Defensa y Justicia vs Instituto (Córdoba) prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Wide open: no clear favourite (Defensa y Justicia 39%)
Goals call2 goals or fewer 51% · bookies 59% · ✓ 1 goals
In short
Defensa y Justicia are slight favourites at 39%, with Instituto (Córdoba) on 30% and the draw on 31%. Defensa y Justicia are 6th and Instituto (Córdoba) 3rd in Liga Profesional. In their last five league games, Defensa y Justicia won three and Instituto (Córdoba) three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Defensa y Justicia win or draw
- 70%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 69%
- Instituto (Córdoba) win or draw
- 61%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 73%
- 3+ goals
- 48%
- 4+ goals
- 27%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 53%
- No
- 47%
We expect about 1.4 goals from Defensa y Justicia and 1.2 from Instituto (Córdoba). (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 1–0 (10%), 0–1 (9%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 39% | 31% | 30% | First analysis | daily seal | |
| 2 | 39% | 31% | 30% | Official lineups | daily seal |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Defensa y Justicia: last 6
WWDWLW · 10 scored, 3 conceded
| 10 Oct | at Union Santa Fe | 2–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs San Lorenzo | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Sep | at Central Cordoba de Santiago | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Sep | vs Gimnasia M. | 2–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | at Lanus | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Aug | vs Platense | 1–0 | W |
Last 5 at home: WWWWW
Instituto (Córdoba): last 6
DWWWLW · 14 scored, 8 conceded
| 9 Oct | vs Boca Juniors | 2–2 | D |
| 2 Oct | at Independiente | 4–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Talleres Cordoba | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Sep | vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 2–1 | W |
| 8 Sep | at Union Santa Fe | 2–3 | L |
| 1 Sep | vs San Lorenzo | 1–0 | W |
Last 5 away: WLDWW
Season stats
| Defensa y Justicia | Instituto (Córdoba) | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.29 | Goals scored per game | 1.29 |
| 1.14 | Goals conceded per game | 0.96 |
| 1.29 | Scored per game at home | 1.57 |
| 1.29 | Scored per game away | 1.00 |
| 43% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 39% |
| 54% | Both teams scored | 46% |
| 32% | Clean sheets | 32% |
| 25% | Failed to score | 25% |
League matches only, 28 games each.
Liga Profesional table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boca Juniors | 30 | +19 | 54 | WDWWW |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 30 | +10 | 52 | WLDWD |
| 3 | Instituto (Córdoba) | 29 | +10 | 50 | WDWWW |
| 4 | Lanus | 31 | +8 | 48 | DWWDW |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 30 | +4 | 46 | WLWWD |
| 6 | Estudiantes L.P. | 30 | +12 | 45 | LDWLW |
| 7 | Independiente | 30 | +1 | 43 | DDLWD |
| 8 | San Lorenzo | 31 | -5 | 41 | DWWLL |
Head-to-head
Match context
- Travel for Instituto (Córdoba)
- 648 km
- Rest days
- Defensa y Justicia 6Instituto (Córdoba) 6
- Matches in the last 14 days: Defensa y Justicia 2 · Instituto (Córdoba) 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 14°C · wind 16 km/h
- Dry
- Referee
- A. Merlos
- Goals in this league
- Liga Profesional average: 2.27 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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