Sarmiento (Junín) vs Barracas Central prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Sarmiento (Junín) to win: 42%, about 2 in 5
Goals call2 goals or fewer 68% · bookies 68% · ✓ 2 goals
In short
Sarmiento (Junín) are slight favourites at 42%, with Barracas Central on 26% and the draw on 32%. Sarmiento (Junín) are 9th and Barracas Central 8th in Liga Profesional. In their last five league games, Sarmiento (Junín) won two and Barracas Central two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Sarmiento (Junín) win or draw
- 74%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 68%
- Barracas Central win or draw
- 58%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 58%
- 3+ goals
- 31%
- 4+ goals
- 14%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 38%
- No
- 62%
We expect about 1.1 goals from Sarmiento (Junín) and 0.8 from Barracas Central. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (16%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 6. Next: 0–0 (14%), 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (12%), 2–0 (9%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 42% | 32% | 26% | Stats preview | #235 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 1 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Sarmiento (Junín): last 6
DWLDWL · 9 scored, 10 conceded
| 14 Oct | vs River Plate | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Oct | at Aldosivi | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | at Racing Club | 1–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Belgrano Cordoba | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Sep | at Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 2–0 | W |
| 28 Aug | at Union Santa Fe | 1–4 | L |
Last 5 at home: DDWWW
Barracas Central: last 6
WWLDDD · 6 scored, 4 conceded
| 10 Oct | vs Huracan | 2–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | at Atletico Tucuman | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Sep | vs Independ. Rivadavia | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Sep | at Banfield | 1–1 | D |
| 7 Sep | vs Argentinos JRS | 0–0 | D |
| 1 Sep | at Tigre | 0–0 | D |
Last 5 away: WDDLW
Season stats
| Sarmiento (Junín) | Barracas Central | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.21 | Goals scored per game | 0.89 |
| 1.36 | Goals conceded per game | 0.86 |
| 1.36 | Scored per game at home | 0.93 |
| 1.07 | Scored per game away | 0.86 |
| 50% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 29% |
| 54% | Both teams scored | 43% |
| 29% | Clean sheets | 36% |
| 21% | Failed to score | 39% |
League matches only, 28 games each.
Liga Profesional table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Gimnasia L.P. | 32 | +2 | 54 | WWDDD |
| 6 | Independ. Rivadavia | 30 | +9 | 53 | DLDWW |
| 7 | Huracan | 32 | +2 | 44 | LLLWW |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 29 | +1 | 40 | DWWLD |
| 9 | Sarmiento (Junín) | 30 | -6 | 40 | LDDWL |
| 10 | Racing Club | 31 | -4 | 36 | DLWWL |
| 11 | Tigre | 30 | +0 | 33 | LDLLL |
| 12 | Banfield | 30 | -7 | 32 | DLWDD |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Sarmiento (Junín) won 2, Barracas Central 0, 4 draws; 1.7 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Apr 2026 | Barracas Central | 1–2 | Sarmiento (Junín) | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Barracas Central | 0–1 | Sarmiento (Junín) | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 9 Mar 2025 | Sarmiento (Junín) | 1–1 | Barracas Central | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 19 May 2024 | Barracas Central | 1–1 | Sarmiento (Junín) | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 25 Feb 2024 | Sarmiento (Junín) | 0–0 | Barracas Central | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| 2 Oct 2023 | Barracas Central | 1–1 | Sarmiento (Junín) | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
Match context
- Rest days
- Sarmiento (Junín) 5Barracas Central 9
- Matches in the last 14 days: Sarmiento (Junín) 2 · Barracas Central 1
- Referee
- D. Zamora
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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