Newell's Old Boys vs Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Newell's Old Boys to win: 54%, about 1 in 2
Goals call2 goals or fewer 58% · bookies 58% · ✗ 3 goals
In short
Newell's Old Boys are favourites at 54%, with Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) on 19% and the draw on 27%. Newell's Old Boys are 12th and Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 14th in Liga Profesional. In their last five league games, Newell's Old Boys won one and Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) none.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Newell's Old Boys win or draw
- 81%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 73%
- Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) win or draw
- 46%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 68%
- 3+ goals
- 41%
- 4+ goals
- 21%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 43%
- No
- 57%
We expect about 1.5 goals from Newell's Old Boys and 0.8 from Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero). (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (15%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 7. Next: 1–1 (12%), 2–0 (11%), 0–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Newell's Old Boys: last 6
LDWDDD · 3 scored, 3 conceded
| 12 Oct | at Gimnasia M. | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs Lanus | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | at Platense | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Sep | vs Velez Sarsfield | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | at Rosario Central | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | at Estudiantes L.P. | 0–0 | D |
Last 5 at home: DDWWD
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero): last 6
DDDLLD · 6 scored, 9 conceded
| 10 Oct | vs Estudiantes L.P. | 2–2 | D |
| 5 Oct | at Deportivo Riestra | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Sep | vs Defensa Y Justicia | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Sep | at Boca Juniors | 1–3 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Independiente | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | at Talleres Cordoba | 0–0 | D |
Last 5 away: DLDLW
Season stats
| Newell's Old Boys | Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.93 | Goals scored per game | 0.75 |
| 1.29 | Goals conceded per game | 1.32 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game at home | 1.07 |
| 0.86 | Scored per game away | 0.43 |
| 32% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 32% |
| 50% | Both teams scored | 36% |
| 25% | Clean sheets | 29% |
| 36% | Failed to score | 50% |
League matches only, 28 games each.
Liga Profesional table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | San Lorenzo | 31 | -5 | 41 | DWWLL |
| 9 | Gimnasia M. | 30 | -7 | 39 | LLWLD |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 31 | -1 | 38 | DLLLL |
| 11 | Newell's Old Boys | 30 | -9 | 36 | DWLDW |
| 12 | Talleres Cordoba | 31 | -6 | 35 | LLDLL |
| 13 | Platense | 30 | -11 | 30 | WLDDL |
| 14 | Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) | 29 | -17 | 26 | LDDDL |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 29 | -10 | 23 | DLDDL |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Newell's Old Boys won 2, Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 2, 2 draws; 2.3 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Apr 2026 | Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) | 1–3 | Newell's Old Boys | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 9 Aug 2025 | Newell's Old Boys | 1–1 | Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 7 Feb 2025 | Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) | 2–0 | Newell's Old Boys | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 20 Nov 2024 | Newell's Old Boys | 2–3 | Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 21 Aug 2024 | Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) | 0–0 | Newell's Old Boys | Copa Argentina |
| 26 Jan 2024 | Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) | 0–1 | Newell's Old Boys | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
Match context
- Rest days
- Newell's Old Boys 7Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 9
- Matches in the last 14 days: Newell's Old Boys 1 · Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 1
- Referee
- H. Mastrangelo
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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