Belgrano (Córdoba) vs River Plate prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
River Plate to win: 42%, about 2 in 5
Goals call2 goals or fewer 63% · bookies 64% · ✗ 3 goals
In short
River Plate are slight favourites at 42%, with Belgrano (Córdoba) on 27% and the draw on 31%. Belgrano (Córdoba) are 3rd and River Plate 4th in Liga Profesional. In their last five league games, Belgrano (Córdoba) won three and River Plate three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Belgrano (Córdoba) win or draw
- 58%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 69%
- River Plate win or draw
- 73%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 64%
- 3+ goals
- 37%
- 4+ goals
- 17%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 43%
- No
- 57%
We expect about 0.9 goals from Belgrano (Córdoba) and 1.2 from River Plate. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 0–1 (14%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 7. Next: 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (11%), 1–0 (11%), 0–2 (9%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26% | 30% | 44% | Stats preview | #69 | |
| 2 | 27% | 30% | 43% | Updated news and prices | #225 | |
| 3 | 27% | 31% | 42% | Official lineups | #238 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 3 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Belgrano (Córdoba): last 6
WWWDDD · 7 scored, 3 conceded
| 11 Oct | at Racing Club | 2–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | at Talleres Cordoba | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | at Sarmiento Junin | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Sep | vs Huracan | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Aug | at Atletico Tucuman | 0–0 | D |
Last 5 at home: WDLWL
River Plate: last 6
DWLWWW · 11 scored, 7 conceded
| 14 Oct | at Sarmiento Junin | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Huracan | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | at Atletico Tucuman | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs Independ. Rivadavia | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | at Banfield | 3–2 | W |
Last 5 away: DWWDL
Season stats
| Belgrano (Córdoba) | River Plate | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.19 | Goals scored per game | 1.34 |
| 0.72 | Goals conceded per game | 0.91 |
| 1.40 | Scored per game at home | 1.53 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game away | 1.08 |
| 31% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 34% |
| 41% | Both teams scored | 41% |
| 50% | Clean sheets | 34% |
| 25% | Failed to score | 28% |
League matches only, 32 games each.
Liga Profesional table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 33 | +17 | 62 | WWWDW |
| 2 | Argentinos JRS | 32 | +13 | 61 | WDWLD |
| 3 | Belgrano (Córdoba) | 33 | +12 | 58 | LWWWD |
| 4 | River Plate | 33 | +17 | 56 | WDWLW |
| 5 | Gimnasia L.P. | 32 | +2 | 54 | WWDDD |
| 6 | Independ. Rivadavia | 30 | +9 | 53 | DLDWW |
| 7 | Huracan | 32 | +2 | 44 | LLLWW |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Belgrano (Córdoba) won 2, River Plate 3, 1 draw; 2.8 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May 2026 | River Plate | 2–3 | Belgrano (Córdoba) | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 5 Apr 2026 | River Plate | 3–0 | Belgrano (Córdoba) | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 18 May 2024 | River Plate | 3–0 | Belgrano (Córdoba) | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 3 Dec 2023 | River Plate | 2–1 | Belgrano (Córdoba) | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| 4 Feb 2023 | Belgrano (Córdoba) | 2–1 | River Plate | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 18 Aug 2018 | River Plate | 0–0 | Belgrano (Córdoba) | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Match context
- Travel for River Plate
- 648 km
- Rest days
- Belgrano (Córdoba) 7River Plate 4
- Matches in the last 14 days: Belgrano (Córdoba) 1 · River Plate 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 15°C · wind 8 km/h
- Dry
- Referee
- P. Dovalo
- Goals in this league
- Liga Profesional average: 2.26 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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