Deportivo Riestra vs Unión (Santa Fe) prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Deportivo Riestra to win: 42%, about 2 in 5
Goals call2 goals or fewer 69% · bookies 69% · ✓ 2 goals
In short
Deportivo Riestra are slight favourites at 42%, with Unión (Santa Fe) on 25% and the draw on 33%. Deportivo Riestra are 15th and Unión (Santa Fe) 10th in Liga Profesional. In their last five league games, Deportivo Riestra won none and Unión (Santa Fe) one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Deportivo Riestra win or draw
- 75%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 67%
- Unión (Santa Fe) win or draw
- 58%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 58%
- 3+ goals
- 31%
- 4+ goals
- 13%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 38%
- No
- 62%
We expect about 1.1 goals from Deportivo Riestra and 0.8 from Unión (Santa Fe). (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (16%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 6. Next: 0–0 (14%), 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (12%), 2–0 (9%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 42% | 33% | 25% | Stats preview | #241 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 1 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Deportivo Riestra: last 6
LDDLDD · 3 scored, 7 conceded
| 11 Oct | at San Lorenzo | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Oct | vs Central Cordoba de Santiago | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | at Gimnasia M. | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Sep | vs Lanus | 0–3 | L |
| 4 Sep | at Platense | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Aug | vs Velez Sarsfield | 1–1 | D |
Last 5 at home: DLDWL
Unión (Santa Fe): last 6
LLLLWW · 9 scored, 12 conceded
| 10 Oct | vs Defensa Y Justicia | 0–2 | L |
| 3 Oct | at Boca Juniors | 0–3 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Independiente | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | at Talleres Cordoba | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Sep | vs Instituto Cordoba | 3–2 | W |
| 28 Aug | vs Sarmiento Junin | 4–1 | W |
Last 5 away: LLWLL
Season stats
| Deportivo Riestra | Unión (Santa Fe) | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.50 | Goals scored per game | 1.43 |
| 0.86 | Goals conceded per game | 1.47 |
| 0.79 | Scored per game at home | 1.57 |
| 0.21 | Scored per game away | 1.31 |
| 11% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 60% |
| 25% | Both teams scored | 60% |
| 36% | Clean sheets | 17% |
| 64% | Failed to score | 30% |
League matches only, 28 and 30 games.
Liga Profesional table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Independiente | 30 | +1 | 43 | DDLWD |
| 8 | San Lorenzo | 31 | -5 | 41 | DWWLL |
| 9 | Gimnasia M. | 30 | -7 | 39 | LLWLD |
| 10 | Unión (Santa Fe) | 31 | -1 | 38 | DLLLL |
| 11 | Newells Old Boys | 30 | -9 | 36 | DWLDW |
| 12 | Talleres Cordoba | 31 | -6 | 35 | LLDLL |
| 13 | Platense | 30 | -11 | 30 | WLDDL |
| 14 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 29 | -17 | 26 | LDDDL |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 29 | -10 | 23 | DLDDL |
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Deportivo Riestra won 0, Unión (Santa Fe) 1, 1 draw; 1.0 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Apr 2026 | Unión (Santa Fe) | 2–0 | Deportivo Riestra | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 31 Aug 2024 | Unión (Santa Fe) | 0–0 | Deportivo Riestra | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Match context
- Rest days
- Deportivo Riestra 8Unión (Santa Fe) 9
- Matches in the last 14 days: Deportivo Riestra 1 · Unión (Santa Fe) 1
- Referee
- Pablo Echavarria
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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