I'd shade it down a touch.
Londrina: clearly underrated
Fewer goalsMed Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
CRB are clear favourites at 75%, with Londrina on 9% and the draw on 16%. CRB are 8th and Londrina 18th in Brasileirão Série B. In their last five league games, CRB won two and Londrina one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- CRB win or draw
- 91%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 84%
- Londrina win or draw
- 25%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 84%
- 3+ goals
- 63%
- 4+ goals
- 41%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 49%
- No
- 51%
We expect about 2.5 goals from CRB and 0.8 from Londrina. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–0 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 3–0 (10%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%), 3–1 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
CRB: last 6
LDWLWL · 9 scored, 8 conceded
| 18 Oct | vs Botafogo SP | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Oct | at Fortaleza EC | 2–2 | D |
| 7 Oct | vs Atletico Goianiense | 3–1 | W |
| 2 Oct | at São Bernardo | 1–3 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Cuiaba | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | at Ponte Preta | 0–1 | L |
Last 5 at home: LWWWW
Londrina: last 6
WDLLLL · 5 scored, 10 conceded
| 20 Oct | vs Cuiaba | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Oct | at Athletic Club | 2–2 | D |
| 7 Oct | at Avai | 1–2 | L |
| 2 Oct | vs Criciuma | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Sep | at Vila Nova | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Fortaleza EC | 1–2 | L |
Last 5 away: DLLWL
Season stats
| CRB | Londrina | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.50 | Goals scored per game | 1.26 |
| 1.41 | Goals conceded per game | 1.44 |
| 1.82 | Scored per game at home | 1.41 |
| 1.18 | Scored per game away | 1.12 |
| 62% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 62% |
| 56% | Both teams scored | 53% |
| 24% | Clean sheets | 24% |
| 24% | Failed to score | 35% |
League matches only, 34 games each.
Brasileirão Série B table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Juventude | 34 | +18 | 61 | DDWWW |
| 4 | Fortaleza EC | 35 | +12 | 61 | DWDWD |
| 5 | Criciuma | 35 | +6 | 59 | LWWLW |
| 6 | CRB | 35 | +4 | 55 | WLDWL |
| 7 | Sport Recife | 35 | +9 | 54 | WLDWW |
| 8 | Atletico Goianiense | 35 | +9 | 54 | LDDLW |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 35 | -1 | 51 | WLLLL |
| … | |||||
| 15 | Nautico Recife | 34 | -3 | 43 | DLLDW |
| 16 | Ceara | 34 | -5 | 43 | DLWWD |
| 17 | Avai | 35 | -12 | 37 | LDWWL |
| 18 | Londrina | 35 | -7 | 32 | LWDLL |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 34 | -32 | 20 | WLLLL |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 35 | -55 | 15 | DDLLL |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: CRB won 3, Londrina 2, 1 draw; 2.2 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2026 | Londrina | 5–0 | CRB | Serie B |
| 29 Oct 2023 | Londrina | 1–1 | CRB | Serie B |
| 1 Jul 2023 | CRB | 2–1 | Londrina | Serie B |
| 30 Aug 2022 | Londrina | 1–0 | CRB | Serie B |
| 19 May 2022 | CRB | 1–0 | Londrina | Serie B |
| 11 Nov 2021 | CRB | 1–0 | Londrina | Serie B |
Match context
- Rest days
- CRB 6Londrina 3
- Matches in the last 14 days: CRB 2 · Londrina 2
- Referee
- Afro Rocha De Carvalho Filho
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
